In this video Xuan, the creator behind "The Art of Crypto," walks viewers through a live Bitcoin trade setup for the day, emphasizing a clean, high‑probability approach. He begins by establishing credibility (75% win‑rate over years) and then dives into a multi‑timeframe analysis. On the weekly chart he identifies a bearish bias, citing a potential bearish expansion toward the previous weekly low, while also noting a historical 9‑month bull‑to‑bear cycle metric that could suggest a bull market return. Macro factors (high Treasury yields, inflation, possible Fed rate hikes) are presented as counter‑arguments, leading to the recommendation of a hedge using a well‑tested order block that offers a 10:1 risk‑to‑reward ratio for Bitcoin, and even higher ratios for altcoins like Solana (20:1) or entry‑point trades (30:1). Moving to intraday, Xuan outlines the daily bias (bearish) supported by recent high‑liquidity sweeps and a bearish daily order block. He then drills down to the 1‑hour chart to seek confirmation via order flow and a PDA (price‑direction‑array) that aligns with the higher‑timeframe bias. The trade plan targets a move toward the $80,600 low (or lower), with a minimum 2:1 risk‑reward if entered at the hourly order block. He explains how, if the price fails to revisit the block, traders can switch to momentum trading on lower timeframes, using 5‑minute order blocks to improve the risk‑reward to about 4.5:1. Xuan stresses the functional hierarchy of timeframes: higher frames set direction, middle frames locate zones of interest, and lower frames provide execution entries. He also warns that without market confirmation the day should be a no‑trade, reinforcing disciplined trading. The video concludes with a promotion for one‑on‑one coaching, citing a 70% success‑rate claim and directing viewers to links in the description. Overall, the content delivers a step‑by‑step, evidence‑based trading methodology, blending technical analysis (order blocks, liquidity levels, PDA arrays), risk management (stop‑loss placement, asymmetric risk‑reward), and market‑context commentary.
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What's good everyone, welcome back to another video. The setup for Bitcoin today honestly looks super clean, so yeah, I'm not going to waste your time and we're just going to get right into it. Before I do though, if you're new here, welcome, my name is Xuan and I've been publicly documenting the success rate of all of these trade calls over the last couple of years that I've been making these videos. And the success rate is pretty good, like currently I'm at about a 75% win rate, so I tend to be right a little bit more often compared to when I'm wrong. So hopefully that gives you a reason to listen to me. And yeah, without any further ado, let's just get into the trade setup for today. We're going to start things off on the weekly chart and we are looking at a bearish weekly bias means that technically speaking, we are expecting some sort of bearish expansion towards the downside. And basically, the previous weekly low is going to be the target. Now, I did already mention yesterday that, you know, this would be the swing trading plan. Again, this is one of those plays where, you know, if the bull market were to be back, which currently there are indications that may suggest so in the sense where we've already gotten a bullish CICD on the weekly chart, plus the fact that historically speaking, in terms of a bull run, price tends to find the bottom after the bear— sorry, the bull market high to the bear market low, it tends to be anywhere between 10 to 12 months. Now, this High to this low right here. I think it's been about nine months. Yeah, solid nine months. So sixth of October, that's the top, and then twenty or basically July is the bottom. That's about nine months, right? So it falls in line with the kind of timing that we've been expecting throughout the last bull market. Even though it's not a huge sample size, it is one of the well reliable metrics that we've kind of got. So for the most part, like there are reasons to believe that the bull market's back. There are also reasons to believe that this is just going to be a fake out, and you know this is a bull trap. It's tricking everyone into thinking that things are bullish, but in reality, you know the macroeconomic situation is horrible. But Treasury yields are at all-time highs. You've got inflation at all-time highs. You've also got the Federal Reserve basically being pressured into potentially raising rates, which is not the ideal type of market condition for risk assets like Bitcoin to go into a bull market. So that's the argument against. But basically, when you run into a situation where you've got arguments for and arguments against, which is probably going to be every single situation in the financial markets, easy way to just kind of approach this situation is to hedge, right? And in this case right here, this is my hedge. The order block right here is the order block that I've been looking at ever since we got the breakout a month ago. And right now we've retested back into it. Now the reason why I like this order block is because you get a very good risk-reward ratio where you could, you know, kind of layer in your spot positions at the side of the order block or just anywhere within the order block, and your stop loss is literally beneath the order block. So that gives you like, what, this is a 6% stop loss, which means you're really not standing to lose much, but you can gain a lot in return, right? And again, this is just potential gains. It's not like guaranteed to happen, but at the very least, you know, based on the numbers, this is a solid 10:1 risk-to-reward ratio kind of play, and the numbers are very much in your favor. Now, if you apply this onto altcoins, the numbers are only going to get more and more in your favor. Like Solana, for example, same exact setup, you're looking at a 20:1 risk-to-reward ratio. Or if you enter based on where price currently is right now, that's a 30:1 risk-to-reward ratio, which I really like the odds of that. But again, it's not just because it's, you know, good risk-reward doesn't mean it's guaranteed that it's going to happen, but it's just a good Hedge, right? If you are looking to get into long-term positions and yet you are feeling some sort of you know uncertainty that Bitcoin is not in fact going to return back into a bull run is a pretty good way to hedge. But with the weekly kind of swing trade out of the way, let's get back into the intraday trade and we're looking at the previous daily bias, which is fantastic because of the fact that we managed to sweep out some sort of previous high. We've managed to fill in some sort of previous