Speech 6 - China Will Eventually Overtake The Unites States as The Most Dominant Nation in the World

25 Jul 2020 · 5 min
4:47

In this debate‑style speech, Kevin Law argues that China will ultimately surpass the United States as the world’s most dominant nation. He first defines “dominant nation” as a country with the greatest power to influence the global economy and the most advanced research and development (R&D) capabilities. The resolution is framed as a win‑or‑lose proposition: if he can demonstrate that China will have stronger economic power and superior technological advancement than the U.S., he wins; otherwise the opponent wins. Law presents two main contentions. The first contends that the United States and many other major economies are heavily dependent on Chinese manufacturing—citing that China produces 97 % of U.S. antibiotics and assembles the majority of Apple products, and that Germany, the UK, and Japan also rely on Chinese factories. This manufacturing dependence, he argues, gives China indirect control over the world economy. The second contention focuses on government policy during the COVID‑19 pandemic. He claims China continues to invest aggressively in R&D (5G, new energy, infrastructure, e‑commerce, digital health) while the U.S. focuses on coal, tariff wars, and election politics. Citing a Forbes article quoting economist Richard Duncan, Law asserts that even a $100 billion U.S. R&D boost over five years would not allow the U.S. to catch up. He concludes that China’s economic resilience and R&D momentum will inevitably lead it to overtake the United States as the dominant global power.

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