Tom BurtonCo-Founder, COO and CTO of LeadSmart Technologies

The government shutdown is not really over #economictrends

Name: The government shutdown is not really over #economictrends
Uploaded: 2025-11-18T17:17:46+00:00
Duration: 51 s
Channel: Tom Burton
Description: Tom Burton discusses the recent US government shutdown, noting that Congress reopened and funded the government through January 31st but key Democratic…

18 Nov 2025 · 1 min

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Tom Burton discusses the recent US government shutdown, noting that Congress reopened and funded the government through January 31st but key Democratic demands were left unaddressed. He questions the likelihood of another shutdown in late January and cites a market/poll probability (27%) that another shutdown will occur, while expressing a higher subjective probability.

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January 31st

27%

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Looks like we've got the longest US Government shutdown in history taken care of now. So basically what's happened is is they've reopened and allocated enough budget through the January 31st. Obviously, the big question is, is this going to happen again in January? Because really none of the key items that at least from a democratic perspective they were looking for in this really got addressed or solved or at least they didn't get what they were looking for. Obviously, I think both sides were recognizing that this was causing a lot more impact than maybe they had originally antic, especially as it kind of spilled over into the air traffic world and all of that. But interesting, on the poly market, only 27% is saying that there will be another shutdown, meaning that the majority tends to believe that this is somehow going to get all resolved before the 31st of January. I think the probability of a shutdown is higher than what they're saying here.