Do You Need To Get Out Of China As A DTC Brand?

Lara Guevara argues DTC brands shouldn't abandon China entirely because its manufacturing ecosystem is still unmatched for speed and tooling. Instead, use a
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Lets talk about something that almost every BTC founder has said in the past 12 months. We need to get out of China. And honestly, I get it. Tariffs are insane. Labor costs are rising. Compliance is stricter. Politics makes everything feel unstable. So it feels like the smartest move is to leave China and find another country. But here's the plot twist. Most brands who try to leave China end up going back not because they want to, but because the alternative was actually worse. So today I want to explain why that happens and how, more importantly, how the smartest brands are winning with a strategy called China plus one, not China or one China plus one. And if you understand this, it will completely change how you build your supply chain in 2025 and beyond. Let's be fair for a second. There are real reasons founders are frustrated with China. Section 301 tariffs are 25%, apparel tariffs going to 104%, rising labor costs, factories prioritizing bridge brands, political risk, shipping brutality, compliance headaches. So what do founders say? Maybe we should move production to Vietnam or India or Mexico. Anything, anywhere but China. Emotionally that makes sense. But here's what I've seen. After working with 100 products, leaving China is not a sourcing decision. It's a full operational transformation. And 90% of brands are not ready for it. Most people think China wins because of their cheap labor. That was true 20 years ago. Today China wins because it built the most powerful manufacturing ecosystem in the world. Let me explain that. In China, everything is in one place. Raw materials, component suppliers, tooling and machineries, packaging, freight forwarders, export ports, skilled labor, communication tools, payment systems, all within few miles. So what does that create? Faster prototyping. This not weeks. Cheaper tooling, faster scaling, less transportation between suppliers, fewer mistakes, massive supplier debt and endless backup options. No other country has this. Let me give you a real example. A brand I know tried to move from China to Vietnam to avoid tariffs. Guess what? Their fabric still comes from China. Their zippers still come from China. Their packaging still came from China. The factory machinery was made in China. And quality control got harder. They thought they were escaping China, but in reality they just moved the assembly. And after six months of delays, higher cost and quality issues, they went back to China. Not because they loved it, but because it was still still the only place that could deliver speed, scale and consistency. Now let's be fair again. And I'm not saying China is easy. China today is harder than China five years ago. Tariffs eat 25% to 104% of your margin. Labor rates are rising. And factories are more selective. Lead times can still spike. And then government policies are unpredictable. And some founders feel like China holds all the power. So you know what I say? You're not crazy. China is getting harder. But abandoning China completely without a system leads to even bigger pain. Higher landed costs elsewhere or slower lead times or more quality issues. Higher MOQs, more supplier risk. New tariff from other countries, lost innovation speed. So the problem is that China is bad. The problem is relying only on China. So let's break this down honestly. Because I work in all of these countries too. Like Vietnam, great for apparel and footwear. Lower tariffs. But imports is 60 to 70% of materials from China. Then factories are at capacity. They have higher MOQs, slower sampling. While in India, strong in textiles, home goods and handicrafts. Their government has incentives, but they have slower development infrastructure. Still building logistics is more complex now Mexico near shoring. Faster shipping to the us, Lower duties under usmca. And it's good for certain hard goods. But higher labor cost in China. Limited factory options in many categories. Let's be 100% transparent. These countries are incredible opportunities. But they are not China 2.0. You cannot copy paste your China operations into another country. And when brands try, they end up paying more than getting less. So what do the smartest brands do? They don't choose China or other country. They build a system. China plus one. And let me say that again. China plus one is not leaving China. It's building an additional supply chain option. Here's how it works. Use China for what it does best. Complex products, High volume, fast prototyping, established tooling, deep supplier networks and speed to scale. Use one country where it gives an advantage. Reduced tariffs, lower risk, faster delivery to certain regions. Seasonal or low volume SKUs. Political diversification, negotiation leverage. You are not designing a portfolio of supply chain assets. You're not picking a favorite child. This is how big brands think. Nike, Apple, Lululemon, Adidas. They all do China plus one. Not because China is bad, but because dependency is dangerous. Now let's get practical. Here's exactly how we decide with our clients. Whether a product should stay in China or go to the plus one. Step 1 SKU complexity. Complex custom tooling, Heavy China simple, basic or easily replicated. One candidate. Step 2 Volume high volume, year round China low volume, seasonal one. Step 3 Tariff pressure. Low tariff or already optimized China high tariff. Explore plus one or final assembly elsewhere. Step 4 lead time priority. If you need fast development, China need faster delivery to US, Mexico or new shoring. STEP 5. Business readiness Are you operationally ready to manage two supply chains? Do you have process QC system clear communication Project management? If no, fix your systems first. If yes, you're ready. Step 6 Risk tolerance Ask this one question. If China shut down tomorrow to we have a backup. If the answer is no you need plus one period. Step 7 face it never move everything. Start with one SKU then test then validate cost, quality, timeline, scale only what works and this is how you build a supply chain that is profitable, fast, flexible and resilient. So here's the bottom line. China is not the enemy. Tariffs are not the only problem. Problem dependency is the real risk. The smartest brands in 2025 will not be in China or out of China. They will be in China. 1. Using China for what it does best, using other countries where they add strategic value. If you want me to break this down by product category like apparel, beauty, home goods, accessories and show real examples and numbers, comment below or DM me. This is exactly what we build for our clients at MOO Supply Chain. We don't just source products, we build supply chain systems that protect your margins, speed and future. And after that watch our podcast the One with China Sourcing Strategies for E Commerce to help you build your next strategy.
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