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Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | MOONSHOTS

4 Jun 2026 · 0 min

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Ray Kurzweil predicts AGI by 2029, citing exponential growth in computing power over 75 years and the dramatic acceleration of large language models in the last six months. Demis Hassabis says it's 50/50 whether another breakthrough is needed.

We just saw a story where Demis Hassabis, who you know, said 50/50 whether we need another breakthrough to get to AGI. What do you think?
Well, I think we need two things. Uh, so we've made a 75,000 million trillion fold increase over this 75 years, but AGI will happen by 2029. Large language models have only been effective for the last 6 months. We're being really affected by the exponential growth. A year a year ago, large language models were okay. Now they're really very effective, and we're really going to be able to feel that in
the future. If you could send a message back in time to the 1960s or 1970s for how to avoid plateaus and just speed up progress toward the singularity, what message would you send back in time?
I think we have to consider—