Ben SimpsonNavigating the world of crypto with confidence & expertise | Founder & CEO of Collective Shift

Most people try and time the top and fail…

Name: Most people try and time the top and fail…
Uploaded: 2025-12-12T07:22:16+00:00
Duration: 1 min 4 s
Channel: Ben Simpson
Description: Ben Simpson explains that while buying crypto is easy, selling is hard and requires a clear exit plan. He argues against trying to pick the absolute…

12 Dec 2025 · 1 min

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1:04

Ben Simpson explains that while buying crypto is easy, selling is hard and requires a clear exit plan. He argues against trying to pick the absolute market top (which usually fails), supports this with on-chain timing observations (Bitcoin top periods measured in days; meme-coin tops can be hours), and recommends de-risking by taking profits on the way up through pre-defined exit points to preserve gains while retaining exposure.

Questions this video answers

About 5–10 days (top 10% window, per speaker).

Four hours (per speaker).

Chapters

Everyone tells you how to buy crypto, but no one tells you how to sell. This is the hard thing. Anyone can make money crypto. You can buy and accumulate as much as you want. You can make hundreds of thousands of dollars on paper. I did my first cycle and I lost the entire thing because I didn't know how to sell. It wasn't until I implemented this exact sell strategy that made all the difference and made me literally life changing amounts of money. And it's helped thousands of my clients also make life changing amounts of money. The biggest thing with your exit plan is that to not try and pick the absolute top of a bull market. You want to know when the top of the cycle is coming close. But if you try and pick the top of the cycle 99 times out of 100, you will lose. We know this because we looked at the on chain data. We can see the top of a cycle for bitcoin literally lasts in the top 10% for 5, 10 days maximum for meme coins. At the other end of the cycle, Dogecoin was in the top 10% for four hours. So the altcoin sector is even harder to pick than the bitcoin top. So the way we do it is we take profits out on the way up. We want to de risk our position by having exit strategies where we take chips off the table, stack the profits while still maintaining exposure to the market. Having those points on those exit strategies is critical to make sure you don't miss the top and you're still taking profits without having to risk trying time it perfectly.