Two speakers debate whether the most powerful AI models will stay locked inside companies. They estimate a two-generation gap between what's public and what OpenAI and Anthropic keep for themselves, driven by economic incentives and safety concerns.
How many models beyond the current frontier do you think OpenAI and Anthropic have? I mean, they've been talking about Astra. They've started to publish the results that Astra— what Astra can accomplish. Do they have the follow-on to Astra as well already? You already know they're not releasing the very best models. They're using them internally to drive breakthroughs in physics and chemistry and biology.
It will be very much a case of models for me, but not for thee. It doesn't make economic sense to have genius-level intelligence offered as a service to everyone when you can use it better yourself.
Do we really want to give access to this super genius intelligence to everyone?
I think people are like, not really, because it's already doing weird things even with us driving it. What happens when Joe Public drives this thing, right? Like, it could be even weirder. And as Dave said, you don't want to be on the other side of that. So I think it's about 2 generations gap right now.