#257 Can You Use AI-Driven Pricing Ethically? with Jose Mendoza, Academic Director & Clinical Associate Professor at NYU
1 Nov 2024 · 44 min
Jose Mendoza, an NYU marketing professor, discusses how companies can use AI pricing ethically. Hotels, airlines, and Amazon already use it based on demand and inventory, but the real challenge is explaining how prices change to customers and regulators. Start simple with a few products, set guardrails on price swings, and prioritize transparency over black-box solutions.
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Welcome to Data Framed. This is Richie Perhaps the most obvious way for your business to make more money is to optimize your prices. That means that dynamic pricing and its next generation cousin AI pricing are becoming increasingly popular. The tricky part is that this typically entails giving different prices to different customers and so it requires a careful implementation in order to prevent the customers who pay more feeling ripped off. So today we're going to think through the issues and work out how to use AI driven pricing and while keeping your customers happy. Our guest is Jose Mendoza, an academic director and clinical Associate professor of Integrated marketing at New York University where he leads one of the largest graduate marketing programs in the U.S. his research focuses on the intersection of artificial intelligence and marketing. Jose has over 20 years of experience in marketing and has worked with renowned brands like Absolute, Chivas Regal and Hewlett Packard. So lots of experience there. Let's hear his pricing advice. Hi Jose, thank you for joining me on the show.
Hi, how are you? Thank you for having me today. Vici yeah great to have you here.
So to begin with I'd like to know a bit about what is AI driven pricing and why would retailers want to use it.
The technical names algorithm driven pricing. So since many years ago dynamic pricing have been driven by different algorithms. I would probably say that the main differences is that now there are a artificial intelligence models that made the process different easier to process giving some challenges as well because one of the caveats of artificial intelligence explainability trying to explain what the result that you're getting the idea that these artificial intelligence models work like a black box, sometimes not that useful. But algorithmic pricing or algorithm driven pricing has been used from a while from the perspective of pricing optimization, profit maximization and so forth.
Okay, so I guess it should be obvious the goal is to, is to make more money, maximize your profits. All right, maybe we can make this more concrete then. Do you have any examples of companies where you think they use dynamic pricing or algorithmic pricing? Very well.
I mean there are many different cases. Hotels for example, hotels use different models. In this case capacity based pricing. As you know, the hotel have a definite number of rooms that they have to sell in a given day. After that day is over, can't resell it because the day is gone. Then you have to maximize the occupation and trying to maximize the profit for a given capacity. So that's when you probably see different price tiers for hotel rooms. That's where you see price changes by the day, sometimes by the hours. In the hotels. There are many different variables into play, like for example, the occupancy, the demand for a particular day. In some cases there are weather or external events that are taken into an account, like for example a concert or a conference or a convention or something that is happening at this particular day that will influence the price. All these parameters are what are driving the algorithm and selling the price for the hotel. Another example will be airlines. The airline pricing is another type of pricing dynamic as well, where the prices of seeds change by the day, by the hour. Sometimes, you know, every few minutes they refresh their prices based on a number of variables like capacity. Again, contextual variables such as the environment, such as, you know, events that are happening across the routes, across different locations. So that's another example. We are probably familiar with Uber and Lyft transportation. So that's another example of dynamic pricing where in this case the technical name of that price is called surge pricing, where prices change depending on the availability of drivers and riders. And they're being fixed also by the location and also by, by events that are happening during that particular time. For example, if there is traffic, if there is a weather events, if there is something happening like an increasing demand and the prices will change according to these variables, then you have, you know, pricing. Amazon was still is a very great example of how prices are being adjusted every 10 minutes based on different variables. It could be based on competition, it could be based on demand, it could be based on many different factors that could affect the price that you're looking into it. And now one of the latest things that's been happening is dynamic pricing in physical stores, which is a challenging thing to do. So imagine a grocery store, a store where prices change Based on different variables. There are many isolated events of stores doing this, like for example, ice cream prices during hot or very cold weather where they can be changed a few times a day. The price of produce for example, as well, but nothing at the major scale. I think this is one of the holy grails. Trying to find out how you can implement dynamic pricing in physical stores in a way that it will benefit both consumers and retailers. You probably, I don't know, you probably heard about the case of Wendy's and the introduction of dynamic pricing, which didn't go well. It actually was bad up to the point that had to be pulled back from the launch. In my opinion, one of the reason was because it was not very well communicated to consumers. Wendy's dynamic pricing approach was more about reducing the price based on different variables. But consumers understood that they will increase the price based on different variables. And there is a difference between just increasing and decreasing prices. In terms of perception, of course, from the consumer point of view. Now you have dynamic pricing at theme parks, for example. Disney is applying that with a program called Genie that now has a different name. Where Genie Pass is kind of a fast path where you can just get into your ride quicker and you can also plan where to go to your rides. But I have an extra cost and the price of the right for this. Fast passes changes depending on the demand, depending on many different factors. Lately there is an approach where some restaurants are trying to implement dynamic pricing in the western too. Meaning the price of the addition with change based on different variables throughout the day.
