Crash or All-In? THIS is What Volume Profile Tells Us NOW! (World Champion Reveals)

Crash or all in into the stocks? What is the real answer of it? Most of the people think buying when a war is coming is the right way, but a lot of people have also fear, and there is a big gap between the real way to buy or to sell. And today I explain you very deep what is my idea behind and how is the global money working. Who I am? I'm Thomas Worold, I'm the Champions Maker. I teach people like Patrick Nill, the 2 times World Cup Championships of trading leader, and also Christoph Radeker. All of them are famous traders, and I teach a lot of other people to become success in trading. Please listen this video, it is very good.

Look, none of us can really predict what happens in the capital markets. Everything is probabilities, but we have the means and the skills to technically predict when we've reached levels where we need to exit. And how does the momentum look? How much liquidity is entering the market right now? These are questions we absolutely need to answer, and that's why I've prepared something for you today that's a look outside the box. Because I haven't just analyzed the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Bitcoin, and we'll do that together, but I've also looked at the Mag Seven. Why the Mag Seven? Because the Mag Seven now hold a 33% share of the market capitalization in the corresponding index futures. And if they crack, then all markets will likely crack as well. Why? Well, because there are so-called index trackers. It's interesting to know how the global players are acting, because we just had a shift there and then another shift. And for us, it's crucial— for us traders, but also for long-term investment approaches— what does it all look like technically right now, and what options do we have to better evaluate it for ourselves? And we're going to do that together now. And so let's get started. The first thing we can do is look at what the current market capitalization is on the corresponding indices. In the S&P 500, the Mag Seven currently have a share of a good 33%. In the NASDAQ, it's about the same, maybe a little bit less. What does that mean? That means that the 500 stocks which are included in the S&P 500 index are, if we draw it out, down by about 33% overall. Dominated by heavyweights. That means this whole index with another 493 stocks is of course completely overshadowed by the market capitalization of these 7 assets. And what does that mean? It means that if these technology stocks, for example, because the Four Quadrant model tells us it's now time to reallocate due to certain events such as rising inflation, further rising inflation, or even that the economic growth figures are now really moving in a direction that's exciting for us. Of course, we can still look at the capital flow and so on, but it's much more crucial that we now get a picture of what it really looks like in the individual markets right now. And for that, I'd like to use the PBD logic to create a view of it for us with you. Let's start with the S&P 500 and take a look at where it currently stands, what the whole thing looks like. And there I can clearly say this was the all-decisive story for us, and this re-entry, very, very fast and aggressive, back into this old balance has meant that we've basically unchecked— shot right past it. Now you should know, whenever something is left unchecked or not addressed, there really is no solid or reliable foundation from any of the major market players here. And unchecked moves are risky, especially when it comes to pullbacks. But at what point can we expect a pullback? For me, it's quite simple. If we return to this old range here, I think there's a high probability we'll do just that. That means if we go below 6,850 and start moving with liquidity there again, this means liquidity is increasing again more and more. This right here is the volume profile for this price range. Then we can assume the market is accepting this level again. And if we drop below this, then it's game over. Then we're at the 6,300 price level where we can clearly say there's a high probability we'll see a real sustained move down toward the 4,600 area for now. So much for the S&P. Let's take a look at the NASDAQ. In the NASDAQ, the picture is very, very similar. No surprise there. But here too, we can see the market gave us opportunities to get into a long position much more effectively. But here as well, I clearly see that the trend is very, very fast and aggressive. And it wouldn't be the first time that markets, after a bull trend like this one— we've gone from 16,000 $26,000 in a relatively short time, put in a nice correction. But let's wait and see if we either drop below this point, or— and I'll gladly share this tip with you— we see a strong volume spike followed by a trend reversal up here. That would be option 2, but we're definitely on the safe side if we reestablish ourselves in here. And if we drop below this, it's going to break. Because we've maintained this single print area here, that means there's an area here that I always call space. And once that's filled and the market finds acceptance here, we'll fall back below this price range. And then, believe me, we'll be in real trouble because right here there was some very aggressive buying. They might try it again here. We'll see if they can pull it off. Let's move on and look at an absolute risk-on asset. Oh, Bitcoin doesn't look stable at all because we've already seen a perfect B structure twice here. Although, and I had analyzed it this way too, we are now above it. The question that we really need to consider here is, can the market actually manage to convince these strong, determined sellers to finally give up their positions, or will they continue to hold on? Or rather, can the market gather sustainable liquidity here again? For that, you absolutely must look at what's happening with the volume on the left, because that's a typical low-volume area that the market then likes to fill in. Then there's the possibility that we'll run back into it, and if we do that, the next wave will start, and we'll first run down into this price area here. So here too, acceptance again below $72,000. Good night, good