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In this segment, the speaker highlights the risks associated with short‑term (typically three‑year) real‑estate debt. Borrowers who secured such loans when property prices were higher now face depressed valuations, making it impossible to refinance for the original loan amount because the property is worth less than the debt. Compounding the problem, recent sharp interest‑rate hikes have doubled borrowing costs compared to the rates used in borrowers’ original cash‑flow projections. As a result, the higher loan payments exceed the properties’ net operating income (NOI), leaving borrowers unable to sustain the debt and increasing default risk.

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