701: The Post-Crash Pivot: Why Investors NEED to Change in 2023 w/Eric Brewer

This is the BiggerPockets podcast show 7 01.

That one point right there makes the decision much easier. If, if I would have just realized the tax implications in year one, I would have probably started out with a brrr model versus a fix and flip model, because once you cut the profit in half for Uncle Sam, it starts to make the $400 a month. I mean, in four years, you'll make that money back.

What's going on, everyone? This is David Green, your host of the Bigger Pockets real estate podcast. The biggest, the best, the baddest real estate podcast in in the world. Here today with another fire episode with another flame co host Rob Abasolo. How are you today, Smokey?

Hello.

Hello.

They call me the baddie of the real estate world. So that's. That's interesting that you said we're the baddest show it all. It all makes sense.

Yeah. In fact, I thought they called you little baddie, but maybe that's just when you're right.

That's my stage name. Yeah, exactly.

There you go. Yeah. Today we have an amazing show for you with a person who runs a very successful real estate business. Eric Brewer shares tons of information, stuff that he learned from his career in the military and then his career selling cars, and now with this sort of all inclusive business where he wholesales, he flips, he holds some rentals. He basically spends over a million dollars a year to generate leads, works them through a funnel and then figures out which ones will be kept and sold and disputed. All kinds of creative ways that you can make money in real estate. Rob, what were some of your favorite parts of today's show, man?

Yeah, so Eric is the master of the pivot, or as Ross Geller would say, the pivot.

Pivot.

Pivot. He's really. Dude, he's pivoted. He walked us through his whole journey, and every single time there was, he sensed a change in the market or in the buyer sentiment. Seems like he was just super quick to get a read on it and pivot his business to still kind of remain active and profitable and everything like that. So I think we could all take a page out of that book and sort of understand how important it is to be able to be adaptable when the market is changing.

Absolutely. That's one of the themes of today's show. Not just what the market's doing, but what you can do differently in this market that will work. That did not work before. That is to me, when I listen to a podcast, that's the number one thing I'M looking for. Tell me what's happening right now, tell me what I can do differently or better that will work right now so I can keep an edge on my competition and today's episode definitely delivers. Before we bring in Eric, today's quick tip is Remember that real estate is a relationship business and you need to be focused on the relationships, not just the deal. When we say something is transactional is where people put the value on the transaction, not the people in the transaction. Real estate does not work well, much like dating when you treat somebody that way. So in anything that's relationship based, remember to focus on the person, their goals. Treat them the way that you would want to be treated and you'll find the money comes your way versus just focusing on the deal and treating them like a means to an end. Eric gives some very good examples of that in today's show.

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And without any further ado, let's bring in Eric. Eric Brewer. Welcome to the BiggerPockets podcast. How are you today?

I'm doing well. How are you?

I'm doing fantastic. Thank you for asking. So we're excited to talk to you today. Before we get into it, can you give us a brief rundown of what your real estate business and your personal portfolio looks like?

Yeah. I've been investing in real estate since 2006. Currently, we are operating in two core markets here in south central Pennsylvania, and we also run a market in Ohio.

We do a fair amount of balance of wholesaling, fix and flip and turnkey.

Okay, so you got a lot of stuff going on.

We got quite a bit, yeah. We. We have a decent amount of. We do about 30% or so of our businesses wholesale. 30% turnkey, 30% fix and flip. Now we have a portfolio of about 70 to 75 rentals. It was closer to 100, and then at Covid, decided to sell off some stuff. Regretting a little bit of that now, but at the onset of COVID with the uncertainty that was going on at the time, we sold, sold off a few rentals.

Okay, and do you have business partners? Is that the we?

No, I just include everybody that works with me.

Oh, that's interesting. We're gonna have to ask about how that's structured. Before we get too deep into that, though, tell me, how did your journey into real estate look? What was going on in your life? What made you decide to get into real estate? AT was clearly the best time in history. 2006 is notorious for being the best time to start a real estate investing career.

Before getting into the real estate business, I had spent about eight years in the automotive business and at the tail end of my career in auto sales, had just kind of reached a tipping point where the hours had got to me. You know, I was moving in the direction of having my first child and just really knew that I couldn't be a great dad and a great car manager and had to make a decision. So obviously chose to hang up my car salesman shoes and took a few months off. Just sort of doing some soul searching to Figure out what my next move would be and made the selection. It would be real estate. And thought that it would be wise to start my journey in real estate on the finance side. So I looked into mortgage businesses and did a couple interviews and ended up my first job in real estate. Was basically cold calling for refis in 2006 and did actually really well with it. It was surprised at how easy it was in comparison to me grinding out two and a half hour appointments with car buyers to make 300 bucks on a new car. I was literally spending 45 minutes on the phone calling someone and, you know, making a couple thousand dollars on a refi. And after doing that for, I don't know, four months or so, my mentor from the car business reached out to me and said, hey, I'm thinking about getting into real estate. And I thought of you, would you like to have lunch? And we had lunch a couple days later. And immediately following the lunch that we had, we made a decision to start flipping houses in 2006. February 2006.

So you decide to leave behind a somewhat lucrative but tedious business in the car world. You get into real estate. You say, I want to flip my first house. What was that house actually like? Did you know anything going into it about ARVs or comps or budgeting? Walk us through that journey a bit.

Yeah, so the, the, the first house that we bought was a bank owned property. I walked the house, my partner had bought a couple rentals and had a real estate agent. And the real estate agent got us into the house, met me there and we were talking about arv. I don't think we called it arv. We said, what could it say sell for after we fix it up. Right. I don't even, I don't even know what ARV meant. And he gave me a number and we did the math and he was.

Really, really well spoken in Spanish. And we met a contractor there. The number that I got was $12,000. So I did my math based on $12,000. We ended up negotiating, buying the house from the bank. I met the contractor back there, you know, three, four weeks later to tighten up our rehab budget, brought up the number of 12,000. And he said, yeah, what about materials?

And I said, well, damn, I thought that was in the 12. And he goes, no, it's never in that. That was a labor number. So now I'm staring down the barrel of what I thought was a $12,000 rehab. That's more like 22. And we got the rehab done and ended up selling it and making a little bit of money, like little, like maybe three or $4,000. And it was a good learning experience. I understood better on day two how to estimate a rental budget, but the first one I royally flubbed up but it was a $90,000 house.

So you know, luckily for, for me In South Central Pennsylvania, $90,000 was very inexpensive. There was more buyers for that stuff than there was homes to buy to buy. So we ended up selling our way out of it.

So you go into several flips after that. How long did it take before you started graduating to a little bit more expensive flips? Or were you always in that ninety thousand dollar wheelhouse for a while?

So yeah, most of the time in the very beginning we stayed at or around like the, this is crazy to think like 80 to $125,000 property back in 2006. I don't know what the median was, but it was probably close to that.

Okay, right.

