Three conditions signal an altcoin bull run: low interest rates from the Fed, Bitcoin entering a parabolic surge that hits mainstream media, and Bitcoin's market dominance falling as capital rotates into altcoins. About 90% of altcoins fail because they lack real utility and run on hype alone.
The cryptocurrency bull run is going to start when I say. I'm just joking, stop. Just joking. I believe we're already in the bull cycle, but the question is when is it the altcoin cycle? I think is what you're trying to ask. Maybe you hold altcoins. Hopefully you hold altcoins. When is that going to start? There's three things that I'm looking for for altcoin season. Not all three have to check out for an altcoin season to start, but I think all three are very important. And if all three check out, I'm going to get very bullish on the altcoin cycle. Number one, we need a Low interest rate environment. A lot of people talk about M2 money supply and global liquidity, but they don't realize that all of the global liquidity, 89% of it, comes from the Federal Reserve's loaning. Loaning, lower interest rate means risk on. It's very clear right now gold is at all-time high, silver is at all-time high. Commodities are the opposite of risk on. Risk on basically means that the market is willing to take risk. So if the assets that are opposite to risk-on are doing really well and interest rates are very high, very expensive, and 89% of all of the liquidity comes from lower interest rates, the question is, why do people think it's risk-on? It's not risk-on. So as soon as they start dropping interest rates, which can come soon, all right, this will give me more of a confirmation. The next 2 go hand in hand. We need to see Bitcoin going parabolic. Like going up a lot, very fast. We need to see it going viral in the mainstream media. Everybody's talking about Bitcoin, right? Has the biggest institutional demand. And at the same exact time, we need to see Bitcoin dominance dropping. So when we see Bitcoin's price going crazy, then the dominance of Bitcoin is dropping. That means that something else is beating Bitcoin and hype is being driven into the market. So Bitcoin starts this big hype And then people typically are like, okay, what's the next best thing? Bitcoin's really expensive. So we have all the hype, liquidity, and demand from Bitcoin moving into altcoins at the same time. We need both for it to be an altcoin season. Altcoins have no utility. Let me say it again. Right now in the crypto market, they have no utility at all. It's all hype-driven. This is why Bitcoin outcompetes altcoins over the long run, because Bitcoin actually has a scarcity element. It's very similar to a commodity. They call it digital gold, right? So for altcoins, we need hype. We need it. Like, this is how altcoins increase in value since the beginning of time. Altcoins have always been hype-driven. Always. This is why they die 90%. And so once we see all 3— a low interest rate environment, we see Bitcoin going parabolic specifically, not just going up but parabolic, and we see Bitcoin dominance dropping at the exact same time it's going parabolic— this is a confirmation for the altcoin season.
