Tariff Relief, Stargate Billions & Netflix's Smash Hit

24 Jan 2025 · 35 min
34:42

In this episode of The Trading Floor’s Deal Room, the hosts dissect why US equities have continued to rally despite recent macro uncertainty. They begin by noting the rally’s shift from reliance on the “Mag‑7” mega‑caps to a broader base, highlighting cyclical sectors—banks, energy, materials, industrials—driven by strong earnings, especially from JP Morgan. Apple’s recent downgrade and weak iPhone demand are contrasted with Nvidia’s modest gains, underscoring a rebalancing away from defensive tech. The conversation then moves to macro factors: Trump’s early‑stage tariff threats, especially toward Canada and Mexico, and the asymmetric exposure of those economies versus the US; a Bank of America hedge‑fund client survey showing the largest US‑to‑Europe capital reallocation in a decade, aided by a strong dollar and perceived European value. UBS CIO Solita Marcelli’s note is cited, projecting growth despite tariffs, while emphasizing inflation, Fed policy, and fiscal concerns as near‑term volatility drivers. A major segment introduces the “Stargate” AI infrastructure project—a private‑sector $500 billion five‑year data‑center build‑out led by OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank and the UAE‑backed MGX fund, with $100 billion per year earmarked, aimed at U.S. AI competitiveness and job creation. The hosts debate funding gaps and Elon Musk’s criticism, noting the project’s strategic relevance versus rival corporate spend (e.g., Microsoft’s $80 billion). The final focus is Netflix’s spectacular Q4 2024 results: 18.9 million new subscribers (record‑breaking), total >300 million, strong performance of non‑English hit Squid Game S2, live‑sport events (Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson), and advertising revenue growth. They discuss how subscriber growth now adds little cost, boosting profit margins, and why Netflix is moving away from reporting subscriber counts, urging investors to focus on revenue and profitability. The episode wraps with a light‑hearted sign‑off. Overall, the episode ties together macro policy, sector rotation, strategic infrastructure investment, and a media giant’s resurgence to explain the continued equity rally.

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