Episode 220 - How to Take the Right Risks in Your Auto Repair Shop
21 Aug 2025 · 5 min
Rick White explains the difference between calculated risks and careless ones. A calculated risk is researched with contingency plans; a careless risk is impulsive and ego-driven. Use a five-question checklist before deciding: what's the best outcome, worst outcome, most likely outcome, can you survive the worst case, and does it move you toward your vision.
Chapters
So, good morning, my name is Rick White from 180 Biz. We're a coaching and training company for the independent auto repair and truck shops. And this is my just one thing. What are we going to talk about today? We're talking about risk today and I think this is a really important thing to talk about. So I came across this quote last week and I absolutely loved.
Simply states, your success depends on the risks you take. Your survival depends on the risks you avoid. So think about that for a sec. So what do I mean by that? Do you know which risks to take and which ones to avoid? I think that's a really great question to ask today. So first let's understand what risk really means. Risk is exposure to uncertainty with potential for gain or loss. So think about that again. Exposure to uncertainty with potential for gain or loss. Now think about that for a second. It really is a double edged sword here, isn't it? It can either be a driver for growth or it could be a banana peel for the business. You really don't know which it's going to be right on the outside. Once we start thinking risk, we immediately think it's a negative, but it's not. Risk can be a positive. Risk simply means uncertainty.
So how do you know which to take?
So there's two kinds of risks. See, this is where the science starts to make a difference. This is where being able to step back and think about things make a difference. And if this video is resonating with you, please share it. Okay, we want to get as many people in front of this information as possible. So what do we have? We have two kinds of risks. You have calculated risk and you have careless risks. Calculated risks are proactive risks. This is where you step back and you do research and you look at facts and you forecast. And it's a calculated risk. You can see clear potential. Right. That justifies the risk. So here's an example of this. An example of this might be, you know, deciding to get an alignment rack and an alignment machine. After you've stepped back and you've analyzed the positive impact that purchase is going to have. You've done the calculations, you realize it's going to save you this much time driving back and forth with cars to another shop. It's going to give you increased opportunities to find additional work that's needed. And you've actually done the math. Okay? So that's a calculated risk. A careless risk is based on impulse and emotions or ego or assumptions. You don't have any data. There's no contingency plan, and there's no clear reward. Let me give you an example. My dumbest thing I ever, ever bought. You ready? And I'm going to date myself. You ready? Here we go. So back in 1986.
Ford had a system out just before that called EEC3. It was a beaut. I'll tell you. It was very, very hard to work on. You couldn't. Nobody had equipment for it. It didn't plug into a regular, you know, scan tool or anything like that. So I got tired. I had two cars that I could not fixed. And guess what happened? Rick gets on the phone for three hours calling OTC and everybody else around it until I finally got somebody that would sell me that piece of equipment. It was $5,000 back then. There was actually three pieces of equipment that allowed you to service that system. And I went and bought it. And guess what? After I bought it, I probably used it three times. See, this is where I allowed my ego to create careless risk. Okay? That is what is really the problem. So again, if you can share this video, I got four minutes left. I want to make sure I got everything covered here. Okay, so let's talk about what these differences look like. So.
Calculated risk is recognizing that people aren't spending money the way they were and saying, you know, I need to have a plan for this. So what I'm going to do is I'm going to reach out and I'm going to access financing options that are prime options for people with great credit and subprime options for people that have poor credit. I'm going to do that. So there's very little risk on my part in order to be able to continue to help people and make sales. What's a careless risk? A careless risk is letting people pay you over time. How many can give me an amen on that one? Right? Who has done that and made that mistake? So I want you to think that through. How about having a marketing plan where you figure out what your message is, who your people are, and what your method is, and then putting a calendar and a budget together and then measuring it. That's calculated risk. Whereas careless risk is just getting slow and spending money on ads. We call that reactive marketing. Okay? Most expensive, least effective marketing you'll ever do. That's careless risk. How about putting together a plan for working with fleets, talking about the benefits and the things that they're going to get, helping them focus on the income they're going to continue to enjoy because their fleet is up and running versus Just giving very, very deep discounts in order to get some work without even realizing if it's profitable or not. So what skill sets do you need for this? Number one, you gotta be able to see the gains, the losses and the probability of each. Right? You gotta understand what the financial part of it is. How is it going to affect cash flow? What does your return on investment look like? What does it do to your break even issues? This is a real thing. And then you got to take a look at scenarios. What's the worst that could happen and can you survive that scenario? You also got to look at your decisions. Every decision, and we've talked about this, is every decision you're making moving you closer to where you want to go, or is it taking you sideways or backwards? Okay. Is it helping you achieve your goals? And then the last thing you got to have, as far as skill set goes, is you got to have some emotional control. You got to avoid letting fomo, fear of missing out or excitement, like, oh my gosh, this is going to be so awesome. What is that going to do? Okay, so I'm going to give you five questions to ask and then we'll get going. I'm just going to keep going, guys. Number one, what's the best outcome? These are the five filters, right? These five questions are going to filter whether you have a calculated risk or a careless risk. Number one, what's best outcome? Right. What's the best case scenario here? Number two, what's the worst case scenario? Write these down, think them through. Number one, what's the best case scenario? Number two, what's worst case scenario? Number three, what's the most likely scenario? I mean, if we're real about it, you know, a lot of times when we're looking at best case, it requires us to do stuff. If we're honest with each other, ain't gonna happen. So what's the most likely? Now?
Fourth question, can I survive the worst case scenario? Can I survive the worst case scenario? That's number four. And then number five, does this move me closer to my vision, my destination? Okay, so there are the five questions. Okay, I want you to put that checklist right on your desk. And the next time you're thinking about making a risky decision, run through those five questions. Okay? Here's the thing. Success comes from taking the right risks, okay? Survival comes from avoiding the wrong ones. It's your job to be able to tell the difference and then act accordingly. Okay, so before your next decision, guys, I just want you to run through your checklist and make sure you're chasing success and not flirting with failure. Everybody, thank you so much. I love you. Have a great week and go make some money. See you next week, everybody. Bye. Bye.
More from Rick


Episode 275 - Stuck in the Daily Grind? Turn Your Biggest Shop Problems into Profits


Episode 268 - Everyone Wants to Matter in Your Shop: Recognition vs. Appreciation








