Should You Do a Roth Conversion in 2026? "Explain It Like I'm 12"

In this October 6, 2026 episode of the One of a Kind Financial Show Daily, host Mike Milligan opens with a brief market recap, noting modest gains across major U.S. indexes, a rise in Treasury yields, and mixed signals from the VIX and ISM Services PMI. He then launches a new "Explain It Like I'm 12" segment to demystify Roth conversions. Using a simple two‑box analogy, Milligan explains that moving pre‑tax money from a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA triggers ordinary‑income tax on the converted amount. He walks through a $20,000 conversion example taxed at a 22% federal rate, emphasizing that state taxes, bracket shifts, and other income effects are omitted from the illustration. The host outlines the strategic questions investors should ask: whether future tax rates may be higher, cash‑flow needs, the 5‑year and age‑59½ rules for qualified Roth withdrawals, the separate 5‑year rule for converted amounts, and potential Medicare premium (IRMAA) impacts. Milligan warns that conversions cannot be undone via recharacterization and advises running the numbers with a planner. He ties the lesson to his book, The Retirement Handshake, urging viewers to ask their advisors a concrete question about a partial Roth conversion for their fourth‑quarter review. The episode closes with a teaser for the next segment, "Great Asset, Wrong Location," and a standard disclaimer about the educational nature of the content.
Chapters
If someone tells you that you should convert your retirement account to a Roth, I want you to feel comfortable asking a simple question. Why would that be better for me? No better for someone else in a video, not better for your neighbor, better for you with your income, your plans, and the money you may need to spend. Welcome to the One of a Kind Financial Show Daily. I'm Mike Milligan, and it's Tuesday, October 6th. Yesterday, we started with the receipts. Check the claim before you act on it. Today, we take the next step. Understand what you've been asked to do. Tuesday's new feature is Explain It Like I'm 12 Years Old. That doesn't mean the question is childish. It means the explanation should be clear enough that you don't need a financial dictionary beside your coffee to get the answer. Today's question: What is a Roth conversion? And why would you consider paying a tax bill sooner than you have to? We'll get there. First, here's what happened to the market on Monday.
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 90.94 points or 0.18%. The S&P 500 rose 0.6%. NASDAQ Composite led those major averages rising 1.05%. A record closing high. The Russell 2000, the small company benchmark, gained 0.5%. That's 4 major indexes all up on Monday. CNBC reported that technology and AI-related shares helped lead the advance even as Treasury yields climbed. My takeaway is that the growth story and the interest rate story are still competing for attention. One strong day doesn't settle the argument. The 10-year Treasury yield finished at 5.31%. That was up 0.03% from Friday. The VIX meanwhile edged up 0.19% from 1531 to 1552. The last detail is worth noticing, folks. Stocks rose, but the VIX didn't fall. It measures expected volatility, not a guaranteed market direction. We also got the services report we were watching. September's ISM Services PMI came in at 54.9. That down from 55.4, while its price index increased to 74. Let me explain what that is in plain English. Services were still expanding, but more slowly, while reported price pressures increased. That's why I'm keeping the inflation and rates conversation open rather than declaring it finished. I'm not going to turn that into a promise about the Federal Reserve's next move. For your planning, I would rather ask this question. What if rates stay uncomfortable longer than you expected? Oh, and let me go a little bit deeper. Would that affect your debt, your cash needs, or the timing of a major purchase? Those are questions you can ask without guessing tomorrow's closing price. Now, let's talk about Roth conversions.
