A short excerpt from a YouTube interview (uploaded by Lorenzo, Dec 29, 2023) featuring a speaker—attributed to Instagram founder Kevin Systrom—discussing the role of pivots in entrepreneurship. The speaker asserts that most successful products began as different ideas (citing YouTube as a former dating site and Facebook’s earlier incarnations) and emphasizes the need to fail quickly, diagnose why something isn't working, and be willing to pivot or end projects rather than persevere out of ego. Google is noted as a counterexample that was not a pivot.
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I want to talk about, since it's come up a few times, pivoting or ending projects. Yeah. Because there's in some aspects a fetishizing of perseverance in a lot of places, including Silicon Valley and the world of tech. And yet if you, if you look at a lot of the largest public successes, many of them had some type of pivot or shutting down of something that wasn't working. How do you know it's the right time to stop? And when. How does one go about making that difficult decision? Like, are there telltale signs that this is just. It's not that another 50% of effort is required, another X number of hours per day, but like this is fundamentally flawed in some way that is going to prevent it from working? I think let's take this question in two parts. First is let's just talk about the premise that most successful things are pivots, which I believe is true. One of the really fun things to do is actually, do you know the Wayback Machine? I do. Right. I think it still exists. I haven't tried it in a long time, but you can go and type in any web address and then I think it allows you to like select the date of that website. So you can basically see the history of the web. It's super interesting. Go to YouTube and figure out when YouTube was founded. I can't remember. But you can look it up on Wikipedia. Right. And go to that date, like around the beginning. You will see YouTube was a dating site before it became YouTube. What we know as YouTube. Right. Do that for most major things that you get excited about. Or like look up the history of Facebook when it was, you know, it was face mash beforehand, it was something before that. The only one that I don't think was a pivot was Google and they've done pretty well. So that's the one counter. Example. Like that literally was their project and they made it a company and it worked really well. So I don't know. But most other projects are pivots from an original idea. And I think that's because one, it's really hard to tell what works a priori, like doing it before anything, before you actually, you know, put it into people's hands is really difficult. Like you don't know if it's going to work. The, the key to entrepreneurship is failing really quickly. So putting it out there, seeing if it works. If it doesn't, then diagnosing why and then focusing on how to improve it from there. So one, I agree with the premise that most things are, in fact, second runs and then two. The importance of pivot, I think, is that most of the time you get it wrong. So the question is, knowing you're going to get it wrong, how equipped are you to deal with that failure really quickly before you run out of money? And the entrepreneurs that I have seen do very well are the ones that are equipped and engaged on the change from something that's not working to something that is far too many people because of ego or whatever. Stick with ideas far too long, and I think it ends up really poorly.