Two analysts connect a potential 2025 U.S. government shutdown to Bitcoin's bottom. They note the 2018 shutdown coincided exactly with Bitcoin's December 2018 low, and argue current shutdown risk signals a similar market bottom now. Bitcoin at $109,000 could see a rally peaking around October 2025.
People are betting that there's an 83% chance for a US government shutdown in 2025 because they cannot agree on where to put the money.
Well, this is all caused by the Democrats. They, uh, asked us to do something that's totally unreasonable. They never change. They want to give money away to illegals illegally, uh, people that entered our country illegally. They want to give them massive federal money.
This will obviously affect cryptocurrency and stocks, and they have till literally September 30th. So this is really important. We should pay attention to it. On the surface, it seems really bad because they haven't agreed. They haven't agreed on where to put the money. But really, if you look throughout history, it's actually not bad at all. Let me show you. So a government shutdown is basically when Congress and the president do not agree on a budget. And so they start fighting back and forth and they don't get the budget finalized before the deadline. And so the government actually shuts down and so many people stop working. And the last time this happened, it was actually 35 days in 2018. And the fight was basically about President Trump demanding $5.7 billion to build the wall in Mexico. We all remember that. So basically the government shut down because they couldn't come to a conclusion on that. Now what's happening now? They're actually fighting over healthcare funding, which the Democrats want to extend the Affordable Care Act and the Republicans oppose doing that. And yeah, they really have till like September 30th, a couple days to figure this out. Now this is where it gets interesting because the last time this happened, believe it or not, was the exact bottom of the market. This was December 2018 to January 2019, the exact bottom of Bitcoin's price. This is Bitcoin's price. So whatever happened there, it obviously affected Bitcoin in a positive way because Bitcoin started rallying after. Now, I don't say that this is the only reason that the market started rallying, but what I am saying is this happened at the exact bottom of the market. Let's look at stocks again, the exact bottom of the market. So I don't know all the variables. I can't predict the future. I don't know all of it. But what I do know is, again, the last time this happened, it was the exact bottom of the market in the perspective of stocks and Bitcoin. So don't freak out. Do research. But my personal perspective is that we are at a very undervalued $109K BTC. All right, this is Bitcoin. We've been fighting all-time high. We've been resisting the level we're currently at right now 1, 2, 3 different times, and I believe that this resistance is going to turn into support, which is extremely bullish. And I just recently did like kind of like a Bitcoin price prediction video, and it just really showed me that we have to— it feels like a little— have a little extended cycle theory, okay? Like, I'm not going to sit here and claim that we're going to go into a bull run all through 2026. That's not what I'm claiming. But I do believe that it's going to be more extended because according to the data, we should have a top of Bitcoin around the 9th or 10th of October. So we're gonna have a slight extension towards the end of the year, and I have a lot of math to prove that.