So which if you think about it's a smart decision, but I definitely, I wasn't smart about it back then. It just so happened that that's the stuff you had the best chance to buy on the mls, right. Like there was less competition in our area. That house was probably in the city where the taxes are higher. The schools maybe aren't as, you know, nice as what someone might get in the suburbs. And some of the locations can be a little dicey. But for me, we would buy homes for 25, put 35 in them and sell them for 99. I mean that's the only place I can get inventory. And back then when we first started, I was buying 90% or more of my deals on the market on the mls and that's where the available inventory was. There was more competition on the higher priced suburbia, you know, stuff that didn't need a full rehab. So yeah, we really started on the MLS and buying less expensive stuff. And then coming from the car business background, I would say we, we actually sucked at buying homes. We sucked at renovating homes. What we were really good at is selling them. So I didn't sell much of my stuff on the MLS when we started. I would run, yes, I'm going to say newspaper. I was in the business when people still actually ran newspaper ads. We would take out like a half page in the Sunday news with color ads and we advertise no money down monthly payments to generate a bunch of inquiries. We'd get 30, 40 leads a week. We'd send them over to a lender, have them pull credit get them pre approved. And if we got three or four qualified buyers a week out of those 30 applications, that was a good week. And then we would sell. Not long after our first full year in business, we did 150 flips, did 70. Some like our first full year. Second full year, we were north of 100. But we did a really good job of running ads. It's the same thing I did in the car business. We'll put a zero down payment on the windshield. People drive by and go, yeah, how do I get that Chevy Blazer down there for 299? We literally took what worked in the car business and said, I think we should run these same type of ads for our house. And it worked.

Wow.

Okay, so if I hear you correctly, you started off with a flip. You didn't really know too much. You underestimated the Renault in your first one.

Yep.

365 days after that, you had completed 150 flips, is that right?

700. It was the second full year.

Oh, the second.

So our full first. Yeah. First full year we did 70 couple. I remember the exact. It was like set north of 70. And then the second full year we were over 100 plus. I'd have to. It was probably closer to 150. Then every year after that we were right around 200. So by our third year, we were doing 200 a year.

So here's what I don't ever like. I'm always just super interested in this part of the story because. And I think a lot of people at home, right, because I think we understand the general concept of going and buying a house. You fix it up, you sell it, you make a profit, you take that profit and then you use it to buy your second house. And then hopefully on your second house, you make a little bit more profit and then you take that money and then you go and you buy a third and maybe even get a fourth one concurrently. Yeah, but how does one actually get from like flip, let's say three to five to flip 50, because doesn't that require some level of funds and funding and private lenders? That just seems impossible.

So it would be under normal circumstances. I was very blessed that my partner was the owner of the car dealership that I worked at. And we didn't deal with private lenders. I had one private lender as my business partner.

Oh, I see. And so what was his role in all of this? Was he just like, hey, we were.

I mean, we worked side by side. Like in the beginning, we were driving out the bank owned properties, kicking in back doors, crawling in windows because someone lost the key in the lockbox. And walking through properties with flashlights, trudging through wet basements. I mean, we did all the crappy stuff that you had to do to buy a property. We did it together. I literally, for the first five years in business, I didn't look at a budget, I didn't look at cash flow, I didn't look at any of that crap. I was blessed to have a partner that managed the business, the back end business aspects, the finances, all of that stuff. All I had to do was go out and buy good deals, get them into construction, get them out of construction, and then work my face off to get them sold. So the hardest part about my job between 2006 and probably 2012 was I literally worked all the time. The big difference between real estate in the car business, I had more control over when I worked. Right. Like I could check out for two hours to go pick my son up from school, take him to basketball practice, pat him on the butt, tell him to have a great practice, and then go to the parking lot and make 30 phone calls. Where in the car business, you literally have to stand at the car dealership and wait for some sucker to come in to buy a car. Right. Like with real estate at least you have, you can work sort of from anywhere.

Yeah, yeah.

Some things you have to, you know, certain things, you know, it's hard for me. Back then we didn't have. I don't know what the cell phone situation was in 2006. It certainly was like what we're dealing with. And there was no matterport, there was no FaceTime. Right. I think the MLS capped you at like six pictures. So you literally had to go to the house and look at it to make a decision about what you could pay. Right.

I think I want to say that 2006 was right around when the iPhone came out. Like. Like the first one, the very first iPhone that's ever existed.

Yeah, I don't. I'd have to 2006, I think I was straight up Nextel. Like the, remember the little like the push to talk next tells. So yeah, I mean, my job, I didn't worry about any of that stuff. I literally didn't have to worry about it. And frankly, it was, it was. Now I worry about that stuff every single day. Right. Like we manage an inventory of, excluding rentals. Like any given time we might have a popular, a pipeline of 45 to 60 properties. And cash flow is, is a really big you know, influencing factor. When we make a decision about will we wholesale something. Right. Like what we're noticing right now. And I don't mean to jump ahead, but what we're noticing right now is there's a bigger gap. For the last two years, if I looked at what I could wholesale something for versus if I took it down, fixed it, flipped it, there was not much different. I was. I was getting close to my projected income on a fix and flip, and I was wholesaling the property. So I'm like, you know what? I'm not going to go through the hassle of doing construction and funding this deal. I'll wholesale it and make 25,000 bucks, because if I fix and flip it, I stand to make 40. That. That. That to me, is not. I'm normally. If it's more north than 50% of what I can make on a fix and flip, I'll wholesale it.

Now, I know, Eric, you've done several things in life, it sounds like, that have led you to this point. We kind of briefly touched on selling cars, and you did mention some of the things you didn't like about it, but certainly there were things you learned doing there that set you up for success in this world. Like what you just said. I would go in the parking lot and make 30 calls. I'm a real estate agent. I'm. I own a mortgage company. I understand, like, it is pulling teeth to get salespeople to contact possible clients for anything. It's the hardest part of my job is someone comes to me and they say, hey, I want to be a real estate agent, David. Teach me everything. And we say, okay, you're only going to have to call five people a day. And that's like, oh, you'll maybe get five a month. And then it's like, three of them is going to be their mom. I don't know what it is that it creates such fear of calling people and talking to them, but you didn't have that. And I think it probably played a big role in putting you in the position where you can have this wholesale business and this flipping business and this deal volume that you're doing that everybody here is. And they go, I want to have Eric's life. But they don't want to make those 30 calls.

Yeah.

And it's.

And there's a lot of other stuff that comes with it. Right. I'll give you a quick story about the car business. So the first two years I was there, I worked my way up through the service department. I started Actually, as a lot porter, which. Which is a glorified term for parked cars, right? And the whole reason I applied there is because it was a Mercedes and a Toyota new car franchise. I was like, I literally get paid to drive around Mercedes and brand new Toyotas all day. Sign me up.

