Vinod Khosla: Experts only extrapolate the past

The other question I get challenged with is change doesn't happen very fast. I disagree. This is New York City, Fifth Avenue in the year 1900. There's one car in this picture. This was New York City only 13 years later. One horse. All cars, Fifth Avenue. This is my favorite. This was a Department of Energy projection in the year 2010 for the number of electric cars in the US in 2035. And this tells us an important story. They talk to all the experts, and experts only extrapolate the past. So if you ask General Motors or Volkswagen Affordable how many cars there would be? The DOE came up with a projection of 2,300 cars in 2014. Tesla shipped about 80,000 cars alone in four years. They were wrong by 20 years. That's how fast change can happen. This is a cartoon from 1989. They thought electricity would kill people, very much like AI will kill people. Lord Calvin, who was the president of the Royal Society, maybe the most informed person in science in the early 1900s, said in about 1906, Heavier than air flying machines were impossible just before the Wright brothers flew their plane. Don't rely on experts. Don't reply on what the world tells you is possible. Create the world you want. I say there's two types of people. People who extrapolate the past, lots of those. And people who invent the world they want. That's all of you. Thank you very much.