A lot of these examples seem to be around you've got some sort of fixed capacity. So you mentioned hotels with rooms and airlines with like a limited number of seats and I guess ride shares with I guess a limited number of cars. And so a lot of it's around helping the company do capacity planning and sort of optimizing the amount of money on fixed capacity. You also said that from a consumer point of view, sometimes it feels unfair. So I guess if the prices drop and I get some kind of bargain, then it feels like a really, really good idea to have dynamic pricing. If I'm the paying lots of money, then it feels less bare. So yeah, can you talk me through, are there any cases where it is acceptable or unacceptable to consumers to use dynamic pricing?
Yeah, well, you know, we have to go back into what ethical pricing is first and foremost. You know, the concept has been around for many years. Actually been one of the earliest writings about dynamic pricing, confluence and Thomas Aquina in the medieval Ages will say that just prices are prices that are good for both the seller and the buyer. And that still stands today. When it comes to ethical pricing, when you have a price that is good both for the seller antibody, we're talking about a price that is just. That is okay, that is correct. But now we have perceptions coming into play and perceptual price is a very big topic. So there are some instances where discriminating around pricing is good. And I will give you an example. Having a children's discount, you know, you're giving discount based on age, but that's okay, that's acceptable. A senior discount, that's also acceptable. You're discounting to a population that is vulnerable. Let's use a time sensitive example. Having an early bird discount, you know, that's another good example of price discrimination. A membership discount. You know, you paid a membership, you're a member of a group of a particular group, you meet certain criteria and then you receive a discount. Now as you can see, I'm talking about discounting, that's good. When talking about increases, that's not good. Like for example, if you say I'm increasing prices to you because you are a senior citizen, that's bad. That's a really bad perception. Or you live in a place where there are no stores that are competitive or competitors, then I will increase the prices because you have nowhere else to go that's perceived bad. So it's not a perception how you communicate what you're doing. So if your customers understand that you are right increasing prices, then it's bad. I mean, it's perceived bad, but it's. Consumers understand that you're actually discounting, giving them offers throughout the day and the magnitude of the offer will change based on different variables. Then now we're talking about into a different discussion that if communicating well might be well perceived.
Okay, yeah, that's really interesting. I can certainly see how saying okay, 10% discount per se is great, but if you phrase it the other way, it's like, well, there's a standard price and then it's like whatever, 10% extra price. If you're not a senior, then that's going to go down very badly with your consumers.
Yes. Or it could be not just that you don't. Maybe you forget how to frame it. And this is one of the things I see that happening very often, that you don't communicate well what you're doing and then consumers perceive it in the wrong way. And I think that was the case of Wendy's with dynamic Pricing that consumers didn't understood, that dynamic pricing was applied only to certain items in the menu as a way for them to promote during certain hours, product that typically won't sell, products that you want to offer to promote. Not that they were changing the prices of your regular combo, the combo that you typically get, because that gets very sensitive, especially after all the inflation that is happening, all the price increases that have been happening. So consumers are kind of very on edge every time that you talk about price increases. So it's about communicating, but when I mean communicating, it's about talking to consumers and making sure they understand what you're doing in a very positive way.
What sort of inputs are going to go into these dynamic prices? So you mentioned capacity is one common thing. What else might go into the model in order to determine the price?