So I worked my way up through the service department, and then that was my first glimpse into sales. Like, I didn't realize it at the time, but when you take your car and you drop it off with what's called a service manager or service advisor, it's a sales job. Like, they're going to compare your car and the mileage and the condition to what is, you know, the epitome of safe. And then they're going to make recommendations about, hey, you have 54,000 miles on your car. Dave, have you considered getting a 60,000 mile service? This is what it includes. We could take care of it while you're here. It would only cost an additional $448. By the way, we noticed that your back brakes are getting a little bit low. You could let it ride for a little bit. They may start to squeal. And when you notice that, make sure you call me. Or we could go ahead and take care of it while you're here today. I'm sure that's not how it sounded when I was doing it back in 1996, but I sold a lot of stuff. And it's only because, like, the technician would come to me and go, hey, man, these people ought to really get this stuff done. I go, well, explain that to me. What is a timing belt? And he'd tell me, I go, okay, I'm gonna go call him. And I would just call him and tell him that stuff and then say, do you want to get it done? So I sold all this service, right? And I got like awards and stuff. I had no idea what I was doing. I was just following instructions. And eventually I caught the attention of the sales manager, who ended up being my business partner in real estate. And he's like, man, like customers really like you. We've had a couple people wander out to the sales floor and say, hey, you guys do such a good job in service. Eric's working on my car. Next thing I know, we're selling in a brand new vehicle. You ever think about getting into sales? And I was like, sales? I'm not doing sales. Like, you pressure people into doing stuff. I'm not cut out for that. So he kept working on me. And June 17th, I don't remember the Year.

Was my first day in sales, on the sales floor. So I transitioned from service to sales on June 17th. Typically, back then, at this particular dealership, if you sold 20 cars in a given month, you would be salesman of the month, or at least in competition. So I start June 17th. I don't know the difference between a spark plug and a muffler. I. I don't know how to do a great walk around. I don't know how to do a test drive. I'm like, I'm just going to go talk to everybody. I didn't know what a buyer looked like. I didn't know what negative equity looked like. I didn't know what kind of shoes you should be wearing, if you were a good credit customer. All these other salespeople did, they go, that guy can't buy. They're probably buried in their trade. They're upside down. I just went and talked to people. I sold 21 cars between June 17 and June 30 and didn't have a clue. So in my brain, I went, all I did was talk to a bunch of people. I brought him inside, I got him excited about this Toyota Camry. And then I went and got a manager and said, hey, these people really like the car. Can you close them? And I. And I was salesman of the month, sold 21 cars. And every month after that, I never sold less than 20 cars. Most months I sold 30 cars and I was salesman of the month and made a crap ton of money at the age of 23. And I think what happened to your point is, like, most people hate car salesmen, right? So there's nothing more uncomfortable than walking up to a stranger that you know hates your guts and can't wait to lie to you and ask them, can you help them? Because they're always going to. They're going to tell you, no, I'm just looking. And you know, they're not just looking. So you get this thick skin as a car salesman. And when I showed up in real estate, like, making 30 calls to me was no big deal. So I think that, I think the car business, matter of fact, it's. Right now, it's a big place we hire from.

I can see why it makes so.

Much sense, the resiliency that's required to be in the car business. And frankly, they. Other than the last two years, most car salesmen have to sell a crap ton of automobiles to make six figures. When I made that decision, I remember saying like out loud to my business partner, who was my mentor at that Time like, dude, we just made $20,000 on this house. Like, we make $300 a car. Like, we were just shocked. Like, I remember saying, he said, I can't believe we did that for so long. He was in the car business for 20 years by the time he made the transition.

But there's value that you got out of it. That wasn't just the money. Right. So you learned about human psychology. You learned about work in a system. You learned how to be different than other people. Like every other salesman was pushy. You were not being pushy. In a sense, you were probably listening much better. I can tell that something about you is that you, you listen to what other people are saying, and then you have an intuitive nature to see what they really want. And then you just offer it to them. Like, it was brilliant when you said, hey, this could happen with your car. These are common issues with timing belts. Do you want us just to take care of it now? Because if you don't know about cars, which no one does, and you hear that, what you think in your mind, like, you didn't create pressure, Eric, but the question created pressure because you're thinking, well, if I say no, am I actually leading myself to having a huge problem later? I don't know enough about cars to trust that I, that I can say no. Yeah, just go ahead and take care of it. It's only $1,500. Right. Whereas if you didn't bring it up, the pressure's never there because they don't even know that it's a potential issue. That is a much smarter way of going about it. That doesn't make you feel slimy. And that's what I'm, I'm noticing about you. Just talking to you now. I'm not shocked that you have a sales based business that is doing good volume and you, like yourself, you're not the slimy wholesaler that everyone's worried about.

Yeah.

If we could take one more step back in your journey, I want to ask you about the army and what lessons you learned in the army that helped build the resiliency to be able to succeed in the car business that allowed you to have the, the fortitude to go succeed in real estate.

Yeah. So at the time, here's, here's what was going through my head in 1994 when I, when I went to Fort Knox for boot camp. And at 4 in the morning, I just got a buzz cut. They shaved all I had hair back then. They shaved my head, made me drop off anything that resembled the outside world jammed me into a school bus, took me out to this building in the middle of nowhere with 50 other men, threw us in bunk beds, waited just long enough for everybody fall asleep, and then turned all the lights on and started screaming and yelling at us at 5 o' clock in the morning, dumped all of our beds, threw them out the window, made us go out in front of the building, stand in a formation when no one knew how to stand at a formation. And we did push ups until 75% of the people either quit or puked. And at my time I was like, what in the hell am I doing here? This like literally last night my mom made me a freaking peanut butter and jelly sandwich with chocolate milk celery with more peanut butter on it. And now I got some grown man that kills people for a living screaming at me, why am I here? This is horrible. And you just got through it. And you know, the next day it happened again. The third day it happened again. And really what they were doing, now that I understand, is they were tearing us down as individuals. And everything that we did, we did together, we won together, we failed together, everything we did together. So now looking back on it, understand what they were doing is they were stripping us of our personal identity and they were making us a group, they were making us a team. And everybody counted on each other and we won and lost as a group and. But at the time, I didn't know it right. I just, I tried to figure out a way to not be the guy that got the other 59 guys in trouble.

That's exactly.

And I did a pretty good job of that. I was like, I know what you guys are doing. I'm going to fold my socks. Because they literally, you'd have to fold your 12 pair of socks and they would come through and, and they checked, everybody take 59 guys, four pairs of socks. So they're inspecting 240 pairs of socks and if one of those suckers wasn't folded by, by the exact Measurement, the whole 59 people were getting their socks dumped outside. January in Fort Knox, Kentucky, it's flipping cold, right? And then you'd have to go outside and do push ups and then they'd bring you back in, make you fold all your socks again, and they'd inspect you again. So at the time, what it taught me was the value of process, the value of predictive, you know, the predictable outcome. Everybody does things the exact same way. There is no, you don't say apple when you're trying to spell out A letter. You say Alpha, you don't say Billy, you say Bravo. Everybody speaks the same language. So there's very efficient communication and there's, there's, there's very minimal miscommunication in the military because there's an SOP and a process for everything.

Yeah, I can imagine your brain, because what's happening is, like you said, the way that you always approach life, your instincts, your habits, the, the literal, like, neural pathways that tell you, oh, this happened, you do this. Most people are living without realizing it, a slave to habit in some form that all gets torn apart and you're rebuilt in a way that would make you a more effective soldier or person to be a part of that unit. And I think a lot of today's culture looks at that as negative.

Right.

