Precursor VenturesA classic pre-seed and seed stage venture capital firm

Big Companies Bet Big on AI, Now They’re Backpedaling

20 May 2025 · 1 min

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1:11

Precursor Ventures' YouTube podcast (May 20, 2025) critiques the promise of AI-native startups and critiques large companies' AI projects. Speakers reference Casey Newton's article "The Myth of the AI Native Startup," highlight Klarna's failed attempt to replace staff with AI (which led to rehiring humans), and cite an IBM survey of over 2,000 global CEOs reporting that only 25% of AI initiatives meet ROI expectations. The conversation emphasizes reliability and trust issues (e.g., customer-support bots making costly mistakes), argues that many corporate projects are driven by FOMO, and concludes the reality is more incremental—SaaS businesses adding experimental AI features rather than one-person AI startups.

Questions this video answers

May 20, 2025.

25% (IBM survey of over 2,000 global CEOs).

Chapters

Casey Newton wrote a larger piece titled the Myth of the AI Native Startup critiquing companies that aim to run on minimal staff through AI. Despite the hype, and from what we've seen, real examples typically disappoint with companies either not using AI in a meaningful way or facing reliability issues. For example, Klarna's attempt to replace workers with AI fell a bit short in a large way, forcing them to rehire humans after a large round of layoffs. We're seeing that large companies AI initiatives often stem from a fear of missing out rather than struggling striving for success. Recent IBM survey of over 2,000 global CEOs noted that only 25% of initiatives meet ROI expectations. Trust remains the key challenge as AI tools like customer support bots still make pretty costly mistakes. And so while one person AI startup that dream still exists, the reality is more like SaaS businesses with experimental AI features. And so I have so many thoughts here and felt like Kasey was surfacing data to back up some of the hypotheses we've had here on this PODC podcast and just within our own team internally. I know you shared this article and it confirmed a lot of things that you thought would play out with AI adoption and usage.