night. And Bitcoin is currently a market that nicely shows us what's happening early in the markets. So, and now as promised, let's quickly go through the Mag 7 and start with Apple. Apple, as you can clearly see here, has formed a nice balance up here. We know aggressive buyers Range. In the range, the price is fair, but the question is, will we manage the breakout here again? Then it continues here long. If we don't manage the breakout and have here, as it looks right now, but that doesn't mean it is higher. And here, a nice ledge. Weak low, lower highs. So the high points are falling, therefore the breakout must come. Then the thing continues long. And everything is fine and we can really make new highs because we are at an absolute all-time high level, means for us, should we fall below the price range of $240 and the market creates liquidity down there, that's definitely acceptance for now. What does that mean for us? Currently, the sun is shining for Apple with a small cloud above it as we have these lower highs and can't yet evaluate what's happening here. If someone were to force me Well, if I had the short now, I'd flip it above here. So very, very clearly a decision is needed here. Let's go to Amazon. Amazon has already done it. And here too, please remember again, the market hasn't been able to give us much liquidity up there on this path so far, unfortunately. The question is, if a pullback comes, will it continue here or will it go back in here and accept the range? If we accept this range again, we'll first go down here and we'll most likely also take out out this weak low down here. Therefore, as of right now, we are 100% bullish. But there is one specific factor that we really need to keep in mind. The risk of a pullback is high because we simply have no substance here. Just so you have an analogy for it, here, for example, this is something typical where you can see something like that. And here it is really quite extreme now, right? That means whenever something is very extreme, it either has to consolidate sideways like it did here. Option 1: consolidation after the big move. Option 2: the market makes a shift. That always depends, of course, on how much liquidity is flowing up here. Let's take a look over here. It's not necessarily the absolute most. Let's move on. Let's look at Google. Google has just generated its breakout here, so it looks very stable for now. And here too, we had a so-called break-in after we built this P here. And everything, as long as the market doesn't find acceptance in here again and accepts and rebuilds liquidity here once more, is bullish for now. That means everything here looks like sunshine, at least as long as the market remains above the 325 level based on the closing price. And then we come to Meta. Meta has also been making lower highs lately, right? So 1, 2, 3, but also higher lows here. Unfortunately, many technical analysts look at things like that, and therefore we are now in a price range where I can and must say quite clearly, this is where it will be decided. For me, this is the all-deciding phase that we are currently in. It is very, very large. And the question is, what was this here, right? Did the market really decide here to sell off sustainably in the long term? Because here too, substantially, we have been bought very aggressively. That means the possibility of a pullback is there for now. Here you can see something typical, you know, what happens when the market essentially runs up without liquidity. Therefore, no sunshine for me here currently either, but rather, let's see what comes next. So So I'm being cautious here. Let's go to Tesla. And Tesla, I can say quite clearly, is also a highly interesting stock. Lars just did something fundamental on that as well, super exciting. And what do I want to tell you? Up here was our last range, and this range was created after this push came. We went above it, made new highs, and fell back in again. This is always a sign where we really have to be careful. Because look here, went over range, and then the whole thing went way down. That means as long as we stay below 400, the market here is to be treated with caution for now. And therefore, I am being cautious. If we were to go below this again, then it's good night, good night. So, and now we come to Nvidia. And Nvidia, yes, our surface-to-surface rocket. Looks very, very exciting again. This is the all-decisive range for me after the market had created a crazy P profile here. And here you can also see beautifully the market managed to turn around here. It didn't go below this point, so it caught the range again but has now also risen unchecked for 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 days in effect. That always screams for a correction. Or you could choose a range once again, option 1, or perhaps option 2. We don't know, but what we can deduce is, should we run back into this market phase, then the probability is relatively high that we have acceptance. Should we go below this and start generating liquidity here, then it's good night. And now, of course, we have to look at things a bit. What's the situation with supply bottlenecks? I'll leave that to you. That's a lot of fundamental work. Again, people like Lars and others can do that, but this is definitely here at first glance also monster bullish, with the caution that there's little substance behind it for now. That is very, very important. Microsoft is also quite exciting, by the way, because Microsoft had this range here Left it back then, also rose explosively, then really sold off big time up here and ran back in here. That means we are now at the absolute key level where the market will decide. If it goes below, the lights go out. If it goes above again, we can continue going long. So that means Microsoft gets, for the time being, a wait and see from me. And here we just have to hold out for a moment. So I hope you enjoyed that. I hope the relationship to the Mag7 helped you a bit because you can use them to some extent as pre-indicators, and you'll see you can often make great trades, especially NASDAQ, S&P, if you've done your analysis on the stocks, which are much more honest technically. So thank you very much. Please give a thumbs up and see you very soon.