We throw words on it like abusive and toxic and, and, and stuff. In a sense, that keeps you alive and it makes everything run much smoother and it actually sets you up for success in other team oriented environments. Which is where I'm going with this because you've said many times today, we do this, we do that. Even though you may be the leader or the brainchild, or you may be playing a bigger role than some of the other people, maybe not. But my guess is whether you ever do or don't, it's always a we. Real estate's freaking hard, man. Like, those of us that are doing it know this is very difficult and you need people on your team to win. You're now in this position that you've built a business that is team oriented. Was that happenstance or do you think that some of the background of what you got in the army led to you having a brain that was rewired to succeed as a team?

You know, it's, it's a really good question. And I would say that all of my life experiences have led me to the way that I behave now. So I had someone that was 24 years old, I was at a mastermind three months ago, and he said, all right, if you could go back to being 24 years old or 25 years old in real estate, what's a piece of advice that you would give yourself? And my knee jerk reaction was, none. And he said, what do you mean none? And I could almost hear what he was thinking. You mean you haven't learned anything from when you were 25 years old to now? And my response was, is that if I were to change, and here's where I knew I was old and he was young. I said, it's kind of like the movie Back to the Future. And he looked at me and went, I don't know what that is.

And you remember Back to the Future, if he went back into history and he interrupted like that interaction between his mother and Biff, that his dad would have never saved his mother from Biff and then she wouldn't have fell in love. And then so I said literally, like, I'd be concerned if I went back and gave myself a piece of advice about what to do at that particular age or, you know, when I was early in business, it would have changed my experience. And my experience is what has led me to where I am today. So I wouldn't change anything. I wouldn't give myself any advice I'd want me to go through. Real estate is hard. And I'm glad you said that because I think too often people don't talk about that. Like, I actually don't love real estate, right. What I've realized I love is I love building meaningful relationships and then nourishing those relationships to get the most out of myself and to give the most to that relationship in exchange. It just so happens that if you do what I just said in real estate, you should have a pretty good experience, you should make pretty good money. You should be able to get people to come work for you, you should be able to get them to stay and work for you. And if you do it correctly, which I'm still working on you, you should be able to create a lifestyle for yourself that requires far less work at some point than what you did in the beginning. So, yeah, I think there's, there's a lot to be said that real estate's hard. We don't talk about it as often as we should. And if you don't, you know, I wish I could go back and keep 40% of the 4,000 deals I've done since 2016. I'd be in a much different position, but it required a different level of discipline for those 16 years to not flip that house, keep it as a rental, make a little bit of money each month, not make the twenty five thousand dollar rip that I made flipping it and say, hey, I'm gonna, I'm gonna live with getting all my cash out, right? And I'm gonna make 400amonth. If I had the stuff that I bought between 2008 and 2012 and I kept 25 to 40% of that inventory, I'd be a, I'd be at peace right now, I think.

So this is such a good point, especially when we Go back in time and Hindsight's Dream 2020. The problem is, at the time you're looking at it like, how do I want to describe real estate? It's hard for us to imagine right now because it is such a competitive asset class. Everyone wants it. We're all fighting over houses. It's not like no one has a great deal. Even in a slow market like this where nobody takes it, we're still like scouring, looking for the deal. They're just harder to find because rates went up, so the cash flow has gone down. But at the time you were doing this, nobody wanted real estate like that. I don't know how to describe. It was not super popular, right? Like, it's trying to imagine a band that everybody cares about right now that in 10 years no one will even remember.

It's.

It's kind of like that, but in reverse. There wasn't a big appeal to keeping properties. What you were doing was you were saying, okay, I could have 400amonth or I could have 25 right now. That sounds like a pretty simple decision to make. One of the things that I've done with myself, because we still have challenges like this where we don't know what's in the future and we don't know what we should do is I've learned to look at money differently. Instead of seeing, okay, I can have 25,000 cash in the bank or I can have $400 a month in the bank, I say, I can have $25,000 in the bank or I can have $25,000 in THE property. If instead of calling it like cash, I call it like energy. If the energy is in my bank account, we call it cash or money. If it's in the property, we call it equity. But it's the same thing, okay, now it works differently because when the market shifts, you lose equity in a property. And when the market goes up, you can gain equity in a property. So it's more volatile in the property, in the bank, it's more functional, you can use it for more things. But still it's energy that behaves differently depending on the environment that you keep it in. And I think learning to look at it like that has made the decisions easier because I didn't feel like I was losing on the 25,000 cash. In fact, I would see now, all right, 25,000 dollar rip, that's going to be taxed at 50% for capital gains over the short term. That's actually 12,500. Then I have to figure out where I'm going to go invest it.

That one point right there makes the decision much easier. If I would have just realized the tax implications in year one, I would have probably started out with a brrrr model versus a fix and flip model. Because once you cut the profit in half for Uncle Sam, it starts to make the $400 a month. I mean, in four years you'll make.

That money back even if the property didn't appreciate. That's right, correct.

And then the equity only matters when you sell it. And if you're not selling for 10 or 15 year cycles, you can time it much like a lot of people did. And I sold off a couple of my rentals just after Covid, because I looked at it and I was like, this is, this is an abnormal set of circumstances. Property values are up 40% in one year. I'm cashing in. Yeah, right. And you know, seven months ago I regretted that decision. Right now I'm not so upset with it because we're seeing some of that 40% be given back. Right. It's market specific, but I was looking at a heat map the other day from realtor.com and the amount of inventory in certain places across the country is alarming. Right. It's up. Like in Arizona it's up 145%. In Pennsylvania, where I am, it's up 2%.

Wow.

Not much change in inventory here. So, you know, that's one of the benefits of where I am. In 2006, people in Las Vegas, Phoenix, Arizona made a gazillion dollars. But then with the flip of a switch, anybody that had flips hanging out there were screwed. Like literally the value changed. I had 10 or 12 flips in the pipeline. I remember the day, it was eerie. And buyer's agents and lenders were calling me like, hey man, our deal's falling apart. I was like, what's up? Something with the inspection, the appraisal. Like, no, the bank is out of business. Like they literally closed their doors at 3 o' clock today. There's no deal. And I was like, what do you mean they just close? You can't just close. Like, what do you mean they're closed? Like, yeah, yeah, they're done. Like they're out of business. Like everybody's fired and they went home for the day forever. And you know, that's where I actually, you know, at some point we'll probably talk about novations, but coming out of that, in 2008, that's how I discovered Novations. Because it prior to 2008, nobody was using FHA financing. It's one of the things I'm seeing in the market right now that's. It's funny, you know, knowing what I know now, that every 10 or 15 to 20 years, these cycles repeat themselves. So if I knew that, I think to your point, like back then, real estate was a really well kept secret. There was only the small little circle of people that knew about it. It's probably because someone in their family grew up that way. They taught them how to do rentals. Here's this tax code that nobody talks about. We don't want to bring a lot of attention to it because if we do that, they might change it.

Exactly.

Which we're seeing now. Right. Once everybody finds out about it, go, oh, they're exploiting it. We're going to get rid of that.

Called a loophole and call them a greedy and throw millionaire on there and. Yep.

Yeah. Once too many people make enough money and they see it, that that needs to be corrected, they're going to change it, which, you know, they're probably going to change.

