Draymond GreenForward, Golden State Warriors

"I'm taking Denver" #nba #nbaplayoffs #nuggets #timberwolves #basketball #shorts

19 May 2024 · 1 min

Watch on YouTube

0:56

In this YouTube short, Draymond Green discusses a key playoff statistic: the team that wins Game 5 in a tied 2‑2 series goes on to win the series 82% of the time. He explains that this trend stems from the decisive adjustments made after Game 4. Green highlights Denver’s adjustment of having Aaron Gordon handle the ball, which helped them win Game 5, and notes Minnesota’s counter‑adjustments that secured Game 6. He argues that the winner of Game 5 gets the final tactical edge, and because Denver can create tough defensive situations for Minnesota with their adjustments, he predicts Denver will win the series in seven games.

Chapters

You always hear this stat. The winner of the pivotal Game 5 in a 2-2 series goes on to win the series 82% of the time. No one ever tells you why that's the case. I'm gonna tell you why. After Game 4, you're tied up 2-2. You then make adjustments. And so the adjustments that Denver made for Game 5, having Aaron Gordon handle the ball, blah, blah, blah. Won them the game. Minnesota made adjustments to that. Game 6, won them the game. Well, guess what? Now the winner of Game 5 get to make the final adjustment. So with Denver getting the final adjustment, I actually think them being able to put Minnesota's defense in some tough spots with great adjustments. I'm taking Denver in 7. 7.