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Our new Tuesday segment is going to be called Explain Like I'm 12. A Roth conversion. All right, imagine 2 boxes on your kitchen table. For this example, the first holds retirement money that has not yet been taxed. The second represents a Roth IRA. We'll put a label on the first box: taxes generally due when withdrawn. On the Roth box, we're going to put a label that says qualified withdrawals are tax-free. See, those labels summarize the basic federal tax treatment, but the word qualified matters. A conversion means moving money from that traditional IRA box into the Roth IRA box. But when you move it, that sum, that money from box Traditional to box Roth is generally included in your ordinary income for that year. So this is— there isn't a secret door around that tax. There's strategies floating around the internet about do not pay that tax or have your tax paid for you, but you're consciously making a decision To recognize taxable income now in exchange for the Roth's potential future tax treatment. Let's use a deliberately simple hypothetical example. Suppose you convert $20,000 of entirely pre-tax IRA money, and every dollar of that conversion is taxed at an assumed 22% federal rate. The extra federal income tax in that example is $4,400. We're assuming you pay it with money outside of your IRA. So the full $20,000 goes from Box Traditional IRA to Box Roth IRA. See, that illustration though leaves something out. It leaves out state taxes, other income-related effects, and any change in your tax bracket. See, it's arithmetic, not a quote for your tax return. Now, you see, the real question we should be asking is, is paying that cost today likely to put you in a better position tomorrow? An additional question you can ask, will my family be better off by me making the decision? Here's how I'd help you think through it. If you expect those dollars to face a higher tax rate later, paying a lower rate now may be worth exploring. If you're in a high-income year and expect a lower rate later, waiting may deserve a serious look. Those are planning scenarios, not predictions, folks. We still have to account for your cash needs, the time involved, and what else happens when taxable income rises. And please don't hear Roth and assume every withdrawal is immediately tax-free. For a typical retirement withdrawal of earnings to be qualified, the Roth IRA 5-year window required. There's a 5-year window requirement and the age 59½ requirement both need to be met. The IRS also provides other qualifying circumstances that we could talk about in a one-on-one meeting or by visiting IRS Publication 590-B. There is a separate 5-year rule for converted amounts that can matter if you take money out early. Particularly before 59 and a half. So, if you may need this money soon, that belongs in the conversation before a conversion happens, not after it. There's another potential cost if Medicare is part of your life now or soon. Conversion income can raise future income-related Medicare premiums, or IRMAA, which generally use income from 2 years earlier. And under certain rules, you cannot simply undo a completed Roth conversion by recharacterizing it back to a traditional IRA. There's a good reason to run the numbers before moving the money. Simple doesn't mean automatic. It means you understand the choice well enough to ask a better question. 2 boxes sitting on a kitchen table reminds me a lot about coffee cans with me and my grandmother when we were selling collard sandwiches.
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Now, This is where I connect the lesson to The Retirement Handshake. That's the book out on Amazon right now, available, that talks about your silent partner. When I talk about the government as that silent partner, I want that image to help you explain— examine the tax assumptions in your plan, not frighten you into a transaction. The goal isn't to win an argument about whether a traditional IRA or Roth IRA is always better. I want you to understand which role each might play in your life. For your 4th quarter review, here's the question I'd put on paper. Would a partial Roth conversion this year improve my retirement plan after all the costs are accounted for? Ask your planner and tax professional to compare doing nothing, which by the way is the financial plan most people actually take in America, versus converting a smaller amount, in converting a larger amount. Have them show you the assumptions, the tax costs, how you would pay for it, and what happens if your future tax rates are lower than expected. You don't need to pick a conversion amount because you listened to this show. You can use this show to arrive at the conversation better prepared. That's the change I'm asking for today. Move from, I heard Roth conversions are good, to, I understand what we need to evaluate.
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Tomorrow, another new segment feature called Great Asset, Wrong Location. We'll explore how something that sounds attractive on its own might still be a poor fit for the job you need your money to do. For today, though, write down that one question about a partial conversion and bring it to your next planning conversation. You're not committing to move money. You're making time to understand a decision. I don't want you to leave with a longer list of things to worry about. I want you to leave with a clear path to start.
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And to close, your financial life doesn't need to become more complicated for it to become more intentional. Sometimes progress is understanding the question before you rush toward an answer. I'm Mike Milligan. Educate, coach, plan, and never miss a moment. I'm learning and I'm changing. No solo estoy aprendiendo, también estoy cambiando. I'll get better at that too. We'll see you tomorrow. This program provides general education and information, not individualized investment, tax, or legal advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell a security. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested directly. Some ETFs and index funds mirror the investments but come with cost and risk. The tax example is hypothetical and your results may differ. Laws and market conditions can change. Consult qualified professionals before making decisions. I am an investment advisory representative with Advisory Alpha, LLC. Ideas by Mike, doing business as WinOak Financial, and Mike Milligan, LLC, doing business as WinOak Collective, are unaffiliated Be one of a kind with Mike's plan.
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