Well, they've already changed bonus depreciation. That's stepping down lots of things.

Yeah, that's a big impact. Right. Like there's a lot of people that would make a decision to buy a property, maybe pay a little bit more than they wanted to, but the bonus depreciation would say, you know what, I'm getting all these tax advantages. I'll go ahead and pay what you're asking for it. So, yeah, I mean, that's the, the one thing. Had, you know, had I known that back then, I would have said, it doesn't matter what it's worth in four years because I'm looking at a 20 year deal. What's it worth in 20 years? And for the last hundred years, property values double every 20 years.

Yeah.

So I know it's going to be worth double whatever I pay now in 20 years. It's worth double.

So, Eric, I mean, you sort of talked about you sold some of your portfolio here during, during COVID but you had one really big pivot in your career and that was in that 2008 era where you were crushing it on your home flips. And then all of a sudden maybe you weren't crushing it as much and you completely sort of changed the direction of your real estate career. Can you tell us about that pivot and why it came to be?

Yeah, so it's happened a couple times. Like when we started, we were almost exclusively MLS, and then that that the tough part is in 2008 it got really hard to sell a house and predominantly because there was this flood of inventory coming. So there was a ton of competition. And the hardest thing to do in 2008, late 2008, was to get a stinking mortgage. There was this, you know, opposite reaction to the very forgiving, probably irresponsible lending that was happening for a couple years leading up to the recession, that banks made a very corrective set of measures to get super tight. Like you had to have a 700 credit score and 15% down to get a mortgage unless you were using FHA. In 2008 and 2010, I started doing installment sales agreements. I had people that would come to me in 2009 with a 640 credit score and $15,000 down, getting declined by lenders, right? They didn't have enough. Maybe they couldn't prove their overtime or they hadn't been on their new job for two years, right? It was really, really hard to get a mortgage. So these people are coming, they got 15 grand down, they want to buy my house. They have the ability to pay, they have good income. We started doing installment sales agreements at over 140 installment sales agreements by the end of like 2011.

And I was getting 15 to $20,000 down on $150,000 property. They were paying me 8 to 10% interest and I was borrowing it from the bank at 5 to 6% because again, fortunately, I had a business partner that was able to leverage his wealth and go to the bank and say, hey, we're going to structure these deals at 80% of appraised value. We already have, you know, basically a highly qualified tenant. So we don't have any, we don't have any maintenance, we don't have any of that stuff. And our advance was lower than 80% because we had their down payment plus the equity we already had booked into the property. So we did installment sales agreements that was 30 to 40% of my sales for two years. On the heels of the crash in 2011 and 12, there was more investor activity back in the market and I started to see become more and more challenging to buy properties on the mls. So I had to pivot to direct to seller between 2012 and 2015. Now my business is 90% direct to seller, virtually zero MLS activity, right? In 2000.

About four years ago, I pivoted into turnkey, got away from retail fix and flip, pivoted into turnkey because rates were coming down and there was a lot of investor activity. I think the Wall Street Journal calls them laptop landlords, people that buy turnkey across the United States, they find qualified rehabbers, good property management companies, and they buy turnkey real estate, they leverage it and they utilize the Fannie and Freddie product. Up to 10 loans in their own name and it's the most desirable rental product you can get on the market. It's 30 years. Typically it's at a discounted rate and you can get up to 10 properties in your own name. And now like just in the last six months, that turnkey business is vaporized. So I'm back to pivoting again because the property that was cash flowing, 300amonth for this out of state investor, with the rates where they are, it's negative cash flow at this, at an increased rent, the same price, the interest rate has had that big of an impact on cash flow. And those buyers have stepped aside for now. So I'm back to full circle, selling my properties retail to probably fha. That's the thing I was saying right now for flippers, if you're not selling your properties to FHA, VA borrowers that need 3 to 6% sellers help and have minimal down payment, you're missing the highest paying buyer in the marketplace right now.

And why is that? Can you explain the math there a little bit? Or like, why is that sort of the uncovered niche?

So we all know the market the last two years, right? Yeah, ridiculous. Probably the most lucrative real estate market we'll ever see, ever. And if you were an FHA borrower that needed 6% sellers help and had a $500 deposit.

You couldn't, you couldn't probably find a real estate agent that would take you out and show you homes. There's no way you could buy a house. Anything that qualified for FHA financing, they were getting either cash offers or conventional no sellers help appraisal waivers, no inspections, as an FHA borrower, you were at a significant disadvantage. So those people now with rising interest rates, it's created the opportunity for them to be able to buy a house. So they're not comparing 7% to 3 1/2% because they weren't active at the 3.5% rates. They were not an active buyer because the market would not allow them to purchase.

Yeah. So Eric, basically, if I'm hearing you correctly, it's, there's all this, a very large group of people in the United States, you know, people who are just married or trying to move, they've had no shot at entering the market over the past two years and now they actually have a chance. Interest rates are a little bit higher. Maybe they're going to be getting something in the sixes versus in the fours. But they still really want the house. Whereas on the flip side of this, investors are paying 7 to 8%. The cash flow is a lot smaller now. Like the, they're just not penciling out. So they're not getting quite as competitive because they don't know where this market's going to go necessarily. Whereas, you know, maybe the homeowners are, are fine. You know, they want to buy the house so they're willing to take the risk a little bit more. Is that more or less what you're describing?

Yes, there, there's a window. What do you think's going to happen to investor activity? The instant rates drop down in the fives?

Oh, yeah. They're going to be getting back at it.

It's going to go bananas again. Right.

I, you know, I'm seeing a little bit of an opportunity here. It's like I feel bad. All right, maybe, maybe it's like I shouldn't feel bad. But the market has been so dang competitive. Sellers have been so, like, you know, very confident. So they've been raising those prices and now there's terror lurk in the streets. Right. And I'm making some pretty aggressive offers, like 3,400k under asking. And I feel bad because I'm like, but it is genuinely the only way that these deals pencil out. And I'm actually fine with it. Even on some of these deals where I was used to getting a 20 plus return cash on cash. Some of these deals I'm getting like a 10 to 15 and I'm like, well, you know, I'm actually fine with it because I think in like a year or two, when rates go back down, I'll refi and then it's going to be like the greatest deal ever.

That was one of the pivotal moments for me as investors when I got less concerned about what I was paying in relation to asking price and what I was paying in relation to the value.

So true.

And it's one of the things that gets investors ways I'm not paying over list. Well, who cares what list is? What's the value of the property?

Yes.

And am I getting and can I make money out of it? Is a reasonable deal? Does the deal make sense that. I mean, it took me years to get past that where someone would say I need highest and best and I'm like, screw you.

You know, it's funny, Eric that you're saying it took years to get past that. But in the car world, nobody pays sticker price.

Not well. Last two years they have, they've been charging 25 grand over sticker. Back in the day. Back in the day, 2018. Right. You actually, you had to sell a house.

Yeah. You had to work, like, in order.

To be a listing, you get multiple offers. You had to price it really well. Yeah. So I actually would get annoyed when people put up had 17 offers in two days. Like, dude, you didn't do that. Tell me what you did to negotiate those seven offers and find the one that delivered the most value to the seller and how you got it to close on time. Don't tell me about the offers because none of that credit really belongs with us.