Well, it depends very much, and that's kind of an open question because it depends very much on the type of implementation that you're doing and the number of variables that you can control. Like for example, competitive pricing could be one variable, but it will all depend on whether you can actually get competitive pricing in real time or near real time in a way that you can use it for dynamic pricing. External variables are also very important. So people think about the weather, for example, weather patterns, because you know the weather influence consumption. We know about things that are happening or certain events like concert, depending on the industry you're working on, as well. But could be concert, it could be conferences event, a political value, a political event that might influence consumption. You might actually use that you find that data actually does, actually influences consumer behavior or purchasing behavior. I would say that it's difficult to have a one size fits all for the implementation of dynamic pricing because it depends very much on the industry and as well on the capacities that, that you have about the capabilities that you have of managing all that information and accounting for that information in your models. One of the things I, I believe is that it's not a good idea to just change pricing for the sake of changing prices. I think that adjusting prices have to be done in a mindful way with a goal in mind. And the goal is not to alienate customer. The goal is not just to increase profit, because that's actually the wrong reading. We're in the business of creating long lasting profitable relationships with customers. We don't want a one time deal with customers. And I don't want to squeeze your money in one go and then alienate you for the rest of our relationship. I want to create a long lasting profitable relationship. And what it means is that I have to be mindful of what I do. And that's why I think it's very important to make sure that you change prices in a mindful way and not just for the sake of changing it. Okay.
So, yeah, there has to be some reason why you're putting stuff into a model. I suppose that's true of most machine learning, really is like you want a good reason for things to be in the model rather than just putting them in for the sake of it. But it sounds like these can potentially get quite complex then. So once you start thinking about, well, there's different customer segments. You mentioned things like seniors or children. And then you've got demand for, like, what events are happening nearby. And then maybe the weather's a factor and all these sort of things that go into demand. So talk me through, how complicated can these things get?
They can get very, very complicated. Not just the amount of technology, computer power that you need, but also the amount of people and team that you have to have in order to make sure that the way that you're pricing is the right way. But you don't have to go that complicated. You can start in a nimble way, in an easy way, just picking a few variables that you can use for that can be mindful and significant for your price changes. And I say, I prefer to say price changes, that price increases, because people typically associate dynamic pricing with price increases. But it could actually be the other way around. Price can be decreasing. You want to increase demand because maybe you have an extra capacity, maybe, you know, you have a definite time where you don't sell your product. Your product. Let's talk about produce. The product can expire, can spoil. In the case of a concert or an event, you know, the concert is tomorrow. I need to sell the tickets today, not the day after tomorrow. So when there is a time constraint, I would probably have to adjust my prices. The price can also go down. And that's why the communication is very important to let the customers know that it can actually be a benefit. It actually could be a deal because prices are going up and down in a way that's going to be beneficial for both the seller and the buyer. And it's important that both parties understand that.
Okay, yeah, that certainly seems incredibly important that both the buyer and the seller agrees on the price and thinks it's a good thing. Otherwise you're not going to get a sale or certainly repeat sales. So you said these things can get very complicated. Where do you begin? Like what's a good first step. Like which products would you pick for trial with dynamic pricing? And what would like your first sort of dynamic price algorithm be?
There are different approaches. So some retailers might want to focus on key value categories, which are the most important categories only, or maybe your key value product of the few products that actually are important or where you have enough information to offer dynamic pricing. What it means is that it doesn't mean that the fact that you're going to offer dynamic pricing has to be dynamic pricing everywhere. For every product that you have or every service that you have, you can actually select which ones you want to apply into it. And then you're reducing the complexity by doing so. Maybe you just focus on one category and a key value category. Maybe you're making the process simpler. You're focusing a few key value products. Then it's simpler because you're just focusing on very few product notes on everything else, notes on everything that you're offering. And that's a good way to start just focusing on a few products, a few categories and start that way. And also managing simple variables like for example, inventory will be one, or demand or velocity sales velocity will be another one that you can use. And then you just go from there. Depending on whether you can actually find that adding more variable will improve your end goal. That is to develop a long lasting, profitable relationship with your customers. That will be your end goal.
Okay, I like that. Just pick a few key products and then start with a simple algorithm or categories.
Okay.
