TJ Walker explains how the 2020 redistricting gave Republicans 16 extra House seats before any votes were cast. Trump pushed Republican states to redraw maps again: Texas added five GOP seats, Florida four, and Tennessee eliminated its only Black majority district to flip a Democratic seat red.
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According to the Brennan Center for Justice, gerrymandering for the 2020 redistricting cycle alone gave Republicans approximately 16 extra House seats compared to what they'd win under fair maps. 16 seats, that's baked in before a single vote is cast. Then Trump went further. He personally pressured Republican states to redraw their maps again in the middle of the decade, specifically to protect the House majority in 2026. Texas alone redesigned its map to potentially deliver 5 additional GOP seats. The Supreme Court let those maps stand. Florida signed new maps worth 4 more seats. Tennessee carved up the only majority Black congressional district in Memphis, the state's sole Democratic seat, to give Republicans a shot at a 9-0 sweep. Ultimize.