This content was created by Alexander Lorenzo. This content was uploaded by Alexander Lorenzo. This is a YouTube video titled "YOU'RE WATCH CRYPTO HISTORY UNFOLD BREAKOUT" (posted 2025-10-13) containing a single-speaker English crypto market commentary. The speaker (labeled SPEAKER A) gives speculative trading analysis and predictions—arguing Bitcoin will break its all-time high if former President Trump reaches a deal with China—while discussing S&P 500 volatility, Bitcoin dominance, a likely Federal Reserve rate cut later that month, and stablecoin regulation (referred to as the "Genius Act"). The piece is opinionated, enthusiastic, and focused on short- to medium-term market drivers and trading bets.
Chapters
We're gonna break all-time high for Bitcoin's price because Trump's gonna do a deal with China. Right now he's negotiating. This is why tariffs are 100% for China. There's no way he's just gonna let go of all that money. He's negotiating. This is what this candlestick is. This is Bitcoin's price, and the only reason it dropped is because Trump is negotiating with China. As soon as he comes out with some positive news like, hey, hey, we did a deal with China, this is gonna skyrocket, break all-time high, and we are going to make a lot of money off of altcoins. I hope I— bro, Yo, wake up! Hey, hey, do you see it? Everybody's freaking out because the SPX topped, right? Massive candlestick after Trump announced 100% tariff policy on China. But I'm gonna tell you right now, this is a shakeout. Let me show you. First things first, Bitcoin bounced almost exactly where I said. Again, again, I drew this circle before the bounce. As you can see right there, we're making higher lows. Look at the line. Look, low here, low there, higher lows. Let's take a look at the volatility of the S&P 500 index. Basically what this means is it shows the fear of the stock market. When there's big price swings, people get a little scared. Volatility means massive price swings. So as you can see very clearly, when it spikes up a lot, look at the price of the S&P 500, it dropped about 18%. And so what I did is I looked at our current volatility and I gauged it according to what happened in the past. As you can see right here, we have this green spike of our current volatility of the S&P 500 and the red lines, as you can see right there, the vertical lines, All of these red lines are every single time we touched the same volatility level of what we're experiencing right now. And as you can see, there's a lot of times we touched, and there's only really been one moment where that actual touch led to a meaningful drop in the S&P 500 price. Look at how many red lines there are. Not every time led to a market turndown. Only this period of time led to the S&P 500 dropping. So obviously this is important for crypto because the S&P 500 represents the stocks, and stocks represent risk-on assets. And Bitcoin and crypto are risk-on assets. So basically, people are not that scared right now. And if we take a look at Bitcoin's dominance, look, it's dropping again, right? As you can see on a shorter time horizon, it's dropping, confirming what I'm saying. People are not that scared. Bitcoin dominance dropping means that people are accumulating altcoins. Altcoins are super risky. So right here in a shorter time horizon, people are getting really risky right now. So this is good. This is hype. This is like a sign for price increase. Don't forget, we have the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates on the 28th and 29th towards the end of this month. There's a high likelihood, like a 96% chance. Look, 96.2% chance are the probabilities of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, and the cutting of the interest rates leads to more liquidity in the system. Combine that with the stablecoin regulation that we have with the Genius Act, which basically duplicates the liquidity in crypto, we have a really good flat— like, I don't— like, pay attention. As soon as Trump Literally comes on the internet and says, "Hey, we did a deal with China." That thing is gonna hit, bro. It's gonna hit. I'm telling you. I believe we'll break all-time high. But again, I'm not perfect. I don't know everything. But I just I would bet it. I would bet on it. I'm betting on it right now. That's what trading is. I'm betting on the fact that it will go up.