More Shots. It's Not About Age.
23 Jun 2025 · 1 min
0:31
In this brief monologue, the speaker examines the common observation that major scientific breakthroughs tend to occur at younger ages. He explains that this apparent age clustering is not caused by age itself but by higher productivity—specifically, younger researchers tend to produce many more “shots on goal.” When the number of attempts (or overall output) is accounted for, the age effect disappears, indicating that breakthrough frequency is driven by the volume of work rather than age.
