Tom BurtonCo-Founder, COO and CTO of LeadSmart Technologies

How Polymarket saw Trump’s win coming #CustomerIntelligence

Name: How Polymarket saw Trump’s win coming #CustomerIntelligence
Uploaded: 2025-08-21T17:32:42+00:00
Duration: 41 s
Channel: Tom Burton
Description: Polymarket, a prediction market, showed Trump at 58% then 67% odds in the weeks before the 2024 election. Hours before major media called the race…

21 Aug 2025 · 1 min

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Polymarket, a prediction market, showed Trump at 58% then 67% odds in the weeks before the 2024 election. Hours before major media called the race, Polymarket had him at 95%. The platform also accurately predicted swing-state outcomes.

Questions this video answers

As reported in the clip: as high as 58% and later 67%.

Polymarket increased Trump’s odds to 95% several hours before major media outlets officially called the race.

Chapters

So in the 2024 presidential election, it says in the weeks leading up to the vote, polymark consistently showed Donald Trump as the favorite, giving him odds as high as 58% and then again 67% to win, which was completely contrary to most traditional polling, which favored Harris or showed a toss up. As the election day unfolded, Polymarket increased Trump's odds to 95% several hours before major media outlets officially called the race. And then it goes on to give a bunch of statistics about how how well it was calling all of the swing state races as well. So this tool is becoming far more than just, you know, what you think about it as hey, I want novelty. Yeah, yeah, novelty is a great point. Right.