Tim DaviesCEO Projekt Rising - The expert AI partner for SMEs

Elon Musk Predicts 90% Autonomous Cars in 10 Years!

25 May 2025

Watch on YouTube

A short YouTube commentary by Tim Davies where the speaker quotes Elon Musk's forecast that 90% of driving will be fully autonomous in 10 years and 50% in five years, then offers cautious skepticism about the global practicality of those timelines—noting regional differences in adoption (e.g., Africa vs. United States) and reflecting on general optimism in technology adoption timelines.

Questions this video answers

90% of the driving will be fully autonomous in 10 years.

50% will be fully autonomous in five years.

I was watching something this morning and Elon Musk was talking about how quickly he thinks fully autonomous vehicles will be on the road. And he was being asked about a 10 year forecast. And he said that in 10 years, 90% of the driving will be fully autonomous. And I thought, okay, well, if you qualify that to the United States, then probably, I think globally that's highly impractical, given what we saw when I was young in Africa, the level of adoption of autonomous driving there, just don't see it. But he then said that 50% in five years will be fully autonomous. I've always been on the side of thinking technology adoption will happen quicker than it actually ends up happening. And he's definitely in that space.