The State of Cannabis Capital Markets and M&A

29 Jun 2022 · 60 min
1:00:29

In a recorded July 2022 webinar hosted by Jason Klein of Cannabis News Key, industry veterans Peter Rosenberg (Viridian Capital Advisors / Grow Generation) and Trip Kieber (Right Side Advisory, former Dixie Brands) discuss the current state of cannabis capital markets and merger‑and‑acquisition activity. The conversation begins with a macro‑economic overview, noting inflation, recession risks, rising energy costs and a 75% drop in capital market activity for cannabis, especially in retail and cultivation. They examine the collapse of the SPAC boom that fueled many 2021 deals, concluding that the downturn is structural rather than temporary. The panel contrasts the relative abundance of debt – now largely supplied by private, asset‑based lenders – with a scarcity of equity, emphasizing that lenders now demand profitability, cash flow and strong balance sheets, and warning of over‑leveraging and potential foreclosures. This capital squeeze is driving a wave of consolidation, with larger MSOs acquiring distressed assets and pursuing geographic expansion through asset‑light, licensed‑partner models. The speakers note a maturation of cannabis leadership: early intrepid entrepreneurs have been replaced by seasoned C‑suite executives, improving lender confidence but also raising investor scrutiny of management credentials. Public market dynamics are explored, with the Canadian Stock Exchange (CSE/TSX) remaining the preferred venue for plant‑touching companies due to federal legality in Canada, while U.S. listings are limited to OTC markets and face high compliance costs. Valuations are low (3‑4x EBITDA) offering potential buying opportunities, yet overall sentiment remains bearish. The discussion turns to legislative issues, highlighting the pending Safe Banking Act and its potential to unlock billions of dormant funds, as well as the challenges faced by social‑equity licensees in securing capital without sufficient collateral or experienced management. The panel concludes with forward‑looking advice: focus on profitability, leverage brand partnerships (e.g., consumer packaged goods entering cannabis), prepare for future federal legalization, and consider strategic M&A or asset‑light expansion to survive the current downturn.

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