In this YouTube video Roman Ceccardi announces a live trading floor event scheduled for April 1‑2, where he will trade Bitcoin and forex in real time. He explains that over 2,000 people have signed up and shares survey results showing 40‑45% of participants overtrade, which the upcoming presentation will address. Ceccardi then provides a detailed Bitcoin technical analysis: a bullish daily bias contrasted with short‑term bearish order flow, a potential CSD (cumulative swing deviation) below $66,500, fair‑value gaps, a heads‑and‑shoulders pattern, and key kill zones (New York morning, London open, Asia, London close). He highlights the importance of trading within news windows (the hour before and after major news) and notes that today’s news window at 10 AM could trigger a retrace into the fair‑value gap. He suggests a likely downside move toward $65,000‑$66,000 before the news. Briefly, he mirrors the analysis for Ethereum, notes Solana’s weakness, and pivots to a forex opportunity driven by USD/CAD news, recommending viewers acquire a $50 k funded account from Apex (90 % off, $25) to trade forex during the event. Throughout, he emphasizes execution challenges, the value of the live event, and urges viewers to join early.
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What's good guys. Welcome back to another video. Before I get into it, very important announcement. The live trading floor is gonna be starting tomorrow. In 2 days, I'm gonna hope to pass the funding challenge, hopefully alongside you guys. And essentially, if you've ever wanted to see me execute this system in real time, like throughout many, many hours, like April 1st, April 2nd are gonna be the days. If you haven't signed up already and if you would like the invite link so you know where it's gonna be held, make sure you click the first link in the description box below. But otherwise, let's get into the Bitcoin video for today. In fact, let's start off with yesterday actually, because ultimately the scenario that we kind of drew out ended up playing out. Unfortunately, instead of this being the 3 drives pattern that we were looking for, we ended up getting 5 drives, which is pretty rare. I'm going to say that right now, like 5 is pretty rare. Secondly, we ultimately got that CSD towards this, like below this 1-hourly, you know, kind of line. But unfortunately it happened at 1 PM New York time, which is not part of our trading window. And so yesterday just ended up being a no trade, even though, you know, we had the idea. By the time it played out, it was already outside of timings, which if you guys have followed my channel for any period of time, one of the things that I like to say often is that just because the market is open 24/7 doesn't mean that you should be taking trades 24/7. In fact, most of the good news throughout the day tend to be focused in on just like a few kind of like key zones. That's going to be the New York morning. It's going to be the London open kill zone. It's going to be the Asia kill zone and potentially even the London close kind of like New York futures open if you want to consider that as a kill zone. And You know, the beautiful thing about the live trading floor is that you're going to have, like, you're going to be able to see my exact thought processes when, you know, something like this is happening, where the market, like, where we have a clear idea about what the market's supposed to do, but then there are not enough conditions to confirm a potential trade. And so we just end up doing nothing. And in fact, fun fact, so far about 2,000 of you have signed up to the live event itself. And we ask you to basically fill in the survey of, you know, what problems that you're dealing with, or like, what are the biggest problems kind of like holding you back from You know, achieving trading success. And about 40 to 45% of you have stated that you overtrade a lot even when there's nothing there. One of the— then that's exactly what I'm going to help you kind of like solve tomorrow in the event. And do— and by the way, thank you so much for taking the time to fill in the survey because if you did not fill that in, I would not have known what you were struggling with. And the presentation tomorrow compared to what it is currently would have been like a lot more general. So shout out to you guys who took the time to fill in the survey. Just understand that you've helped me help you better. But anyways, in terms of Bitcoin today, We're looking at a bearish, sorry, a bullish daily bias, although that can be a little bit misleading because like so far you are still kind of trading back into this bearish fair value gap over here. But for now, like let's go into the 1-hour chart to see if there is a potentially clearer picture here. What I can see right off the get-go is that currently you are looking to make a CSD below 66,500. Now, if you do make that CSD below that level, then it's not like you're just going to go dump straight away. I do see the world where, you know, potentially you have this One hourly fair value gap so that you can come and form a lower high before you dump. In this case, that would kind of complete the you know kind of heads and shoulders pattern that we have been eyeing