PbD: The BEST trading strategy for times of crisis, explained in detail!

The PBD logic in times of crisis. How you can use it, what is your biggest goal if you use this concept, and how it works for you. Who I am? I'm Thomas Forward, I'm the Champion Maker. I train people like Patrick Nöll, the 2 times World Cup Championships of trading leader, or Christoph Raidecker. All of them I teach a lot of my stuff, and I think for you it will be a very big goal if you learn a lot of these concepts.

Trust in me and give me a If you'll like it. Look, my friends, the PBD logic is simply a model that lets you immediately locate where markets are in balance and where they're not. What do I mean by that? With it, similar to the Volume Profile, you can see where the global players are in their comfort zone and where they're just not. And now, let's go a step further and just ask ourselves the question: if market participants have driven the market very aggressively in one direction or another, they were usually in distress. Whether that was hedging, or whether it was initially a fundamental reaction that led to hedging, or whatever motives led to the market being in a state of imbalance. That's exactly what you need to understand, and I'd like to explain that to you in detail now using the PBD logic. Let's start with a look at market profiling. Yeah, what is that? Well, it's the market profile and volume profile layered on top of each other. And here you can see, for example, the market opened here, it ran down briefly, it played upwards very aggressively, had a reaction up here, and then it went into a sideways phase. So what happened here? What happened is this: a major market participant reacted aggressively right away because they had to. There were two single prints there. Those are always these price ranges where the market was never for longer than 30 minutes, and up here it then decided to maintain its balance for the time being. What other information do we have? Ah, the closing price is also very high up. How does that help us? And you can see that wonderfully here, for example. On the following day, it happened that it opened here and also immediately shifted its balance upwards. Why? Because these market participants who played here, they had an idea. And that idea was: the price will rise. Nothing more and nothing less. And we're now going to make really good use of this idea through the PBD logic. Let's take the gold chart for this, and we won't ask ourselves the question, what news led to this movement happening? But only that the movement happened. The opposite of the long idea just now, I'd like to present the short side to you. That meant a very aggressive sell-off took place here, and then there was initially a sideways phase here. And this sideways phase is characterized by acceptance, acceptance of lower prices. You can see that here too, there was a lot of turnover here, here, here very briefly, and here. Here you can see it again, how wonderfully markets react when the price gets back there. And it's not always like that, but often. But look up here, up here, this pattern already existed, and here too there was aggressive selling. This means that the price of gold has already been aggressively sold off twice in this section here. And that helps us understand that there is selling pressure present. We'll leave the why aside for now. But PBD logic. Let's roughly draw the corresponding volume. Up here there was low volume, high volume, then low volume again. Now there's already more volume and a bit more volume, and down here there was nothing. So that is the corresponding volume profile. And we can already see right here, measured accordingly from this point, we can see immediately, aha, acceptance here, acceptance here. There was relatively little going on here. How do we deal with that? What is the logic behind it? I'd like to explain that to you in detail now. You just need to know that this price range in between is characterized by unfair prices, and these unfair prices were traded aggressively in the short sequence. This means that the seller was dominant. So, for us, this means the following: if the market comes back down here now, we have to see if it finds acceptance here again. Because if it does that, we know that the turnovers here are fair. What else do we know? And that is quite crucial. We know that the big players, the aggressive sellers, still have the upper hand, because they need these lower prices for themselves, for whatever reason— hedging, producers, or whatever. Whoever is behind it will therefore ensure here that the market is happy to be back in balance. That is the acceptance of the PBD logic. That means a B. The market has traded, crossed over briefly, and we call that a break-in, and so it usually continues. And that is very easy to locate, and so you can use this model to narrow things down based on these technical structures. Okay, here are markets for me to evaluate. I have an idea of what happens when the market goes above that. And I know the probability is also relatively high that it will continue to play out in a trend-following manner. So, with one look, I have the opportunity to find out what is currently being played on the market with a high probability and how I can use this probability profitably for myself. But now we need to know the following: we must always be able to plan two things for ourselves, because there is, of course, also the possibility that the whole thing goes wrong. What happens then? Let's get back to the market profile. When we look at market profiles, the profilers know that if the market goes back below this equilibrium and forms acceptance, there's a high probability that it will clear out the entire trend downwards. And now we'll jump to the PBD logic, and this is absolutely crucial to understand. So if we assume that the market should simply find acceptance in here again and continue lower, then that's the first option that tells us. This is how we use the PBD model, in this case the B model, to have clarity and focus for further shorts. But now here's what happens. Take a look at this. This is our range, and the market suddenly says, "Nope, we don't accept these prices anymore, and we're moving up here." Well, what do you think will happen then? Please remember this model, and this is the logic behind it. We will, with high probability, run below the start of this movement. And that means for us, the traders will most likely run up to the next fair price area. Please also remember the video on the volume profile a bit. The market moves from fair price to fair price to conduct its business there. Large traders need liquidity, and when they go into price areas where liquidity was, they first have the assumption that there is liquidity there again. And that's how it is with the PBD logic as well, and that's exactly what it aims for. That means, if we think through this model here in depth, then we have the opportunity to find out where the market will strive for, with what probability, and what we do if things turn out differently. By the way, the Ds are nothing more than large balance phases. The Ps are the aggressive trend phases upwards, and the Bs are the aggressive trend phases downwards. And there are clear rules for everything, and the rule is ultimately always a derivation of market profiling combined with the corresponding closing price count. If that helps you, for example, to better examine a market like Bitcoin, because you've simply understood, ah, so there are currently aggressive sellers here, there's an initial balance here, and we're staying in this balance again, well, then that gives you the advantage. And you can already see it here, currently the market accepts this zone, and you know selling pressure was dominant, and you know exactly, should it run back above this, after Well, then the thing goes up. But before that, and as long as you're just basing your assessment on normality, it continues. And to where? To the next fair volumes. I hope you enjoyed that, and I hope you were able to take away a lot from this video in terms of what I always call the quick look, the fast look at the markets to select where there's balance, where there's imbalance, and who is currently dominant. I hope you enjoyed it. Feel free to leave a like and recommend us, as we provide great opportunities here to plan the markets much more easily, quickly and with logic, in a way that is transparent for everyone. Thank you.