In this solo YouTube market‑analysis, the presenter reviews Bitcoin’s recent price action and outlines a day‑trade setup centered on news‑driven manipulation moves. He explains how a USD news release at 9:45 am and the upcoming Federal Reserve Chair testimony around 10 am create predictable liquidity sweeps that can be exploited. Using concepts such as fair‑value gaps, liquidity sweeps, and order blocks, he identifies a high‑probability long entry on the 5‑minute chart with a 2R‑3R risk‑reward target, while warning of potential false moves if certain candle closures occur. The video also emphasizes a conservative mindset of extracting small, consistent gains (2‑3% per trade) rather than chasing large, risky moves, and promotes a one‑on‑one bootcamp aimed at getting traders funded for $100 k. Throughout, he maintains a bullish bias for Bitcoin across hourly and daily timeframes, despite broader macro uncertainty, and encourages viewers to subscribe for his “smart‑money” analysis with an 80 % win‑rate claim.
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What's up guys, welcome back to another video. Yesterday we absolutely nailed it, like the video itself. I mentioned that price would head towards the downside, but at 9:45, do not be surprised if you get an impulse move up before price heads down. And then boom, yesterday check out what happens. You get an initial move heading lower, then ultimately you get that manipulation move up before boom, price heads straight down, taking out the Asia lows, which was my original target. And then the rest of the day is the rest of the day. That is not what these videos are About. Also, I have read the comments from all of you guys from yesterday's video, and seems like all of you want to consider that as a win. So that puts us at 73 out of 87 of all public analyses I've done since February. And in this video, it's time to repeat the same thing and hopefully give you guys the setup for today. So yesterday I did mention that in order for you know price to be bullish, this would need to happen. Basically, you needed a candle close above that one hourly chart right there, and you ultimately got it. And so today the setup is pretty simple, like. Right now you have also filled in this February gap. I made this video a little bit late today, but the February gap has already been filled and price is starting to show some kind of willingness to head towards the upside. Taking a look at the daily chart, this is a big bullish candle, and so we are looking for longs until proven otherwise. Although the weekly chart, we are still bearish, and this could be a false move up before, you know, a dump later on during the week. Now one of the reasons why I was able to basically predict the time when that false manipulation move would happen down to like, like a 15-minute accuracy basically started at 9:30, ended at 10 AM, and then boom, right? That was when the manipulation move happened. The main reason for that is because we had news yesterday. If you take a look at 9:45 right here, that is USD news. That's why news is so important and one of the reasons why I love trading on news days. Now, one thing you need to understand about news, or rather trading— thing you need to understand about trading in general is that at every given time, you're always trying to figure out 3 different variables. Now, the first variable is direction. Are you going up? Are you going down? Right? Once you figure that out, is number two: How far up or how low is it gonna go? And then third is timing. Like basically, when is it gonna happen? Or like how long is the move going to last? The beautiful thing about news days is that it basically kind of removes one of the variables for you in the sense that you know for a fact that at nine forty-five something's gonna happen. Your remaining job is simply to figure out what's going to happen. And today we have news once more at ten a.m., which is. The federal chair Jerome Powell is going to be testifying, and so if you're looking for a move today, expect something to happen at 9:45. Sorry, at around 10 a.m., and I would expect that move to happen sometime during 9:30. So I'm going to give you guys the setup today once we go into. Well, right now we're on the lower time frames. So this low here is technically a strong low because you have swept liquidity. Now you have also swept out the Asia lows, and so this gives us a reason to be like, okay, this is probably the low of today, and price is going to head. Higher. And so what do we look for in particular? Well, the initial entry would have been right here, right, right after you filled in that fair value gap. You would have gotten the CSD, and right now price is actually still heading back into this CSD on the 5-minute, which means an entry right here, stop underneath the strong low, and targeting 2R would be a very valid setup. Although by the time you guys see this video, this, this entry is definitely going to be lost already. And so this is the initial kind of position. But