Demis Hassabis believes AGI doesn't need a major breakthrough and was already achieved in summer 2020. Figure AI scaled from one robot per day to one per hour, targeting 100,000 by 2030. Elon Musk and Brad Adcock predict 10 billion humanoid robots could exist by 2040.
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Demis Hassabis, the CEO of DeepMind, says AGI may not need a major breakthrough. I've argued in the past that we achieved AGI in the summer of 2020. We know, I would argue, what AGI is, and we know how— Please define it for me. Figure AI, they've increased production from 1 robot per day to 1 robot per hour. Their target is 100,000 robots between now and 2030. 1X Technology OpenAI's production goal is 10,000 robots this year, 100,000 in 2027. The prediction that comes both from Elon and from Brad Adcock, up to 10 billion humanoid robots by 2040. It's probably right. What I think is perhaps even more interesting is what does a post-humanoid robot form factor look like? These are the kinds of conversations and imaginations that one can have in this, you know, exponential singularity that we're living in.