Mike Milligan compares Morocco's World Cup upset over the Netherlands to investing. Forty years of data show top-ranked assets don't consistently win. A good portfolio owns both the favorite and the underdog, because upsets happen.
Chapters
The Round of 32 has delivered exactly what the expanded 48-team format in the World Cup promised, and that's chaos. Storyline 1: Morocco shocks the Netherlands, 2 of the top-ranked teams in the tournament. The match everyone called the headline of the Round of 32 tied 1-1 through 90 minutes, tied 1-1 through extra time, and then Morocco won 3-2 in PK shootout. The Netherlands, one of the favorites to make a deep run, is going home. Morocco moves into the Round of 16. And announces themselves as one of the stories of this tournament. The planning lesson: the upset is the rule, not the exception. Across 40 years of investing data, the favorites do not always win. The mid-cap, small-cap, the value name, the foreign market— they all have their decade. A One of a Kind Financial Plan owns Morocco and the Netherlands. We call it diversification.