A prediction model called the Bitcoin top on October 25th and the bottom on September 15th. The speaker sold 80% of their portfolio near those dates but warns the accuracy might come from cherry-picked dates timed to the halving, not real forecasting skill.
Isn't it crazy that we made a prediction model that tried to predict the top? It predicted October 25th, which was like almost the top to the day. And then we did a live Q&A where we tried to predict the bottom, and the exact starting point of our range of when the bottom was going to be was September 15th, which is the exact day of the Clarity Act. There's only 2 conclusions. It's not Alex is super smart. That is not what this is. I believe they're taking these simple prediction models And they're rearranging strategic dates around it. I truly believe that they know that people are looking at the Bitcoin halving on a hyper-specific level and they're using that as ways to move with the market. I'm skeptical. I'm not going to sit here and say I predicted the exact— we did sell like 80% of the portfolio at the top, not exact top. And I did buy the bottom, but I don't know. It just lined up a little bit too perfect and we didn't go all in. But I just wanted to explain that to you guys, that that did happen in front of your face.