bearish order block, plus the fact that this is now closing bearish means that today we are looking for some sort of move towards the downside and immediately I have this. Level kind of marked out, and I'm going to also mark out this level. These are 2 daily liquidity points that we can kind of look towards for today to kind of reach. And yeah, let's get down into the 1-hourly chart and try to look for some evidence to see if there is proof that, hey, the market is in fact bearish, because the daily bias is just kind of an educated guess, right? Based on the daily bias and based on what I've seen in terms of liquidity, where price has already swept out a key liquidity level and it's closed bearish, my educated guess is that price is going to, you know, kind of dip towards the downside and target sell-side liquidity instead, since, you know, the majority of the reasons for price to go up is now already, you know, kind of swept out. Well, I'm looking for downside. So that's my guess. You don't— as a trader, you never want to be trading your own opinion because, well, you need the market to also give you some evidence that, hey, your opinion is in fact correct before you jump into it. And that leads me on to why I'm coming down into the 1-hourly chart, which is to look for evidence. Now, there are 2 things that I'm looking for here, the first of which is order flow, and the second of which is some sort of PD array that aligns with the higher time frame bias. Now, in terms of order flow, we can already see that this is already pretty bearish for the most part. And now the second thing is PDA arrays, and this is going to be pretty straightforward. Over the last hour or so, like at 3 AM, London actually have a candle close beneath this level right here, which means that this is now a bearish order block. And basically the playbook today is pretty straightforward. You return back into the bearish order block and you look for some sort of move towards the downside, targeting at the very least this low over here at $80,600, and, you know, potentially even lower. But this would be the overall setup for today. And this is the reason why I like this setup, is also because like you've got a really good asymmetric risk-to-reward ratio here, where in the event that you just Simply retrace back into the order block, and you place your order right then and there, and you place your stop loss above the order block. Well, you're looking at an easy two to one risk to reward ratio trade already, which is kind of the minimum that I go for with you know any of the trades that I do take. And the flip side of the equation could also happen. Like it's not guaranteed that we're going to come all the way back into the order block. That's when we kind of apply momentum trading into this, where basically by the time you guys watch this video, all you want to see is that price continues to maintain bearish momentum. And as long as you've got bearishness, like you're all good. Basically going down into the five minute time frame and just look for new order blocks that are forming en route to that. As long as the liquidity targets haven't been swept yet, don't believe that you are too late if you miss the initial move, because so often I have found myself making way more money just kind of trading in the middle, where basically instead of trying to catch the top, I would just sell low and then buy back lower. And this is essentially like, if I could give an analogy regarding to this, it would be like hopping onto a train that has already left the station but has not reached the destination. And a lot of the times, because your trend is already confirmed, it means that a lot of the times the movement is going to be very clean, it's going to be very straightforward, and it tends to move pretty fast as well. That's the beautiful part. Plus, because you're getting in in the middle and you're just using 5-minute order blocks as your entry criteria, or rather your entry model, your risk to reward tends to be pretty amazing. Like, for example, if I were to refine the trade earlier into this 5-minute order block right here instead of using the entire 1-hourly order block, well, guess what? Instead of a 2:1 risk to reward ratio, I'm now looking at a 4.5 risk to reward ratio. This is why you have a lower time frame, which, just on a side note, just a piece of alpha for you, one of the biggest myths of trading is that people think that the higher time frame is always stronger than the lower timeframe, but that's not true. If that were the case, then everyone would be trading on the yearly chart instead. Why bother with the 5-minute chart, right? But here's a better way to understand it, which is that every timeframe has a job. For example, the higher timeframe tells me direction, right? It simply tells me, okay, should I be looking for longs or shorts today? Then your middle timeframe, well, and then you use your middle timeframe to find areas of interest, basically to find areas where price could retrace back into so that it can continue in the direction of your higher timeframe trend. And then finally, you go into your lower timeframe where you execute your trades. Because you're executing from the lower timeframe instead of the middle or higher timeframe, you're going to get a way better risk-to-reward ratio. So every timeframe has its job. You just need to get clear on exactly what they're for. And of course, in the event that, you know, this hourly order block right here gets kind of closed through and, you know, price doesn't show any sort of indication that it wants to go to the downside, guess what? Based on what I've mentioned already, you don't want to be trading just like your opinion in the markets, right? You've got to have an opinion. That's important. But you also need the market to confirm that, hey, whatever idea you have regarding the markets today, I also agree with your opinion. So you just got to wait for that evidence. And if you don't get that evidence, then yeah, today's just gonna become a no-trade day, which is pretty simple, very straightforward. But either way, if there is a trade, I'm gonna call it on X. None of my trade setups are gated behind some signals groups. But I will say this though, if you'd like to work with us one-on-one where we get you from where you are to very consistent as a trader, we have a 70% success rate based on like, hey, this is what we promise on the headline of the website. And 70% of the people who end up working with us seriously achieve that result. And all of this is tracked. If you'd like to find out more, highly suggest you click the first link in the description box below. Otherwise, check out this video over here. I think it's going to be very helpful for you.