And then you can get more complicated from there. I was just like, I don't know how much this is saying about me, but the example that sort of springs to mind is like any bars, like a lot of them do a happy hour and you say, okay, well, you can have like a few basic drinks at a limited amount of time. And it's like a. It's a very simple dynamic pricing system.
Okay.
And then hopefully, I guess the idea from that is to try and upsell people on the more expensive drinks that aren't on offer. So is that a standard business tactic, using dynamic pricing discounts in order to try and cross sell or upsell into other products?
Actually, it's been done. The thing is that the term dynamic pricing implies that I'm using data, I'm using computers, I'm using analytics. But as you pointed out with the example of happy hour, it's been done manually for, you know, many times. I remember an example many years ago, somebody who was doing pricing for a car rental company in Europe and They were using a very manual process, but was technically dynamic pricing. They were changing the price of the product or the cars a few times a day, a few times in the morning, a few times in the afternoon. So it met the definition of dynamic pricing. The thing is that they were not using computers, they were doing that manually. What I want to do now is that I want to take into an account an amount of data that will require me to use technology to use computers if I don't have a big business. I mean, if I'm a restaurant or a bar owner, maybe I don't need dynamic pricing, artificial intelligence to change the prices, you know what I mean? And we're talking about having a minimum amount of data to justify the expense because there is a cost associated to this implementation. There is a technology cost, there is a human cost, there is a training, there are many things that comes into play. So dynamic pricing is not necessarily cheap. But then as like with any investment that I do in marketing, I need to look at a return on investment that I'm getting with this particular investment. So in some cases it might not make sense. Things might make sense just to do it in a more traditional way, quote, unquote, like without artificial intelligence and without all these new technologies. But in other cases I might be able to justify. Now one of the things that are popping up now in the industry are these companies that are offering pricing as a service, not just dynamic pricing, but prices as a service that you pay a monthly fee, you pay an annual fee, and then they help you out with your prices. Sort of a subscription based pricing, you know, the services. I believe that Shopify, for example, offers a similar service through third party providers where you have an online store, you can quickly incorporate dynamic pricing for a few, for investment, a few dollars a month. The challenge of that is that, and that's one of my concerns with these implementations is that when these approaches are a black box approach that you can't explain, it might be actually not a good idea because you know what you're getting, you're throwing things into a black box and getting some results back. And you know exactly how these results are coming into play. So explainable AI, which is about understanding why you're getting these answers through your artificial intelligence model, is becoming more and more important.
In some sense that does seem like a genius business idea to charge people to tell them how much to sell their products on your storefront for. So yeah, I guess that's kind of Shopify. But also, yeah, I can certainly see how you want to Understand what is driving the demand for your product. So the other business who's selling you their pricing service might not know your customers as well as you do.
But also, you know, if you are an Amazon seller, for example, and you use Amazon for your pricing, for your inventory. So when you sell your prices in Amazon, you sell a range of prices, a low and high price, and then Amazon trying to move your pricing across this particular band. So that's an example of dynamic pricing. You don't know how it works, but you trust that Amazon know how it works because they are running a very successful business by doing so. Now, my concern is when you go, for example, for a company that you know you never heard of and then suddenly you're going to implement their algorithm that they're not able to explain how it works and then able to explain, then that's when it gets a little bit more concerning because you know exactly what are you, how are you pricing your product? You're doing that in a very efficient way or not. There is a lot of trial and error that is going on in the industry. People is learning how to best manage this. But pricing as a service is becoming very, very common nowadays. More and more common.
You mentioned that it's quite often that you don't know exactly what prices you need or what kind of pricing algorithm you need. So it sounds like some sort of experimentation is needed. What kind of experiments might you do in order to test that pricing?
Yes, indeed. Yeah, Like I will argue that almost everything that we do involving artificial intelligence nowadays is experimentation. We have discussions about what are you getting out of your investment in artificial intelligence. And there is something that some marketers say, well, I have no idea how much what I'm getting. I know it's cool, I know it's really advanced, fascinating how it works, but I don't know what is the investment I'm getting. You know, that's one of the things that we also need to address because you talk about pricing, like are you really getting what you're looking for to get your. Or you just implementing dynamic pricing because it sounds cool and it sounds like something new to do.
