Kardec Trader breaks down why 2024's trading playbook won't work in 2025. The S&P 500 returned 30% last year versus its 10% average, and traders who kept buying pullbacks with a 9 EMA made money. But political shifts changed how markets move, so you need to read what buyers and sellers are actually doing instead of repeating last year's strategy.
Questions this video answers
About 10% per year.
Around 30% in 2024 (30% in one year).
2025 (speaker: "Trump happened" in 2025).
Chapters
So say in 2024, we had a crazy bull market, broke all time high. SPY average yearly return is like 10%, which is the S&P 500 for the new viewers. S&P 500, which is the top 500 companies in the US stock market. On an average, it moves like 10% in a year. That is a return if you just invest in SPY every single month. Every single year or whatever. Right. That moved 30% in 2024, which was an exceptional year for the market. 30% in one year. So now I saw a lot of traders. When I look at these videos online, which I was doing as a beginner trader, I made this mistake that, okay, the market is in like one year. So yes, your moving averages are going to hold like the 9am this is the 9 EMA, and the market is just riding because we had a 30 push towards the upside. People are buying at the 9 EMA, taking profits, buying at 9AMA, taking profits. Buying at 9AMA, taking profits. It's going to work. 2024, it worked nicely. What happened in 2025? Trump happened. So Trump happened in 2025. So this nine moving averages, maybe it's pulling back. You are buying right here. And then he's talking about tariffs, it's not going to hold. And how you're going to know by looking at the buyers and sellers.
