Luke Murray explains why he's afraid to post anything: he can't predict his work won't be terrible. He defines confidence as "predictive accuracy" and breaks down three things that build it: recent experience, relevant experience, and positive results.
I'm scared to post this because I don't have confidence. I'm just scared to say anything at all, to post or publish anything. And so I wanted to open this by acknowledging that emotion. I'm going to sit with it in a second here. But the reason that I feel this strong emotion is because I don't have confidence. So I'm going to define what confidence is, and I'm going to steal a lot of that definition from this guy over here. So what's this definition of confidence? My definition, slash his, it's just predictive accuracy. So the reason I don't have a lot of confidence is because I cannot predict with any accuracy that this isn't going to be an absolute piece of shit video. So I'd like to be able to, but I can't. And the reason is because I don't have the 3 pieces The 3 Rs that you need in order to get a lot of confidence. And those things are experience that is recent, relevant, and that you got positive results from.
