Sam Altman says AGI could arrive in 2025, Dario Amodei in 2026-27. The gap between today's narrow AI and true AGI is learning and adapting across any task, not just specific ones. IQ tests don't measure what we'd actually need to recognize it.
Questions this video answers
2025.
2026–27.
Chapters
Looks like we're pretty close to artificial general intelligence. Sam Altman, the head of OpenAI who creates ChatGPT, is suggesting 2025, so just a couple of months away. And Dario Amade from Anthropic is also suggesting 2026. 27. AGI, or Artificial General Intelligence, is the next step in AI. Right now we have artificial narrow intelligence. Narrow intelligence is really good at doing a very specific task. Think ChatGPT. That's where we are right now, around level one, level two. Right now we're around level one, level two. If we move towards AGI, though, we're going to be moving to level three and level four. This is when an artificial intelligence actually surpasses the intelligence of human being. There's a lot of debate, not just technical, but also philosophical and cognitive, about what that actually means. And part of the reason for that is we don't really have a very good measure of human intelligence. We have iq, but it's pretty flawed. Therefore, being able to tell when an AI has higher intelligence in a human is kind of tricky. Definitionally, from a practical point of view, it's more useful to think about its capabilities. What kind of tasks can an AGI help us with? An AGI, unlike an ani, narrow intelligence is good at a multitude of tasks. It's capable of learning and adapting for new tasks, even things that we don't know how to do ourselves. That is potentially what we're going to be getting in the next couple of years.