Carlo CocuzziAI Expert, Pod Cast Host, Real Estate Investor and Funding Specialist

We've had AGI since 2020 | MOONSHOTS

22 Jun 2026 · 1 min

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Demis Hassabis says AGI could arrive in three to four years, matching Ray Kurzweil's 2029 prediction. One speaker argues this timeline is oddly conservative given DeepMind's progress, and claims some form of AGI has already existed since 2020.

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Sir Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind and Nobel laureate, just tightened his AGI timeline. He's now fully aligned with friend of the pod Ray Kurzweil and his original projection of 2029, just 3 years from now.
I like Demis a lot, but I think this is sort of a bizarre statement on his part that we're not at AGI yet, but that it could arrive by 2029. It's also a bizarre juxtaposition to be posing such a conservative timeframe when Gemini is seemingly about about to lose, unless it just leapfrogs in terms of capabilities, about to lose the horse race. So to frame the timelines for artificial general intelligence as 3 to 4 years from now, when your lab is right now not in the lead, it feels to me a little bit like sort of moving the goalpost conveniently, maybe somewhat self-servingly, to buy more time for DeepMind to leapfrog. I think we've arguably had some form of artificial general intelligence since 2020.