Bitcoin: More Downside Incoming?

The video opens with the creator arriving in Taiwan, showcasing a new full‑frame Sony A7V camera, a hot‑spring house, and a tripod setup, while noting personal fatigue and plans to explore the city later. The core of the content shifts to a concise technical market analysis for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. The presenter establishes a bearish daily bias for Bitcoin, identifying key price structures such as PD arrays, bearish order blocks, and fair‑value gaps on daily, hourly, and 5‑minute charts. He recommends targeting recent equal lows and specific fair‑value gaps, emphasizing trading during the New York "kill zone" (7 AM‑10 AM). Similar bearish setups are outlined for Ethereum, noting its proximity to equal lows and comparable order‑block targets, and for Solana, which, despite a bullish daily fair‑value gap, is still traded with a bearish bias. The host advises conservative position sizing (half‑risk) when news is absent, highlights that upcoming news later in the week will increase trade probability, and invites viewers to follow his live trade updates on X (Twitter). The video concludes with a brief personal sign‑off and plans to explore the local area.
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What's up guys, made it to Taiwan. Um, plane landed early actually. Also, this is not exactly the best vlogging camera that I've got. Just checked in, but you know how dedicated I am to you guys. So yeah, just been setting up the workstation. And guys, look at this, insane! Like right by the ocean, you've got mountains. The house comes with a— looks exciting. Most exciting part for me is like The house comes with a hot tub that has hot spring water. You bet I'm gonna be— it's a little bit dark right now, but that's hot spring water, which is pretty insane. Uh, but yeah, anyways, without further ado, let's get into the, um, video because, because I do need to go get dinner at some point. I haven't ate anything the whole day. But yeah, actually, let's, um, let's get into the video. And guys, this is your first look at a new camera. If you guys remember, you know, the last time I had a motorbike accident This is the state of the previous camera at the moment. Not exactly what you would call ideal. So this is my first ever full-frame camera that I bought, this new Sony A7V, and this is your first look at the new camera. But anyways, let me set up the camera and let's get to it. I do, I do want to go for dinner sometime soon. Haven't ate anything today. Let's see if I can figure out how to connect this. So I picked up a new tripod which I'm figuring out how to use right now. And voilà, I think we have it. Imagine if this falls. It's going to be a funny way to see this new camera go. Anyways, I think this is about right. All right, yeah, looks very good, if I, uh, I will say so myself. All right, let's take a look at Bitcoin. So I'm going to kick doom. I'm going to keep things brief, um, primarily because we don't really have news today. But it doesn't mean that we're not going to get a trade. It's just, you know, we want to play a little bit more safe. So Kicking things off with the daily bias, we have a bearish daily bias, as you can see from there, which means that we are looking for a short. Now, as for the targets for the short today, I reckon these couple of relatively equal lows that have been left behind since a couple of weeks ago might be a good target to hit for Bitcoin today. Coming down into the 1-hourly chart, the PD arrays in this case are quite clear. You of course have a big block of kind of resistance over here on the 1-hourly in terms of, you know, just bearish order blocks. But whether or not Like, it's— if you ask me, it's quite unlikely that price is going to retrace all the way back there before dropping today. So I'm going to give you guys a little bit more of a realistic type of target, which in this case is going to be this fair value gap, and as well as this one. And yes, I understand that this fair value gap here is not particularly far away from where current price is either. So essentially, the setup is, as you retrace into the PD array, you would look for price to drop during the New York session between 7:00 AM to 10:00 AM. Now, there is also another potential where you will retrace where you will just start dumping from this point onwards. By the time you watch this video, if things are just, you know, going straight down, then you know for a fact that most likely— more likely than not, this is going to be a momentum trade, which means that by the time you look at the chart, just wait for price to retrace into this newly formed order block and you can trade it lower. As for the ideal trading times for today, it's nothing really special because you don't have news today, which means that you're just going to be looking at the New York kill zone in general. So that's between 7 AM to 10 AM. And outside of that, let's take a look at, you know, the price action on the 5-minute. You can see so far London has given you a very strong breakout towards the downside. And so far the majority of London has been trading below the Asia lows. This leads me to believe that potentially we are looking at some sort of accumulation breakout continuation type of play. So that continuation could again either come once you go through that 5-minute gap, or it could also come once you just break down on that newly formed 1-hourly order block. And both are going to be valid. I may or may not be able to, you know, come online and just kind of like live trade with you guys. But if I do happen to take any live trades, feel free to follow me on X. That's where I'm going to be posting everything. But otherwise, just taking a look at ETH real quick just to compare it to Bitcoin. You can already see that ETH is much closer compared to Bitcoin to those relatively equal lows. Same chart, but ETH is looking relatively weaker compared to Bitcoin. And yeah, you can see over here, ETH is just straight up breaking down. So The setup for ETH is going to be pretty straightforward as well. Over here you have a fair value gap, and so far this is already a newly formed order block. So in the event that you retrace into either one of these levels, I would assume the order block at the hours of 7 AM to 10 AM New York, that is going to be the setup that you take. Now in terms of the 5-minute chart, I reckon it's going to be very similar to Bitcoin as well, and yes it is. So nothing too much to talk about there in terms of Ethereum. Next up we have Solana. Solana is looking quite a bit stronger compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, you're still dealing with a bearish daily bias even though you are coming into this bullish fair value gap on the daily chart. Again, we trade the daily bias. A market that is going down or up in this case, um, can go a lot further down or up before, you know, it changes. And so ultimately we follow whatever the market is trying to tell us. In this case, the market is clearly showing us signs that it's wanting to go down. So in this case, we'll just focus towards the downside. And in terms of the downside, you have this fair value gap over here, you have another fair value gap over there. Basically 7 AM to 10 AM is very straightforward. It's Like across the board right now, it's just if you get momentum trading opportunities to just go trade with the trend, with the momentum, that's what you focus on. And if there happens to be any trade ideas that I'm, you know, going to take myself, I will post it on Twitter. So feel free to follow me there. But otherwise, I don't think there's too much else to talk about other than the fact that Wednesday, Thursday, Friday is going to be the main trading days for the week, considering you have news, quite a bit of news actually. And so tomorrow, is when we're starting— well, tomorrow is when we're going to start to be a lot more active in terms of the trading side of things. As you guys know, this system performs exceptionally well when there is news and when the trend is clear, and not so much when you don't have news and the market may be chopping around. Now today, it is not chopping around, but you don't have news. That will reduce the probability by a bit. So in the event that you do take a trade, just feel free to go half risk, and that is going to be a pretty good idea. By the way, guys, I'm gonna go explore the city. Well, city. I'm gonna go explore the village for a bit. Hopefully grab some dinner, and I'll see you guys later or tomorrow. Ciao ciao.