Yeah. Or house sold in two days. Like, that's like, yeah, I popped up on Zillow. Everybody was looking for it. You didn't do anything special.

We didn't, we didn't have, we didn't have anything to do with that. Right. If you literally were active in real estate the last two years, you could make money in spite of yourself. It was really hard to get a deal. It was super easy to sell it. We've seen 180 degrees now. It's, it's getting easier already today to get a deal.

Yeah.

Like, I know when I go to sellers houses, it used to be I'm getting five other offers a year ago. Now it's like, I hope you guys can help me. But then once I get the deal, I gotta work like a dog to go out and find somebody that's crazy enough to buy it with interest rates at seven and a half percent.

Right.

And it's gotta be a good deal. They're going, you know, what if I brought it to Rob? And I was like, rob, you want to buy this? He'll go, yeah, I'll buy. I don't care what the rates are, but it better be a Good deal.

Yeah. 100%. I mean, it has to work, right?

Yeah.

So, Eric, tell me, tell me this, because I know that you said that you're, you're selling directly to sellers. How are you actually marketing to get sellers a into your system? And what is your deal flow process even looking. Looking like at the moment? Because I know there's a lot changing right now.

Yeah. So we do mails are number one. It's the thing that we spend the most on. It generates the, the most leads. And my average profit per transaction is the highest off of television. Then direct mail, ppc.

We stopped doing cold calling. I've been fighting that battle for three years. I just finally threw my hands up and said no one likes to get a cold call. No one likes to do a cold call. We're just gonna stop it. But we have a fair amount of success with texting and we've been able to operate inside of compliance. So that's generally where we spend the majority of our marketing dollars. And we generate about 320 to 350 what I call net leads a month inside of our funnel. We expect to make contact, same day contact or live answer with those people. Around 90%, 65% of those people we expect to get an appointment with 90% of those appointments. We expect to confirm and show the day of the appointment. And then we look to achieve minimum of 25% contract at appointment. We do all in person appointments. So that generally nets when you go through that funnel or to net us from net lead to contracts, about 10%. So our goal is to write about 40 contracts a month on close 32 to 35 of those. You'll have some fallout, you know, some title issues, seller change their mind, deals that don't work for one reason or another and ends up getting released. So gross 40 contracts, close 32 to 35.

All right, so let me, let me ask a couple questions here because I think a lot of people are going to have the way you've described it makes perfect sense like Funnel Marketing 101. But when you say you're getting a lead at that very top of the funnel, what is the ideal scenario that happens with that lead? You put a, let's say a TV commercial, you do all the process. You just talked about that lead. What are they doing? Are they getting to you to buy one of your homes that you already have listed and ready to rock? Are you wholesaling it to them? What's the final product that they're getting when they connect to your company?

So are you sellers or buyers?

Well I mean just how it in regards to your specific business like what is your, the final output of your, of your funnel?

Yeah. So now and I learned this through some of the data aggregates that we work with Shout Out Audantic, they run a bunch of our data sets for us. We now that you know who buys the most property as an investor in every market all across the country, what demographic of investor buys the most inventory? First time investor, just so happens they pay the most.

Right. So the largest volume of homes are sold to a first time investor in every market and they actually pay the highest percentage of quote unquote value. However, you calculate that they pay the most money and they buy the most. So but what does everybody teach you about wholesale? When you're going to go out and try and sell a property, pull a buyer's list. Where's your buyers list come from? Someone that's already bought a property in that area in that zip code or in that school district in the last 12 months. Well, the guy that's buying their first investment property is not on a list anywhere.

That's true.

Yep.

You got to go find.

Right. So you got to look at what we found is it's called a dink dual income. No kids between a certain age that makes a certain amount of income is the most logical person to buy their first investment property. And then there's a. On the back half of it, there's people that are more between my age, like 45 to 60, that are at the tail end of their professional career, are looking at their 401k and going, that's not going to cut it. So now they're looking to start to produce tax savings. Right. They're tired of paying Uncle Sam. So if they get a rental property and they depreciate it, so going to chip away at their tax bill. If they put enough of these properties at the age of 45 into a portfolio 15 years from now, they could have $2 million in equity that the tenant paid down for them. Right. So what you have to do is get a data set for predictive analytics for potential investors, because they're going to buy the property at a high enough price that you can get it under contract with the seller and still exit that property and make a reasonable profit. The problem most people have is they're locking up deals today at 2021 prices, and buyers are paying 2023 prices or what they think they're going to be. Sellers are still operating on the misconception that we're still in a market that we were seven months ago. And buyers are forecasting how bad it can get six months down the road. So sellers still want a little bit too much and buyers are willing to pay a little bit too little.

Well, we're always willing to pay a little, a little too little.

Well, that sums up the market in general. And it also has to do with understanding that you've. In the business, you have to pivot. You cannot just copy a blueprint that you saw other people do and say, oh, it works when everything is going great. You learned this lesson mark. When 2006 became 2008, right, you learned you had to pivot. Now what you're describing are techniques that people have to use to pivot. It is easier to buy something than it was. It is harder to sell it. The last, God, like eight years. If you're a real estate agent, getting a listing was incredibly difficult. Like finding a buyer client was incredibly easy. And then getting that buyer into contract was hell. And selling your listing was the best thing ever. It's changed. Like sometimes now we're like, yeah, give me some buyers that are willing to buy something. I don't want another listing. Because like you said, sellers have the idea in their head that their house is worth what it was at the peak. And with rates doubling or more than doubling in some places, buyers are not going to pay that. And there is a problem with communication between those two sides. And that always. That's how real estate works. And then we have this lag. While sellers have to have their expectations adjusted and buyers aren't going to budge, it gets to the point where the market will reset, we'll have equilibrium and then boom, something will change. We'll have another like this could go away very quickly if just rates drop. Imagine how fast all the stuff you're talking about how like, oh, I need five people on the dispo side.

Five and a half percent solves all of that crap.

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Yeah. So Eric, tell us. Okay, you've explained funnel marketing really great. I just wish we could do a whole episode on this. I'm like very giddy about it because if people just understood the simple like I guess metaphor of hey, it's a funnel. Your customers go from top to bottom. The more you lead them to the bottom of the funnel, the more conversions you have on that final product. Like that could make so many millionaires out of the listeners if they can just master this. Right. So now that you've sort of talked this through, your funnel, obviously you're getting a lot of leads. Can you tell us how you can tell us a little bit about your qualified leads, the distressed ones versus not. And can you sort of explain this, the seesaw concept that I know that you've sort of mastered as well?

Yeah. So I'm going to like, I hate the Q word. Qualified. I think most people that do direct a seller have gotten so good.

