A 50% drop in EBITDA from $2 million to $1 million can slash your valuation multiple from 12× to 4.5×. Multiples come from industry comparables and reflect perceived risk, so revenue declines hit your company's value hard whether you're selling to a buyer or passing it to family.
Chapters
Business owners are so in the business at times, and then they just see, oh my goodness, business is not— I'm not getting the volume, or I'm not getting my month by month is not actually really working. Something's happening. So you will start doing things like increased marketing efforts or however to try to— you're scrambling to go back to that $10 million because you're not on track, right? Like you can feel it because you're just so in the business. Yeah. But now if you see that reduction in your revenue and that results in a trickle effect, and in this example here, The business owner's EBITDA went down from $2 million to $1 million. So that's halved. And in the valuation context now, what was normally a 12x multiple ends up becoming a 4.5x multiple. And a multiple is usually used in the reference of an industry, and it's set up related to how to value this business that's comparable against others. And that also reflects risk inside of this particular asset class that you are looking to transfer, either if it's to your, your family as well as to a third party. Either way, this is still a very valuable piece or component in your wealth portfolio.