Okay, I guess, yeah, that's often good advice is don't do something just because it's cool and you do it because it has some kind of business value.
Yeah, you're running a business. You have to make sure that you have your business goals plan out and you are changing the way that you are going to be selling your prices because you have a plan behind it. Is there something you want to accomplish. And now you need to use artificial intelligence because the amount of data or the complexity is very difficult to do without artificial intelligence. So that's why you're going to be using it. But not because it's cool or something like that, because my competitor is using it or anything like that, or something like that.
I'd like to talk a bit about regulation because it seems that in some industries there are things that you can't put into your pricing models. I know a lot of insurance. There are rules, at least in the eu, I'm not sure about worldwide, but there are a lot of rules around what you can and can't include in your pricing models. Can you just talk us through what those regulations are like and what the limitations are?
Regulations are already in place and there are more regulations coming. One of the things is that sometimes it looks like the regulators don't know exactly what they're regulating. And that's one of the challenges that might be happening because we're moving like this technology is moving things like really, really far away. And many regulators, many in many places, that's playing catch up with what they have. And we're talking about legislators that they don't know exactly how the technology works and then how are you going to regulate that? You know how it works. But yeah, so you know, we have the laws about price gouging. For example, I remember, I just remembered last week there was a case about supermarket chain in Australia. They actually got a fine and there's a big deal going around these price changes. There's an argument that they were increasing the prices so they could then discount them later, which is a common practice in many industries, especially in the apparel industry, when, you know, it's called a high low pricing strategy, they increase the prices and then they discount it. Or so this sort of pricing trick that were so successful in the past, they might not be successful anymore because customers are smarter, they have more information than in the past. But there are cases where there are rules and regulations. You have to be aware, sharing the information. Price discrimination is a big thing. Bias and price discrimination is a big thing, not just from the regulation point of view or regulatory point of view, but also because of the consumer backlash that it can create. I did some work on the area of detecting and mitigating bias and price discrimination in online pricing. So it's fascinating to know how you can actually do incurring biases without knowing that you are doing it. And there are examples in the industry from, from office supply store that used to Give a discount, a 10% discount to online shopper who has a competitive store within a 10 mile radio of the store and the full price of the wide. Which means that consumers that were in some neighborhoods, especially poor neighborhood, that had no competitive store nearby, were not receiving the discount. Or that famous online travel agency that used to increase the prices based on the device that you are using to browse. Because there is an assumption that you are using an iPhone or a Mac computer, you are less price sensitive than you were using an Android or a Windows computer. Therefore you can have different prices. So these are examples from the industry. So the thing is that, you know, now it's very difficult to hide information. Consumers might know social media is cruel when it comes to disseminating this sort of information. You might receive consumer backlash, which is another thing. So regulation one thing, but consumer backlash is also another thing that you have to be really careful how you implement your prices. So there are techniques for detecting price discrimination and there are techniques for mitigating price discrimination. There are frameworks. Big companies are working on it and they have framework for it like Google, IBM, Amazon, they have Microsoft. They have frameworks and tools and techniques that help people detect mediate bias in their pricing algorithm. But people need to know that there is that possibility and you have to be aware of that. And then we have to keep watching about the regulatory environment. So what kind of new laws are coming into play? Europe is ahead when it comes to having a regulatory framework around AI, but other countries are catching up. In the US they are catching up. They're still far away from European regulation, but regulations are coming. You have to be careful.
Yeah. So I can certainly see how poor people being charged more for prices in the store compared to rich people is a bad thing. That is considered discrimination. But then I suppose some of the things we talked about earlier, which were good examples are also discrimination in some sense. So you mentioned like things like giving discounts to seniors or discounts to students, things like that. So that seems like a good idea. Is there a, like a heuristic for when like bonuses to, or different prices to some groups is, is a good idea and when it becomes a bad discrimination kind of thing, you just have to think, think through things carefully. Or are there some good heuristics to help you?