At disqualifying sellers, they're actually able to disqualify qualified sellers now. Right. Like, we, we've been so protective over what we think our version of motivation sounds like that when a seller calls in, if they don't say, I'll take 60% of Zillow, I'm behind on my payments, the house is a wreck. I just want to be done with it in 30. Like, I literally, I talk to people and they're like, yeah, if they're not looking to sell in 60 days, we don't even attend the appointment. You know, one of the problems with that, when you ask someone, are you looking to sell in the next 60 days? I think a fair amount of those people are actually answering a different question. What they're answering is, am I ready to move out of this house? And they might be ready to sell today, but they're not ready to move or they don't know that they can move because you haven't come out to the house and made them a reasonable offer and help put those pieces to the puzzle to together. Right. So, like, too often we go through this. Here's what someone has to qualify in order for us to go to an appointment. They're a decision maker and they're asking less than 200% of retail. So I, I could care less about what they ask for the property I'm more interested in. Are you a decision maker and are there any circumstances surrounding your situation that might contribute to you being willing to sell to someone like me at a price that might be a reasonable discount? Right. And then again, even with that being said, people like, well, your closing percentage might suck. No. We're historically year over year north of 25%. I can't. In a whole year, I can't achieve 30%. But we literally attend any lead that has a pulse and make an offer. Like, I've never. Have you ever bought a property, Rob, that you didn't make an offer on? Have I ever?

No.

So if you wanted, it just goes back to the funnel. If you want to buy more homes, what should you do?

Make lots of offers.

So is turning a quote unquote unqualified seller away, contribute to us making more offers or take away from making more offers? Takes away, takes away. So every time you quote, unquote, disqualified a seller, Right. And I tell you, anybody that's listening to this, go back and look at your pipeline from six months ago. Do a data scrub and look how many leads that you disqualified six months ago sold to someone at a price you would have gladly paid. I bet it'll make your tummy your stomach turn upside down, right? So we have this little box of what we believe, quote unquote motivation looks like. I would tell you, particularly in higher price point properties, people, we're solving first world problems. And I always use this analogy, right? Like I've had a pretty successful business career. Real estate has provided me with some amazing opportunities in regards to income. I barely graduated high school, didn't go to college. Like it's amazing, right? If I go to Chick Fil A and I'm waiting in line for seven minutes, I'm in distress.

Right? If you came to the back of the line, you're like, Eric, if you pay double, you can skip the seven minute wait, we'll get you your food right away. I'm paying double every time. But when we have someone that calls in with a property to sell, we look for, are they behind on payments, is it vacant? Do they have issues when they might have a set of first world problems that we're not even aware of? Like convenience becomes a source of distress for people that aren't in financial crisis. Right? But we don't look for that stuff. We don't, we disqualify someone if they don't have visible signs of these five or six points of motivation that we think would historically drive someone to sell us a property. So to answer your question, the seller seesaw for me is there's, there's when you look at property conditions. So if on one side of the, you know, the seesaw is conditioned and the other side's motivation as condition deteriorates motivation and distress goes up.

Nice. Okay, cool.

The problem with qualified is we're, we're making a decision about qualified or unqualified. Normally after a 5 minute, 5 phone call and you're asking a very high impact question, when do you want to move? What's the least amount you would take? And we've had a very low impact relationship with the seller so far. So it'd be like the equivalent of going out to a bar or a nightclub, walking up to a young lady, buying them one drink and asking if they want to get married for the rest of their life.

Rarely happens.

That approach might work for some people yet, but that's, that's what it's like getting a seller on the phone and saying, are you looking to move in the next 30 to 90 days? And what's the least amount that you would take? You can't really, you can't look for high impact transparency from people until you've had a high impact.

Conversation with Them and that doesn't happen in five minutes over the phone when they called you off a postcard. It's just not. You're a stranger. They're not, they're not going to be open and honest with you at that point.

Yeah. Especially if you're just calling them out of the blue. You're texting them out of the blue. Why would they let down all their barriers and all their guards to someone that, that's just trying to basically in their mind, swindle them into selling their property? Right. You got to build a little bit of trust.

Yeah. So that's how I look at qualified versus unqualified. It's just a bad set of terminology in our book because too often we're. And then. So the other thing I realized is like when we start. When I started in this business, I did acquisitions and at some point I was managing, acquiring properties, managing renovations, selling them. I started to become more selective about the, the seller appointments I would attend. Right. So as the owner of the company, we start to become more and more selective about the seller appointments we'll attend. And then once we hire people, we don't go back and undo that process to say, hey, I got two acquisitions agents. Now, the best thing they can do every day is go to a seller's house, make an offer and ask them to make a decision. So we have this buy box for what qualified is and we're very strict about what we'll go to and make an offer. And it, I mean, quite frankly, it just, it costs us tons of opportunities each and every month because we're over qualifying.

So can I ask you this? Where do novations fall into your seesaw strategy? Do you think you could just give us a brief explanation of what a novation is?

Yeah. So the novation is a wholesale style transaction, but we're exiting at retail price. So by wholesale, what I'm saying is we don't have to put our cash in it. We're not rehabbing it, we're not closing on it. So that's what makes it wholesale style. But we're able to pay a good bit more for the property because we're selling to retail buyers.

Right. So if you think about wholesale, I always say we, we, we, we're looking for a needle in a Haystack. It's that 10% unbalanced seller seesaw. We're looking for someone with high distress that normally comes with a property that needs at least a little bit of work. And then once we buy it at a discount, we have to sell it to a cash buyer.

Right.

Because an assignment is not a financeable transaction to a retail buyer. You can't get an FHA loan on an assignment from a wholesaler. It won't work. It's not a financeable insurable transaction. And then so we have to sell to an investor cash buyer. So we're buying one needle in a haystack and then we're going out and trying to sell that needle to another needle in a different haystack. That's a cash buyer that's willing to do a bunch of work to a house and then hope that they make a couple bucks versus Novations. Allow you to. Now I can actually make something out of the haystack. How many people do you think call in, in an average funnel and they have a decent property that they would sell a little bit below retail. A lot.

Yeah, I was gonna say more than, you know, getting the people that are willing to sell it for a lot.

Less and we turn those people away. Yeah, yeah. Right. So novation basically novation means replacement. So general wholesale is I buy a property, I sign my interest in the property to a, to a end user, novation means replacement. So when we, when we replace our agreement, we alleviate the seasoning, we alleviate the arm's length transaction and now it becomes a financial transaction to the end buyer. Because I've, I've conditionally released my, my original A to B contract which now makes it a financeable transaction and I can sell it to an FHA, VA Fannie, Freddie Borrower and I can still make my spread in between.

Yeah. Is it a little bit more of a micro, I don't know, wholesale transaction. Whereas if you're a typical wholesaler, you're going to go and find, let's say something 100k under. You're going to sell it to a flipper, they'll put 50k into it so that they can make a $50,000 profit. Whereas with the novation it sounds like you're finding someone who just a regular person house maybe needs a little bit work. You get like a much smaller fee to sell it to another basically buyer like a normal buyer, not a flipper and they make like a smaller fee.

So it's actually normally the fees are more.

Oh really?

The average novations we have, we've taught it to. I think it's just shy of 300 people that I've taught novations to our average profits, $26,000. If you look at normal wholesale profits across the country, most people are between 15 and 20k.

Because when you sell a property to an investor, right, they're looking at, how much is my rehab, how much can I sell it for? I got carrying. A retail buyer is not looking at any of that. They're going, can I afford it? Am I approved for it? How does it compare to the other two homes on the market? Yeah, if you fit in that sweet spot, they're going to buy your house.

