A+ trade incoming for bitcoin today (don't miss this!)

What's good, guys? Welcome back to another video. The setup for today is so clean on Bitcoin that, yeah, I just can't wait to get into this. I'm going to break down the exact trade I'm looking at for today, and yeah, you're not going to want to miss this. And it's pretty rare for me to be this enthusiastic, especially after the fact that we've had a pretty rough month so far. Hey, before we get into it, if you're new here, welcome. My name is Xuan. I've been publicly documenting my success rate when it comes to these daily YouTube trade calls that I make on YouTube right here. And so far I'm at about a 75% win rate across the last year and a half. So hopefully that gives you a bit of a reason to listen to me because I tend to be right just a tiny bit more often compared to when I'm wrong. Speaking about right versus when I'm wrong, man, this month has been absolutely rough. I called this trade yesterday on Twitter. Like, all of my entries are shared on Twitter. It's not gated behind some signals groups or whatever. But like, man, initially we entered here and things were going pretty well all the way until 9:30 where we ended up getting stopped out breakeven just to see the market jump straight towards TP. And that was not the only trade that I ended up taking that, you know, kind of played out like that. The second trade that I ended up taking, which was on a live trading call with my students inside bootcamp, was this one right here on euro. You got this order block right here, and yeah, things were going pretty well for a few minutes, and then it started to kind of tip towards, you know, our stop loss. So I had to stop myself out breakeven considering that we were up already like 1.5R at some point. After, you know, stopping out breakeven, guess what happened? Boom, price runs straight to the TP and even much further. And also another funny situation was USD/JPY. Now this one was super unfortunate because I ended up getting stopped out here, and this has been a recurring trend. And by the way, I'll share— I'll get into like the reason why I've been sharing this with you in just a tiny bit. But USD/JPY JPY as well. I was looking for this liquidity sweep to happen. Well, it did eventually happen, and then it eventually got that CISD. So I entered here, and I placed my stop loss underneath this low that was just swept. Turns out you would sweep that low again, and then you run straight towards TP. This was an unfortunate one. Didn't manage to, you know, set my stop to break even because I was not up by a lot at any point in time. And this leads me on to what I was trying to share here. Like yesterday, I was talking about this, but like literally this month's price action has been horrible for the system that I've been trading in general. I genuinely cannot recall another month where I've been stopped out just barely before price goes straight to TP. Like, ever since last week until now, I think it's probably happened close to 10 times already for me where I stopped just shy of the TP. Like, just to give you another example of, you know, what I mean by this, uh, Bitcoin on Monday was a— sorry, on Tuesday was a very solid example of that. My initial target was setting it at the Asia high, right? It was trading the manipulation. I was setting it at the Asia high, and then if If we had volatility, I would expect price to just sweep out the previous daily high. Fortunately, it did not eventually sweep the previous daily high, stopping just shy of it and just coming all the way back down, which I've already took partial profits at the Asia high. But it doesn't change the fact that it's unfortunate that we're getting screwed over by market conditions at this point. One of the very important things that I would like for you to understand here, and the reason why it took a few minutes to just talk about these trades, is that in every single instance of these trades, I was following the system. For example, I planned the trade, and then when the plan You know, when all of the conditions were met and the plan came to fruition, I just executed the plan. So basically, I planned the trade and I traded the plan. Not only that, but in terms of the rules of my system, I followed it to a T. Here's the important thing: when you do run into any sort of like rough period— because for example, this month so far, like, I'm going to be dead honest with you guys, like, this is my first red month in the last few months, right? The last few months were pretty good. The market was pretty consistent, and obviously this strategy right here is a very consistent strategy. So now that I'm in a red month, it does not change anything about what I do. For example, I'm still coming on to, you know, all of these videos right now, just, hey guys, this is what we're executing. And for the most part, the overall direction has been right. Now, sure, I might have been getting stopped out of my entries. Nothing really changes just because you go into a drawdown period. And the reason why I'm able to be so confident in, you know, during this drawdown period and not feel the need to start looking on YouTube for a different strategy is because I understand that there are 2 types of errors that you're always going to be dealing with as a trader. The first type is a self-error. The second type is a system error. A self-error is basically, you know the rules of your system, but for one reason or another, you FOMO, you get impatient, you revenge trade, you hesitate, whatever. You missed out on the trade or you lost money on the trade