Yeah, especially around protected categories. There are protected categories, at least in the US that you have to be mindful. Having, you know, different prices based on race, for example, that's a problem based on sexual orientation or gender identity is another thing that you have to be really careful based on disability factors. That's another thing that you have to be careful and you have to check that your prices are not impacting a protected group, because that's quite important. But then on top of that, you have to make sure that you know the prices are not creating a disparity among different groups. That's another thing that you need to look for. But there are methods, I'm happy to go and eventually maybe in a different podcast go about the different method that are for number one detecting and number two mitigating. And look like I say mitigate, I don't say eliminate because it's very difficult. It's not impossible to eliminate biases from pricing, but you can just mitigate up to the point that it's not that harmful to a protected group. And there is, this is all coming from work done around, for example, credit approvals or credit cards approval, where there are example of companies that were giving loans using this system that were harming protected groups, like be giving preference to certain group based on demographics, based on certain things. And so there was a lot of work doing on that. And hopefully, I mean, fortunately this word can be applied to pricing as well, that you, you can check the users count your price increases or, or price changes are not affecting in a disproportionate way a protected group. So you, you can actually extrapolate that. But now in the case of artificial intelligence, it's coming a little bit more into question because now there is a point of, in the case of the loan example, when you decline a loan or reject the loan, you need to know how, you need to know how you come up with that decision. Because your customer might come back and say, well, you declining this because you're discriminated towards my say my race, my age. So you have to come back and say, well, this is a criteria being used by AI for declining. And that's what is called explainable AI. By making sure that you can explain your results, especially with pricing, you can, you can come back, you have that situation saying, well, am I just in the price? And not because this group is this or this group is that, but because it's valuable for taking into account.
I guess the key there is that if the differences in price are going to cause harm to some groups with protected characteristics like race or gender, whatever, that's when the problem occurs. So in terms of explainable AI, you said that being able to explain how the price was generated is going to be very helpful, particularly if there's a problem You've got someone starts questioning what you're doing here. Are you causing discrimination? So do you want to talk through some of the explainable AI techniques that you might want to use?
There are different techniques, there are frameworks that actually help you with explainable AI. But one of the techniques about creating rules, rules tables where you can just go and say, well, this is a criteria being used. Like for example, Your income was 20% of the decision. Your income location was 15% of the decision. Your past history of purchases, for example, making that up could be an X percent of the decision. Then you come up and say this is how the decision will be taken and you can actually replicate the result. So if I input your income, I should be able to come with the same decision. That's what explainably I is about. And that's a very important part. That's what I'm afraid you're not getting. With several of these pricing as a service companies that offer you dynamic pricing for 29 with $99 a month, you're not getting the explainable part. So you know exactly how your prices are changing. And that's one of the things that is concerning and it's happening maybe perhaps because this is all new, we're all learning. Customer need to, in my opinion, need to be able to come back to their technology provider, say, yeah, I need you to. I know that the idea of the black box, but I also know there is a way where you can explain how AI is making these particular decisions. If not, then it's too risky for me because I don't know how I'm pricing my customers.
Yeah. And certainly I can see that if you're a business and you're buying services regularly and the price is changing constantly, then you want to be able to predict how much you're going to spend. And so having it as a black box where you're not quite sure what the costs are going to be in the future, that's going to be a big problem. So while we're grumbling about things, I'd also like to talk about some of the privacy risks here because it seems like there are going to be some trade offs between collecting data on individuals in order to fit into the pricing models and customer privacy. Can you just talk me through what those trade offs are?