And they may be willing to do some of that work and rehab over time. They're not super worried about.

So imagine this, imagine this. And this is what, this is. What really pumps up the numbers is you can still get a deal at wholesale price. And if you understand ovations and the contracts and the language and the scripting and the legality of it, you can buy it at wholesale price, get permission from the seller as long as you've disclosed your intentions, and sell it retail without ever closing on it. You can't do that in a standard assignment. You can only assign it to another cash buyer that's going to pay their version of discounted price versus you can get a property under contract at a wholesale price that is in a financeable condition and take it to the open market or the MLS and sell to a retail buyer. So now you're buying at wholesale and exiting at retail. Those spreads are huge.

Yeah. Yep.

Then the other, the other. So there's two opportunities. You can lock up the same deals that you're buying now at wholesale price, but rather than being handcuffed to a cash investor buyer, once you understand ovations, you can take them to the open market and sell it to a retail buyer. The second way that you can positively impact your profit and your volume is the deals where the seller won't take your mao. But there's. Let's. Imagine like on a house that's worth 220. This is the. This is the value no one talks about in wholesaling. They talk about after repaired value. They talk about rehab. They talk about mao. When do we ever say, what's it worth in its current condition to a retail buyer? Never. Because as a wholesaler, that's not. We can't get to that buyer unless I close on it. Now. I need transactional funding. Now. I got seasoning, like some people do, Wholetail. But wholetail requires you to pay for the property. Right. If you. If you have a property that's worth 229 in its current condition and the seller will take 200, are any of you locking up that deal currently? Probably not.

Because by the time I close on it, I clean it out, I do all that stuff. My $20,000 or $30,000 spreads. Now 8 grand and I've tied up 200 grand. I'm not doing that. But with a novation, if it's worth 230 in its current condition, you can lock it up with the seller for $200,000, which is, well, more than they've got offered by any other investor, take it to the MLS at 229, pay out 4 to 6% commission, total net 220, make a $20,000 profit and give the seller the 200 that they want it when everybody else offered them, probably 140 or 150.

Okay. Yeah. So it seems that they're. I don't know. That's very interesting. Seems like there's probably a lot less tension in these kind of conversations. Whereas maybe sellers are used to, like you said, getting super low balled and then they're just like, oh, I'm tired.

Of these low balls.

If you come in with a reasonable offer, then they're kind of like, that's actually not bad, I'll do it.

Yeah. And it goes back to the balance. Right. That's like they're, they're kind of motivated. They prefer to sell this way or a little bit different than what they're accustomed to with a real estate agent. But they're going to say things like, rob, this sounds good, but I'm not going to give it away.

Right.

David, this sounds good, but I'm in no hurry. That should be a trigger for you to go. This sounds like a good innovation opportunity for me. And if the property's in good enough condition that you could sell to a retail buyer without a laundry list of inspection repairs, either on an FHA Virginia appraisal or a home inspection, that is an ideal novation opportunity. It's a property that's in good wholesale condition that you can't buy at wholesale price and you don't have to close on it. Go through seasoning, funding, all that stuff. You can take it to the retail market, sell to a finance buyer and never have to close on the property. It's. I call it wholesale 2.0. It's. I don't think you should. This should be the new way of doing business. Again, we go out normal, wholesale. You're looking for a needle in a haystack and then you're selling that needle to another needle in a different, different haystack. You got to find a super distressed seller that has a House that's all messed up, that'll sell it to you for 50 cents on the dollar. Then you got to go out and find a cash buyer that's willing to fix it up, make a couple hundred bucks a month cash flow, or to make 25 grand. Flipping it now you can shop in like when you take your deals to the mls, which is what I mean by the open market, it's the best buyer's list in the world. Remember I told you about. If you go back and look, new investors pay the most for real estate. Think about me. The first deal I bought, what did I tell you today? I screwed up. I paid too much because I didn't understand that there was materials that I had to add into the rehab budget that I got from my contractor. I was a first time investor. I paid too much. Yeah, right. Because I wanted a deal so bad and I was trying to figure out a way to make it work, which is a bad situation to be in as a buyer. Right. The best situation to be in is. It's not for me. That's when you get the best deal, when you're okay saying no. Right. So where do you think most first time real estate investors shop?

Mls.

Mls. It's the best buyers list in the world. So this gives you the ability to take your deals to the mls.

I need. I'm going to re. Listen to this because there's just so many nuggets throughout this episode from a masterclass on how to pivot when you're detecting market changes to really just owning like a new space like this or like wholesale 2.0. I know that the concept's been around, but I like that you're calling it 2.0, because with the market changing right now, it makes total sense that this could be a sort of a new path for people looking to get into the wholesaling business specifically. Because if you're trying to sell a property to a, to a flipper right now, they're probably being pretty cautious is my guess. They're probably not going to be taking the same deals they were three months ago. Whereas going direct to seller, which is like the greatest buying pool right now, it's like, yeah, seems like a, like a good opportunity.

And the seller hasn't really had that come to Jesus moment where they recognize, oh, my house isn't worth.

I think it's just now starting to sink in. Like we bought two homes this week in pre foreclosure. I haven't bought another property in Pre foreclosure in 18 months. Didn't have to sell it to us.

Yeah.

They could take it to the market. It would sell. They weren't getting foreclosed on. You couldn't even start foreclosures until, I don't know, six or 12 months ago. You couldn't even start the process. Us because of COVID Some of that's catching up to people right now. Right. They're, they're, they're, they're. The options have been reduced a little bit versus what they were six months ago.

So it's, it's, it's start. We're at the onset of sellers starting to come back to planet Earth.

Yeah. And as long as rates stay somewhat stable, it'll. We'll find this equilibrium. The problem is they freaking tinker with it so much that every time you start to think the kid's ready for bed, somebody gives them sugar and then.

Yeah.

Bouncing off the walls again.

Yeah. I think even if they just stop raising rates and everybody would just sink into the reality that 7%'s a good number, you'd see buyer confidence go back up.

Yeah, that's. We need stability. People don't like when they don't know is the car going to be worth 50 grand or 20 grand. Nobody wants to buy when they don't know what's happening. It's a great point, Eric. All right, well, this has been a fantastic show. I've thoroughly enjoyed hearing your insights on what's going on, and more than just your insights, but practical applications of how to take this information about the changing market and apply. Apply it to the offers you're writing, the way you're having conversations with sellers, the people that you're hiring, how you're structuring your business, and how to pivot when these things hit.

Eric, if people want to learn more about you and your business and what you have to offer and all that good stuff, where can people learn more about you?

So the best place to find me, if you want to follow me on Instagram, is Eric Brewer Invest on Instagram. If you want to learn more about Novations, you can go to Brewer Method.

Awesome, man. Thanks.

Thank you.

We're gonna let you get out of here because we would talk to you all day long, and we could probably turn this into two or three shows. I thought it was a fantastic time, but thank you very much for sharing what's going on in your world and your business.

I appreciate you having me.

This is David Green for Rob Pivot.

Pivot, pivot, Pivot.

Abbas Solo signing off.

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