because of something that you did. Basically, you didn't have an ideal result because of you, and you want to figure out exactly what led to you doing these behaviors so that you can stop them in the future. Obviously, these are self-sabotages. But then you have the second type of error, which is what I've been getting on all of these trades over the course of this entire month, which led to me being in the red, which is system errors where you execute everything according to the rules of your system. Like you follow the rules, you trade everything to an absolute T, but you just lost money because of market conditions, because of whatever reason, right? It could be whatever reason. At the end of the day, you've got to understand, like a 50% win rate system, for example, you're still losing half the time. Just because you win half the time, like people forget, that half the trades are losers. So for example, with me, I've noticed that every single losing trade that I've been getting this month, not only this month, like in general, whenever I do get into a losing trade nowadays, 90% of the time it's a system error. It's very rare for me to continue to break my own rules here. It's very rare that I get hesitant, that I FOMO or whatever. Very systematic in a way where as long as the rules of my system are not met, I don't enter a trade. As long as they are met, it doesn't matter how I feel, I'm getting into the trade. So like the last 5 minutes, I'm really just sharing it with you that If you've been having a rough time so far, especially this month, I want you to understand that you're not alone. If it helps validate your hardships that you've been going through whatsoever, I've been dealing with the same, right? The majority of my trades have been losers, even though I have been reading the direction of the market right for the most part, but I'm still losing money. So yeah, if you've been struggling this month, it's probably not your fault. The market conditions have been weird where yes, we do have volatility, but before this volatility happens, we either get stopped out breakeven or like we get liquidity swept out before price actually moves. But again, it's not going to change anything about what we do. Before we get into the, uh, trade setup of today, which I mentioned was super obvious and very straightforward, I just wanted to share that if you have been dealing with inconsistencies within your trading, one of the biggest things that I help students with is actually more so on the mental side of things. Not only will I teach you this entire full secret sauce system right here that has allowed me to get really consistent results for the last year and a half, and more actually, because I only started publicly documenting the success rate a year and a half ago. Not only that, but I work heavily on the mental models, basically how to think about the markets, how to think about trading, but more importantly How do you stay consistent? How do you minimize drawdowns and just get consistent payouts? And this is something that most of trading education on YouTube is not going to cover. I know I discuss it, you know, at length on this channel because I know that the thing that matters the least for trading success or like continued trading success is the system, right? It's not the strategy. The strategy is not the bottleneck. If you lack technical analysis with the amount of YouTube videos that you've been consuming at this point, like it's not a problem. Your problem is that when you go onto the chart, you can see the trade happen, but for one reason or another, Your heart starts beating faster, you get nervous, you get anxious, you jump into the trade, and immediately you're second-guessing yourself. These are all emotional problems. If that resonates with you, your issue has nothing to do with strategy. But if you're able to get a solid mental execution system, which again is what I specialize in, you're going to get consistent in trading just like that. So yeah, if that resonated with you, I'd like you to click the first link in the description box below and book a call. Just wanted to also let you know that 50% of the students, actually more than 50% of the students that have come through our doors, have managed to not only go full-time into trading, make a full-time living from trading, or just get funded for at least $100,000. Essentially, we have some of the best results in the industry, and there's a reason for that. We genuinely care for student results. So if you're sick and tired of just putting effort into trading and not getting anything out of it, then click the first link in the description box below. Otherwise, let's get into the trade of today. Now, starting things off on the daily chart, we are looking at a bearish daily bias. And I know that we are currently in some sort of a range at the moment where You have relatively equal highs up there. At some point, you will revisit those highs, but it does not change the fact that we are trading an intraday system right here, which means that we're looking to enter and exit a trade literally within a span of like 2 to 3 hours. A lot of the times, our TP gets hit even before 2 hours. So when it comes to the intraday basis, this is a little bit irrelevant compared to what we're trying to do today in terms of the intraday objective. Just understand that because of the daily bias being bearish, we are going to be looking for shorts today. And just coming down into the lower time frames, we can see that the order flow is super bearish. And so right now there are only 2 ways that this could