Yeah, well, you know, there's something that's called the privacy paradox where we want personalization, but at the same time we are concerned about privacy and invasion of privacy and they use our data. But the thing is that in order to create privacy and deliver personalization, any data about you. So that's what is called the privacy paradox. And again, communication is really key. So customers need to consent the use of their data. But I would say retailers need to be careful about how they're using the data and they need to communicate and tell the customer and assure the customer how the data is going to be used and only collect what is important and not try to collect everything. Unfortunately, they have been bad practices in the industry, especially with, you know, marketers reselling customer data or customer data getting to the wrong hands. So these sort of things are actually bad and need to be addressed. But yeah, that's one of the things I think communication is key. Customers, customer want personalization, customer want hyper personalization. But they're cautious, they're skeptical about giving data because they don't know how it's going to be used. So transparency is important. And again, communication is also very important. And there is a trust relationship that you're developing with your customers. You know, when your customer give you access to their purchasing data, their preferences, their wish list, the shopping list, they're thinking that you use that in a covert way. One of the things I think, I believe is concerning is that we don't know what data is being collected from us in the first place. And that creates some sort of distrust because I know, for example, that you're getting all my behavior, my purchasing behavior, not just through your website side, but through other sides and so forth. I don't know you were collecting all that. And now when I know kind of why you never told me before, you know what I mean? So I think that be transparent is important because in order for this to work well, I need to make sure that it's a trust relationship and customer would only give you that information. They would consent to give you that information and they see that there is a benefit for them. So why you want to know all my browsing history? You know what is in there for me? I can see what is in there for you. Always in there for me. That's one of the things that we need to be upfront with customers. And I think that clear communication is very important. I also think that communicating with customers in a clear way and developing this trust relationship, that can be a competitive advantage. Nowadays, if company has this sense of transparency, the companies are for coming with customers, then that could be a competitive advantage in the long term. Absolutely.
Yeah. So there's certain types of data where I'm happy to share if I know it's like okay, well, you're gonna use like my previous purchase history in order to like recommend new products to me, then fine. If you're just gonna, yeah, do something shady with my data, then I'm probably not gonna give it to you.
Yeah, one of the things that, you know, we don't know what's been taken or what has been used from us. And that's one of the problems, you know, if you tell me ahead of time, like, you know, say I'm gonna track your shopping behavior in this situation and maybe you give me access to the information that you have about me so I can check that it's the buyer information that will create a really powerful trust connection between us, you know, between the, the seller and the buyer. And I might be more acceptance of the prices that you're giving me because I know that there's a mutual benefit. But sometimes I will give you a personal anecdote. When I shop for airline tickets, I always go incognito and I change my proxy because I know that these airlines know where I'm shopping from. If they know my shopping behavior, they're going to increase the prices. And that's not what I want. I want a good deal. So that's why I go incognito. I try a couple of different browsers and take at the absolute lowest price and that's when I buy. Because I don't believe that that implementation is going in my favor. I know it's going in the, in the airline favor. It's not even my favorite. So it should be a way where we both can get a benefit. And having said that, that's what I think that one of the best implementation of dynamic pricing is the Amazon implementation. No wonder they're the number one online retailer in the world. There's a customer, it's a very customer centric, not the most customer centric company that you can find and that says something about how this can be implemented. I can give you a ton of other example of implementation that went bad because there is this damage to the trust relationship and you know exactly what you're getting and you have the idea that all this is a gimmick that is working in the retailer's favor, it's not working in your favor. So we can be marketing like in the past, we need to remember that now we're marketing to new generations. There is technology that things have changed, especially since COVID and customers are more informed, customers are more demand and there is a lot of knowledge around. So I need to be mindful of gimmicks and things like that. And customers are aware and they know.
That actually seems like a very useful tip to browse for airline fares in incognito mode and JC proxy, make sure that those prices come traced back to you. Okay, so yeah, you mentioned you have some stories about things going wrong. I do love a good disaster story. So can you share some examples?
Well, you have the example of Uber, for example, with the shooting in Australia, in Sydney, Australia, where the search pricing algorithm immediately detected there was an increase in demand, not enough offer and just increased the prices to a really high price. And then it was a backlash because customer felt that it was an emergency, there was a shooting and they need to get out of that particular location and they were charged in a really unfair way. There was another example of huge in Miami, Florida where because of the huge customer were trying to leave the city and the airline prices went as high as $2,000 for a domestic ticket one way just to get out of the city. And that was a bad example because someone said, well, now that I need you, look what you're doing to me, you know, you're really pocketing out of my tragedy. And that's not good. On the flip side, a great example in the case of the publican in Miami was JetBlue. JetBlue came up and said, we're not increasing our prices. Our prices are going to be $99 flat. The only constraint is the occupancy, the capacity of the plane. That's the only constraint. And you could book $99 flat rate to leave the area, no question asked. That's a great example. So the perception of the company went so high versus the other ones that were like, come on, you know, I'm a frequent flyer and all, but do what you're doing to me in the case of an emergency. So that's an example when things can go bad. So you need to, you need to have some guard veils when you do this sort of implementation. You can go really bad if you don't, you know, careful and have a backlash.
