Episode

3 Oct 2023 · 32 min

0:00

In this hour‑long Future You episode, hosts Jeff Selingo and Michael Horn examine the most pressing trends reshaping U.S. higher education. They begin by diagnosing the long‑running enrollment decline at community colleges, noting a 40 % drop since 2010 and exploring why two‑year institutions struggle to define a clear mission—balancing transfer pathways, direct‑to‑work programs, and community enrichment. Horn highlights the paucity of reliable labor‑market outcome data and the tension between academic transfer goals and job‑training objectives. The conversation then turns to innovative but risky responses: co‑location or mergers with four‑year schools, shared services, and the financial strain of dual‑enrollment programs, which in some districts constitute the majority of community‑college enrollment yet receive lower per‑student funding. They cite research from the Community College Research Center showing funding disparities and the lack of national standards for dual enrollment. The hosts shift to broader systemic issues: the Department of Education’s lengthening review of higher‑education mergers and acquisitions (now 6‑18 months versus the historic 45‑60 days), which they argue may stifle necessary consolidation among nonprofit institutions while focusing on for‑profit‑to‑nonprofit conversions. They discuss legacy admissions, arguing that elite schools will likely preserve legacy preferences because legacies are often full‑pay students, a shrinking demographic that institutions rely on for tuition revenue. Both guests reference recent data on the decline of full‑pay students at liberal‑arts colleges and the ways legacy status is used as a tie‑breaker in admissions. Finally, Horn and Selingo debate the status of alternative credentials and alumni networks. They cite a scandal at USC where certificate earners were denied alumni status, and compare it to Harvard’s evolving online‑program branding (HBX → HBS Online) and the confusion it creates for employers. Throughout, they weave in policy implications, funding challenges, and the need for clearer metrics of student success. The episode ends with a brief plug for Selingo’s upcoming book on college admissions and Horn’s upcoming work, underscoring the urgency of rethinking higher‑education pathways.

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