potentially go. One is the fact that you have relatively equal highs up here right now. You know, there is a potential that you might get swept out before price actually heads towards the downside, but I don't think this is going to be very likely for 2 reasons. One is the fact that by the time you watch this video, especially if you get a CSD beneath this level at $84,000— or sorry, $83,900— where basically you get a confirmed One hourly candle close beneath this level is a one-hourly CSD, which now validates this entire block right here as a bearish order block, which means that by the time you retrace into here, this is going to be a level of resistance that you are not expecting price to break through. Secondly, we are coming back into this weekly level right here that we just took out, which is at specifically 32,800. Right now, price is essentially just coming back down to potentially retest this level to see if it's going to hold. And if it does, then yeah, we continue on. The bull market, you know, kind of gets revived. And if not, then guess what? We're just going to go for a full-on reversal. Either way, we've only had one impulse right now. Uh, wouldn't be surprised if we had a second impulse going towards the downside. And today's objective in terms of the intraday perspective is to simply take advantage of this second impulse down to this level right here. But the second reason why I believe that price is not going to actually come all the way back up to this liquidity level over here has to do with the behavior of the London session so far. So let's explain what I mean. Asia session is usually the session of accumulation. London is usually the session of manipulation and New York tends to be distribution. Now it's not every day that we will, you know, get a profile that fits AMD, but because sometimes we do in fact get ABC, for example, where euro is a perfect example of that, where you have Asia, that's your accumulation. But right now London, even though it went above the Asia high, it doesn't mean it's just manipulation, right? Sometimes it could be an ABC where price just continues to break out and then you, you continue. This is an example of an ABC right now. But in terms of Bitcoin, You are clearly looking at some sort of an AMD. Now, what are the signs that makes this manipulation? Well, first things first, it has to do with your daily bias. Are we in line with the daily bias? Yes. So it's a false move towards the upside, tricking everyone into thinking that the market is going to go towards the upside, trick everyone into thinking that resistance is broken, whatever. Then you just reverse price right away after manipulating a lot of people out. Or secondly, it's stopping anybody out that might have had their stop loss above this level. Then you drive the prices lower. And this again is in line with the overall daily bias. Secondly, the hourly order flow, as we've already established is incredibly bearish. And now on the 5-minute, you have also just gotten a confirmed CSD, um, literally 10 minutes ago. Overall, even the 5-minute order flow is agreeing with the 1-hourly order flow, agreeing with the AMD setup, which means that the game plan for New York today is super simple. You're just going to look for a reversal— sorry, a retracement back into some sort of a key level, which I've already marked out for you, which is this 1-hourly order block. Again, this is not confirmed yet. It's going to need another like 13 minutes until this gets confirmed. But as long as you watch this video and you have gotten And you have managed to get a 1-hourly candle close beneath 83,900, that's going to be all good. That's going to be all you need in order to jump into a trade at some point during the New York session, which by the way, I don't think there's any sort of news today. Yep, absolutely no news, which means that, yeah, you're just going to be executing between the hours of 7 AM to 10 AM. Now, if I had to give— if I have to give you a tip for approaching today, it's that try to keep your trading after 8:30 AM because that will tend to be the higher probability timing, right? Even better if you can wait till 9:30 AM or so, because yesterday was the day where we Almost got swept out. Like, if I were to have just let my trade play out without moving the stop to breakeven, like, I would have been fine. But still, I've seen this happen enough times over the last couple of weeks to the point where, yeah, you know what, I'd rather just not lose money on this trade. Which, by the way, just to discuss that trade, this was when I called it and also the point where, like, check it out right here. I moved the initial stop, like, sorry, on the initial entry, moved the stop to breakeven almost up to R. So no reason to lose money in the event that trade comes back to entry. This was at 9:18 PM, which was like, yeah, about 12 minutes. Like, it was at this point basically, like I was already there. And yeah, 12 minutes later, ended up getting stopped out. Almost actually, I was almost happy that I moved my stop loss to break even until 10 AM. You get that final move down there and off you go straight to the TP. And yeah, the amount of times that I've seen this happen over the last week and a half or so has been ridiculous. It is what it is though. We're still just going to be executing the system because there is nothing wrong with the system. It's just you got to remember, The market ebbs and flows, right? There are going to be times when it's going to be a little bit more manipulative, such as what we've been seeing over the last week and a