Okay, yeah, I can certainly see how those emergency situations, as a consumer, if you're having to pay a lot more because of the emergency, then yeah, you're not going to be happy. So yeah, you mentioned the idea of guardrails. And for any data scientists who are building out these models or companies in general, what sort of processes do you need to put in place to make sure that you are doing fair, ethical, dynamic pricing?
Yeah, well, the use of guardrail is also Quite important to limit the price changes. I would probably say increases or decreases to a number that is manageable and reasonable. I don't think that you need to be changing prices by the second, by the minute depending on the industry. Unless you are like we're adjusting the prices based on so many different factors. But just make sure that the changes are mindful and when you know exactly how they're being changed and controlled. So you need to put these guardrails very often or fences as well so you don't go out of the fences with some implementations. But that requires really understanding what you're doing. That's why I'm saying that I keep saying that the black box approach is not a good approach. You need to know exactly what you're doing. You need to know exactly how my prices are changing. Because you only want to control is your business. You need to be in control of your business. And the more variable that you put into your dynamic pricing model, the more complicated it's going to be to set guardrails. Hence I suggest to start nimble. So start small and then expand. As long as you get. You know what you're doing and you're getting the. You feel that you need to add more because you see a benefit by adding more, but just because you're. You're adding variables for the sake of adding variables. So sometimes somehow you feel that yo, you know, change the price of my product based on the weather might be a good idea, but it is really a good idea. So you need to really think about it.
I like the idea that just be mindful about what things you're putting into your model and you have to understand what the effect is going to be in each case. So just to wrap up, are there any innovations in dynamic pricing that you're excited about at the moment?
Yeah, I would say explainable AI is a big thing that's coming into play. Also accounting for bias and discrimination is another thing that is coming. There is an evolution that is coming. Here we are. As you probably know, I'm a professor at NYU. We have a course planned in summer 2025 in Shanghai in China. And it's about. It's called Retail Reimagining Intelligent Retailing in China. So we want to understand a little bit more about their implementation, dynamic pricing, how they can be or will be implemented in other areas of the world. So that's the course that we're doing in China, trying to understand what is new when it comes to dynamic pricing and pricing in general, especially in the context of, of intelligent stores. One of the holy grails of these. I would say I'm using the word holy grail in a very literal way, but I would say one of the successes here or the things that are interesting many people, how can you do dynamic pricing? The physical store in the physical retail store. That's one of the challenges, how you're going to change the price, how consumers will perceive these changes. So their implementation, Amazon Fresh for example, is doing that as we speak in some categories, not in all the categories. There are retailers trying to understand how can you do that but still work in progress, you know.
Okay, yeah, certainly in a physical store, I can imagine that's going to be very interesting when you're walking down the aisle and the prices change in front of your eyes.
This is called. Yeah, this is called dynamic pricing in non traditional context, which is not airlines, not hotels, not transportation or e commerce. In non traditional like restaurants, theme parks, it could be transportation, you know, mass transportation, like trains for example. It could be, you know, grocery stores, cafes and so forth. You know, non traditional industries. That's where there is an interest in understanding if the land pressing could be a good idea.
Yeah. So it seems like it's coming to more and more places around the world then even like beyond just online retail. Okay, so just finally, have you got any last words for organizations wanting to adopt dynamic pricing?
Yeah, I think is that remember the goal, the long term goal, which is about developing long lasting, profitable relationship with your customers. And if the retailer believe by using all this amazing technology will help them, by all means start small. And as soon as you learn how it works, then it start expanding. And make sure that you don't get into the idea of buying a black box model, but make sure to ask for explanation. You need to understand how your prices are being changed. You need to understand your model and explain all. AI is a very important thing. Also be mindful of the ethical concerns that are around dynamic pricing. And communication is key. Communication is crucial. You need to be upfront with your customers and your customers need to know that there's something there for them too in your dynamic pricing implementation.
Okay. So build it up gradually. Make sure that your customers understand how it works and make sure you know how it works as well. These all seem like great ideas. So yeah. Thank you so much for your time, Jose.
Anytime. Thank you Michi for the invitation. Look forward to see you again.
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