since yesterday. And if that happens, then great. You know we're going to have a potential short on our hands. But at the same time, because the daily mass is bullish and you have a couple of relatively equal lows here, there's a potential where by the time you sweep out you know these lows, price might start pumping towards this level right here that we already drew out. But again, this wouldn't—it's not me saying like okay once the lows have been swept out, we're just going to go for a full on you know long towards you know sixty eight thousand. I'm not. I'm saying that because so far the order flow seems pretty bearish. What I'm saying is that, you know, potentially the trade for today might just be a trade back into that fair value gap. A small trade, I know. Or the better one is to just ignore the kill zones, right? And just go directly for that downside move. So far I'm giving a little bit more weight to the downside move. But let's take a look at news to kind of like confirm our theory. So, so far we have news on every single trading day of the week, which is going to be fantastic because every day is basically going to be a high-quality trading day. Today it's going to be at 10 AM. So I think this sets us up for a potential, you know, retrace by the time you get the CICD below Level, and by the time you kind of retrace all the way back into that fair value gap, I think it would be fair to say that it would be close to that news window. Which, by the way, if you don't know what the news window is, it's the hour before news to the hour after news. So that's where we would ideally like to focus our trading at. Now, as usual, I'll be making any updates on Twitter if I do get into any trades. But to be honest, like the last few days, I've just been so busy with you know kind of prepping for the event tomorrow. The presentation is going to be absolutely insane. Like, I've just basically tailored something that I think most of you—in fact, I have the exact numbers—70% of you are facing some sort of executional problem, and that's what the presentation. Tomorrow is going to be very focused on. So if possible, if you guys have signed up for the live event, try to show up in the first hour of the live event. Otherwise, you're going to miss the entire presentation. And like, you're just going to be starting on the back foot if you join late, because like day 2 is just going to be very, you know, live trading focused. Yeah, try not to miss it if possible. But otherwise, going down into the 5-minute chart, just see if I can find some other confluences. So far, it's, yeah, you know, it's looking pretty bearish. So I'm gonna, you know, go on a whim and say that we should ignore the daily bias today. And we should just wait for a breakdown and then price to continue down towards the downside. Now, if there are any Updates to that thesis, I will of course update you on Twitter. But so far, it seems like you're going to be going for that $65,000 target at the very least before the news. Like before the news even happens, it's very high likelihood that you will already hit $66,000. But like for now, the daily kind of like move seems to be going towards the downside at the moment. Now in terms of Ethereum, it's basically going to be the exact same setup. You're coming back into the fair value gap, and in terms of the monthly hourly, you don't really have SMT. So So far, I think we're going to be focusing on Ethereum. And yeah, Solana is looking quite considerably weaker actually. There is potential in taking advantage more of Solana just because of how much more relatively weak it is looking compared to Bitcoin. But to be honest, because we have USD/CAD news today, like the trade setup, the better trade setup actually could even be in forex because right now you've got a very clear PD array on hourly. You have a very clear daily bias and you have news on Canadian later at 8:30 AM. You've got a couple of relatively big volos here. Sweep this out, campaign. Like, guys, what did I tell you? Take advantage of forex. Which, speaking about forex, guys, if you want to make the most out of the live event, since it's going to be a live trading event, I'm not just going to be trading Bitcoin, right? I'm also going to be trading forex. So right now, Apex today just started a 90% off. So basically for $25, you can pick up a $50,000 account. If you haven't already had access to forex, I highly recommend you pick an account up for $25, get a $50K account. Connect it to your TradingView. It's super simple. It's not a lot of money. And show up to the event tomorrow with a Forex account at the very least so that you can take advantage of all of the Forex trades that I'm gonna call. In fact, if you've been putting off getting into Forex or just putting off getting a funding challenge for a long time because it just seems really foreign to you and like, oh yeah, you know, I've never done this before. I don't know what all this terminology means. Guess what? Tomorrow is the perfect opportunity for you to just pull the trigger because you'll have someone there to kind of like explain things to you as we go. Otherwise, I'll see you guys tomorrow. Super excited. Yeah, gonna be exhausting, but super excited anyways. Cheers.