even if you missed this one, no problem, because later on you have news. And one of the reasons I'm able to predict that these types of manipulation moves happen is using news. There tends to be a lot of manipulation that happens around those timings. And so I wouldn't be surprised if this low actually gets taken out once more during 9:30, 10 AM. It would still be within the fair value gap right there, and then price is probably going to head higher from that point onwards. And in this case, I'm going to set my target at the current daily high, not trying to expect too much out of it. Now you can definitely aim more. But again, I'm sharing with you my perspective from my system, which involves just catching a high probability move during the day. I'm not trying to necessarily catch the largest move of the day, which is why I'm also okay like not being able to call this one right here. Truth be told, I live in Asia and it is really tough for me to catch any trades during the New York afternoon session because it's quite literally midnight. And so I focus on this one right here. I focus on extracting 2R, 3R out of the market every single day. And to those of you who believe that Doing it this way doesn't, you know, make you great money. Like, oh, you have to make, you know, 10% a day or whatever. Or like big move, like you need to invest in meme coins or altcoins to get like 200% or whatever. The people that tell you that is the only way to make money, they are definitely like tripping. Now I want you to picture yourself having access to, let's say, $200,000 in capital. Now would your goal be to, you know, put a lot of that $200,000 at risk in order to make, you know, an extra $200,000? Or The other approach would be, okay, you can consistently take high probability trades that give you 2% every time, you know, you win. And if you can repeat that just 5 times throughout the month, that's 10%. That's a really great return. You're making $20,000. That's the mindset that I'm coming from. And that's why also in bootcamp, the result that I'm trying to help you achieve is to get funded for at least $100,000. Most of you are interested in trading. Most of you see yourselves being full-time traders. Unfortunately, most of you may not have the capital needed in order to make a meaningful income out of it without Going like gambling all of your money in meme coins basically. And so if you're interested in joining the next intake of bootcamp, where I take you one-on-one from where you are right now to funded for $100,000 within the next 90 days, then feel free to click the first link in the description box below and sign up to join the next intake. Due to the one-on-one nature of this, we only take on about 4 people every intake. Used to be 3, but you know, we have some systems in place now to be able to handle more. If you're interested, check it out. Otherwise, let's get back into the video. So just to go back to what I was speaking about before, I fully expect like the daily bias today to be towards the upside. Everything from the 1-hourly to the daily and even on the 5-minute seems to be pointing towards the upside. And the only thing you need to watch out for is one, another false liquidity sweep either to this fair value gap, or I wouldn't actually be looking for this fair value gap, especially like you don't want to see like a 1-hourly candle closure underneath that fair value gap. Otherwise, that signals kind of like weakness, and you're going to flip that potential support into resistance to head to the lower one. Ideally, that doesn't happen in order for this long scenario to be, well, valid. Now, the second scenario that could happen is that price just straight up pumps from this point onwards without retracing back into here. Now, the moment price closes above this blue box right here, basically when you get a 1-hourly candle close above 105,600, you will officially validate this as a potential order block for price to return back to, to find support here. Before pumping. And so that could be your setup number 2, although just be aware, if this happens sometime during 9:30 AM, then don't be surprised when this happens instead. Okay, overall, like, it's looking good for Bitcoin. Ultimately, you know, as Bitcoin maxis, as people, you know, inside crypto, we are all holding bags. We would like to see Bitcoin go up. This is just a second fill of, you know, the fair value gap on the weekly chart. Overall, like, everything is still pointing towards the upside regardless of what is happening in the world right now, regardless of what the president may be Or from his actions, just keep in mind that this these are bullish times. There is no reason to be panicking at the moment because well things look good. But anyways guys, I'll see you guys in the next one. Subscribe if you want to stay updated with this 80% win rate analysis. But anyways, subscribe if you enjoy these analyses done from the smart money perspective on crypto. But otherwise, I'll see you guys in the next one. Bye bye.
