THIS Trading Strategy Delivers MAXIMUM Win Rates NOW! (World Champion Strategy)

Do you know that? You want to trade against the market, you want to make a counter-trade, but somehow it doesn't happen. You've prepared everything perfectly, you've put a lot of thought into it, but the trade just isn't working for you. So, how do you deal with that? Exactly that happened to me yesterday, and today I want to show you how I handle such things, what I do, and how I was finally able to get away with just a black eye. Who am I? I'm Tom Bollwald. They call me the Trader Maker. I've trained many great traders like Patrick Nill or Christoph Radeker, big names in trading. And I can promise you one thing: when you have a lot of experience like I do, over 20 years, and have learned to eventually give your opinion no room but to use the facts instead, then trading is suddenly much easier. So be very excited about what I'm going to explain to you today. Yes, today I really want to create some awareness for how important it is when you rebel against a trend that you, a, need really good levels, and B, that it's unavoidable when things turn out differently, namely when the trend continues, and they can run much longer than we sometimes imagine. How I deal with that, I can tell you. There were times when I thought Apple was too expensive or Tesla was too expensive, but they simply quadrupled again after that. Why is that? I can tell you. When the herd is running, then it's no use at all to rebel against it. And then you have to accept that counter trades just don't work right now in this market environment. But what can you do then? Well, I'm not the only one who feels that way, and I'm not the only one who might have scouted out these levels for themselves. Therefore, the probability that other market participants also have to flip their positions or give up their short positions in that case and thus have to buy is sometimes the best option. And what happens then? Well, the market pops upwards. But before that, there was sometimes some stop losses, especially if you stick to your trading idea the whole time. And I want to explain that to you in detail today. Look, here you can see wonderfully what the technical preparation for the trading day was. Namely, I had a value area of the previous day here and here. I could see that here it was nicely rejected. That was then the value of the next day with single print, which meant aggressive selling was present. So it was interesting for me at first. And what do I always do then? I like to transfer such levels. And this level, I want to show it to you now in a larger time frame. In a larger time frame, after I'd taken my stop losses, we are here in this price range. This means that this weekly profile, even with the VPOC down here, initially led to the market continuing to rise. As could be clearly seen later on. What does that show me? It shows me that market participants, after they had tested this price range here and had initiated a buy signal, a buying tail in this price range, well, they just took off and pushed further upwards. And the next interesting thing is here was the open, open test drive, and at the latest when it goes above that, you should be careful. And what did I do here? This is where I made the big mistake and was still looking for counter trades. Why? Because I wasn't really well prepared. I only prepared the levels and was then of the opinion that I could look for a counter trade here. And I want to show you how the whole thing continued from there. Look, you can see it perfectly here. This is the price range that I had predefined. Here I was of the opinion that the market could initially establish a counter in this price range. And when you look at the whole thing, and I always find it important to look at the dynamic aspect a bit, you can already see that the first time the price range wasn't bad. Look how long the distance is. Yes, you can draw it a bit better to view it properly and adequately for yourself. The second time, the distance was already much smaller, and that is very crucial. The market tested this top once, then twice, and then a third time, really confirming that level before it finally ran down. After that, the market went through that area and once again made some pullbacks and even formed a lower high, which is quite significant. But let me ask you, do you see what I see? Take a moment to really look at it. Surely I can tell you it's a real shame because here in a live trading session with everyone, I had booked a wonderful short trade and then held the position there. Why now we have to jump back I was of the opinion that we could close the market opening and the gap from the previous day. But what did I not take into consideration? I want to state very clearly that I absolutely should have given up the position up here because we completely traded through and accepted this balance here, and we pushed the aggressive sellers who caused the lower prices down here upwards We went over the profile and to the upper limits. It's not a good idea to then continue to hold on to the counter-trade. And yes, that's how it was for me too. I realized it's not much fun, but much more exciting. What can you do in that moment? This is where I started to realize that the market just isn't playing the game that I need it to. Why? And I'd like to explain this why to you in a bit more detail now. You can already see it down here. Anyone who knows their way around, the Delta for the day was very stable. Nevertheless, you could see here that the Delta for the candles was falling. That means there was quite a lot of selling in these bars. There was a selling surplus. So, but now you always have to be honest with yourself and look at where the largest volumes were traded. Take a look at that. You can see that immediately here, based on the underlying volume logic, the market kept on steadily pushing its prices higher and higher. That means it was not just me acting as a seller here, but also many other big, big players involved. But even though there was more of a selling surplus, the market accordingly accepted higher and higher prices. And when higher prices are accepted, what does that mean? Anyone who has carefully studied my PPD models knows that the probability of a breakout is simply high accordingly. And so at some point it's just time, and I really recognize that time for myself here. It's time to exit the market on the short side. Maybe even say, let me take a breather, let me go grab a coffee. Or whatever. Let me reorient myself because one thing is clear: if the market goes over here now, then there's a high probability that at some point all these shorties and these sellers will start covering their positions, and those who bought anyway will be happy. So let's take a deeper look into that and locate the right moment. And look here, to show you this again, what ultimately happened was the following: I could then see that the deltas were suddenly becoming less and less established in the selling process. That means the sellers were backing off. And at the very latest here, where you can see that the liquidity is now far above the previous liquidities, where there were also pullbacks and so on, you had to realize for yourself, all right, fire away, now it's going over. Here too, you can see beautifully again what the market was playing. By the way, I bought here. I decided that I would try to take the opposite position, and then the market does this. It accepts, it makes a quick pullback into this low volume area, and then it continues upward with real momentum. These are the moments where you are rewarded to some extent if you don't stubbornly stick to your opinion and try to force a short position against all odds. And that's how I act. I go and really perform an analysis for myself and see what the market is actually playing at in that moment, especially when nothing on the sell side is going the way I want it to. And finally, I'd like to show you one more thing which I always find super, super exciting. Look here, this was the balance. Yes, that was the balance that the market had established. And at the end of trading, there were quite a few sellers who pushed the market down after I had long since exited my short trade. But what is the most crucial part? The most crucial part is that during this closing auction phase, many market participants simply had to swap their positions. And you see this often. It goes like this and then like that. Why is that? Because there are so-called index trackers that have to book their positions according to the day's orientation at the end of trading, as you can see from the volume. And those are also opportunities where you can quick and dirty earn a few extra euros for yourself right at the very end of the trading session. I can tell you this, you might need to analyze moments like these for yourself afterwards, just as I have just done. Whether you traded it or not, whether you hit a few stop losses, you can learn an incredible amount if you visualize the story behind it and why the market behaved differently than you wanted. For me, point 1, where I went short, was initially just a target area, not a real entry area. Secondly, the volume kept increasing, which means the acceptance of market participants kept going higher. Thirdly, although the delta showed that a lot was being sold, the market continued to rise. This means that the pressure will continue to increase. Therefore, if you see something like that, well, you're allowed to change your stance and not just bang your head against the wall. On that note, I hope you enjoyed it and I'll see you very soon. Bye everyone!