a bias is not a trade

3 Sept 2026 · 1 min

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In this tutorial, the speaker outlines a disciplined trading approach that separates market bias from actual trade execution. He starts by establishing a bearish daily and weekly bias, positioning himself for short trades. He then emphasizes the need to drop to lower timeframes to seek market evidence that aligns with the higher‑timeframe bias. Only when the lower‑timeframe price action confirms the bearish outlook does he consider entering a short position. The core message is that having a bias or opinion about market direction is merely the first step; a trade idea must be validated by the market before execution.

Chapters

So right now, because we're looking at a bearish daily bias, we know that we're overall going to be positioned towards the short side for today. So now we're going to go into the lower timeframes, and this is the keyword right here. I'm going to start looking for evidence that the market agrees with whatever my idea is. So right now, based on my daily bias and my weekly bias, I'm thinking short. So now I need to come down to the lower timeframe to see, does the market agree? Because at the end of the day, having a trade idea or having an opinion about what the market is going to do does not automatically mean that there is going to be a trade idea. Having that trade idea is just step 1, you need step 2, which is, hey, the market needs to be showing signs that it is also thinking the same way as you.