A short YouTube interview (published May 3, 2019) where Giovanni interviews Patrick Heusser of Crypto Broker AG about a recent Bitcoin price surge (price touched $5,800; Bitcoin market cap reached $100 billion). Heusser argues short-margin squeezes drove the move, expects $6,000 (near-term) if $4,800 holds, foresees a retracement toward ~$5,000, and flags an event called the 'HUL thing' happening in May 2020. The discussion also covers the Bitfinex–Tether controversy (potential systemic risk vs. longer-term market cleanup) and Ripple/XRP underperformance (claimed oversupply via master lending agreements). The video ends with a Trade Santa sponsorship mentioning integration with several exchanges.
Questions this video answers
$5,800
$100 billion
$5,800 (he said 5,800 suggests we'll see 6,000)
$4,800
Around $5,000
Chapters
Hi, I'm Giovanni and today we are here with Patrick Heusser from crypto Broker AG who is going to give us his analysis on the latest movements in the crypto market. So Patrick, earlier today bitcoin price shot up touching $5,800 and the total market cap for Bitcoin reached $100 billion. What does this bullish move tell us about long term and short term price perspectives?
Well, first of all, 5800 suggests that we're going to see 6000, which is a pretty interesting level. Having said that though, the way up will have a bit of resistance because we're now pushing into the high volume range. We're squeezing up currently due to short margin trades. They get squeezed out. So it's the pain trade right now. And on the longer term time frames, weekly or monthly, we see a real bullish setup there and looking for longer term gains to come. This is also combined with the HUL thing coming up in May 2020, which we think is one of the events economically and technically in the bitcoin space to look out for.
That's interesting. So what do you think was the reason for this growth?
Well, that's a bit difficult to say. There is no particular reason for the current spike. It's more of that. The market brought himself into an uncomfortable position. Short margin trades are getting squeezed. They put on positions during the Bitfinex tether fud and now are being in a bear trap we call it. And this will take a bit more time till these guys are squeezed out.
So how is the tether bitfenix ongoing controversy influencing the market movements?
That's a good question, but pretty hard to answer here in just a few minutes. But you have to bear in mind that there are two topics or questions you need to think about it. First of all, is tether systemic to the whole crypto trading space? And then second thing, the connection between Bitfinex and tether. So short term we see a chance that the prices will react to the downside if one or the other entity goes down. There is even the chance that both will go down as they're so intertwined. On the longer term perspective, we think that this is a good sign. It's a cleanup or a washout of semi reputable counterparties. And to pave the way for institutional adoption, we need some proper counterparties in this space.
So while many analysts think that we will test soon the psychological $6,000 resistance, other more skeptical say that we need first to bounce back to the 4,000, $4,500 so what do you think about that? What's your opinion?
Well, I would say 4800 is the level to watch. As long as we trade above that level. I have a bullish case all the way. On the other hand, I would like to see a pullback. But first I think the short margin trades getting squeezed out. So we're going to see 6,000 or even a little higher than 6,000 on a very quick move up and then a retracement down again to 5,000. 4800 needs to hold and then we have a clean and more healthy way to trade higher.
So one last question would be, while most altcoins repeated the bitcoin pattern in the last few hours, XRP registered far more modest gains. What's the reason behind that?
Well, first of all, the altcoins over the past few weeks have not really followed bitcoin. So they were in pain as well. But I give you that over the past six months, Ripple underperformed heavily the bitcoin performance. And I have a very clear opinion why that is. The Ripple foundation is over supplying the market with their coins and they're doing this by the master lending agreements they put out to professional counterparties and then they're using them as point of sale for their coins. So there is a constant oversupply of ripple coins in the market of xrp and that is clearly seen in the chart which is just trickling down in a very decent sort of manner. And we then have those spikes up which are only holding for like 12 hours and then the trend resumes to the downside.
Thanks Patrick. Here with us was Patrick Heusser from Crypto Broker ag. Thanks for watching and don't forget to subscribe to our channel for more exclusive content.
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