half, where a lot of our entries have just been getting wicked out slightly before running straight to TP, right? That's a very clear sign of manipulation right there. And then there are months where things are happening like super cleanly and all of our entries just run straight to TP, like, and we usually go on like winning streaks of like 10 to 15. So there are times like that. So it ebbs and flows. There's highs and lows. As much as we would like trading to just be like a consistent linear line, That's just not the reality of the financial markets. You are definitely going to get drawdown periods. You're going to get periods of boom and bust, and it's just how it is. The important thing again, like if you happen to skip like the starting parts of this video, like please don't. Go back and watch it because that's where I get into a lot of like just the mental side of things when it comes to dealing with drawdown. But yeah, just like what I mentioned earlier, nothing's broken with the system. You just continue executing. The only thing actually that I will add to that, and the only thing that I potentially missed out on just now, is that assuming you have a system that is profitable, which this system is incredibly profitable, then Wouldn't it make sense that if you run into a drawdown period, if you stop executing this very profitable system that you have, you'll only guarantee that you're gonna be in a drawdown for even longer, slash you'll never get out of the drawdown because you're abandoning the profitable system in return for something else that hasn't been proven yet. So when you're in a drawdown period, as long as you can prove that your system is profitable, you just stick to that. The more you execute it consistently the way it's meant to be is going to maximize your chances of getting out of that drawdown period and just going back to break even, potentially into profit. Which is why, like, for me, I never really fret about new drawdown periods because I understand, like, this system works like a charm. Like, it's mechanical, it's systematic, and it's super consistent. All I have to do is to just keep executing this, wait for better market conditions, and off I go. Speaking of which, like, that is a pretty aggressive move over the last 5 minutes on Bitcoin, which is interesting. Potentially, I may have to start getting into this trade even before New York session. But hey, I'm going to stick to my rules. It's currently like 4:50 AM, which means the London kill zone is about to end. Which is usually not the time that I look to take trades in anyways. I would just try to execute during the New York session instead. And by the way, just because like $82,800 is like a target that I drew out, like this is literally just in the middle of nowhere, by the way. Like this is not a liquidity level whatsoever. It's like we could just make an argument that price could come back to retest before potentially moving higher. But if we're strictly looking at liquidity levels, it doesn't start until like $82,000. So Don't think that you've missed the trade just because this has gotten hit. I do think that as long as volatility remains in the market today, it's a pretty high likelihood that we're going to reach towards $82,000. The only caveat, or rather the only dangerous thing that I would kind of watch out for, is if you get this target hit higher to the New York session, you obviously have a couple of relatively equal highs over there. So then the move for the New York session could come back to take out these highs. Because one thing you need to understand about AMD is that it doesn't need to happen session by session. Sometimes London could be The manipulation and the distribution all within the same session. So once you manipulate, right, the distribution is usually distributing to some sort of key level, which again I've marked down. Like I would think it's $82,000. Just in case the market thinks that it is 82,800 and you hit this, then okay, distribution complete. So what comes after accumulation, manipulation, distribution? That's right, you have reversal. Or as you know, by technical definition, it's called X. Which can stand for continuation or reversal. Now, the thing that makes X harder to trade is because you never know if it's going to be continuation or reversal. Still, either way, if this is the full cycle right here, then just be careful. As long as you get into the New York session, if price just like shows really bullish price action New York session, then there's a pretty decent chance that you're looking at a reversal. And if that is the case, you immediately draw your eyes towards the liquidity target that could potentially get hit, which in this case is going to be the relatively equal highs over here at $84,600. Again, if you enjoy these YouTube videos, I just wanted to let you know that this is only about like 20 to 25% of the sauce that you could otherwise be getting. If you've been getting results just with the limited information that you've already been getting on these YouTube videos, you are going to do way better if you actually have access to the full system, which feel free to book a call down below. 50%, actually 55% to be exact, of the students who work with us end up getting to their desired result, which is either making a full-time living from trading or just getting funded for at least $100,000. We track this. This is the best results in the industry. If you want to be the next success story, click the link below. Otherwise, I'll see you guys tomorrow or on X later if I do get into any trades. Ciao, ciao.