Tommy DobczykOpportunity Zone Advisor, OZ Wizard · Director of Development | Certified Opportunity Zone Advisor

Stop Trusting Instinct! REAL ESTATE NUMBERS Don't Lie! #shorts

1 Aug 2026 · 1 min

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In this short dialogue, Speaker A asks whether to rely on instinct or let the numbers guide property decisions. Speaker B argues that investors should let the numbers drive their choices, explaining that an investor's instinct is not yet refined until they have completed many deals. He offers to conduct a property walkthrough (tomorrow or Thursday) but notes he is currently in Arizona, adding logistical hurdles. The core message is that until one has as much deal experience as the speaker and his colleague Tommy, instinct should be considered unreliable, and decisions should be grounded in quantitative analysis.

Chapters

Is it a good thing if we're able to prejudge a property or do we just want the numbers just to tell us instead of our own instinct?
I want the numbers to tell you instead of your own instinct. Your instinct hasn't— you haven't done enough deals to have your instinct tell you. Let's do a walkthrough tomorrow or Thursday. You come at the property. No, I'm in Arizona. Sorry. More hurdles to jump through. Super not fun. Okay. So let's go ahead and share this with you guys. So here's what I'd say for all of you for your instinct. Until you've done as many deals as Tommy and I have done, I invite you to consider your instinct is not finely tuned yet. And here's how I know.