Bitcoin: The Bottom Of The Week Is In.

In this solo market‑commentary video, the presenter walks viewers through his trading framework for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana on a mixed news‑day environment. He begins by explaining why a trade from the previous day was a "no‑trade" – the lack of an undeniable Change of State Delivery (CSD) on a non‑news day and the need for extra confirmation or reduced risk. He then outlines his weekly‑level bullish bias for Bitcoin, anchored in a weekly fair‑value gap (FVG) and the expectation of a true expansion on Wednesday. The analysis proceeds through daily, hourly and 5‑minute timeframes, illustrating how the "Power of 3" (daily bias, hourly order block/FVG, and 5‑minute CSD) creates high‑probability entry zones. He emphasizes the optimal 9‑11 AM window on news days, advising traders to wait for a 5‑minute CSD before committing. The same structural setup is replicated for Ethereum and Solana, noting asset‑specific nuances. Throughout, he stresses risk management via order‑block stops and the statistical risk‑reward of entering near the FVG. The video also contains promotional segments for his paid Bootcamp (discounted) and Blueprint program, directing viewers to Twitter for live trade updates.
Chapters
What's up guys, welcome back to the video. So on Monday I said 2 things about the markets, and both of those have happened at exactly the day that I was— I said it was going to happen. Going to break that down in a bit. Secondly, the trade yesterday ended up being a no trade because if you guys follow me on Twitter, you will notice that one of the things that I was looking for was undeniable CSD, and I even marked it out, right? This candle ultimately did not close below that level, and so that was not undeniable. And the reason why this was a no trade is because of exactly what I talked about yesterday, about when you're trading on a non-news day, you have to adapt to that type of low probability condition by either looking for more confirmation or by going half risk if you do take the trade. Now, the only thing that I would like you to keep in mind is that there is no news today. Just understand that even if everything checks out, just because we have no news, the kind of like overall probability of today is going to be a little bit lower. Ideally, if you can avoid trading today, it would even be better. But just so far, take a look, You have Japanese yen, euro, New Zealand dollar, but not USD. But tomorrow we're going to get USD news. So same concepts applied on the news days is going to have a much higher success rate. So the way this applies to the chart is instead of an early CSD that you can get away with on a news day, you want to at least ensure that you have undeniable CSD if you're trading on a non-news day. And for that reason, even if you just look at the chart on the 5-minute, there was absolutely zero CSD Even though you filled in the fair value gap, right? After you got into the 1-hourly fair value gap, you're not allowed to just place a limit at the fair value gap and call it a day. It's like once you enter the fair value gap, you still need to wait for the 5-minute CSD to happen before you jump into a short. And so yesterday it was just fully bullish, and so yesterday simply ended up being a no trade. And I hope it was the same for you guys as well. If you guys ended up taking the early CSD and you got burned, well, this is how you can adapt to those conditions the next time. Now that that's out of the way, let's talk about like the intraday move for today. Also, I'm gonna give an update on the swing trade on Bitcoin that I called on Monday. Fun fact, earlier on we had a full-on masterclass within Bootcamp just teaching someone like how CISD works and the full mechanism of it. If you'd like to learn my full system and go from where you are right now to profitable within the next 90 days, I'm running an insane offer right now where you're gonna be able to get basically Bootcamp for like 1/10 of the price. If you're interested, and this offer is not gonna last forever, it's gonna close in the next 12 days. If you're interested, click the link below, check it out. But otherwise, let's get into the video. So let me just remove everything on the charts and take a look at the weekly chart. Now, early on in the week, I said that Monday and Tuesday were likely going to go down, and that is going to be a false move where we are going to get some sort of true expansion come Wednesday towards the upside. Why the upside? Because last week's weekly candle closed bullish, which means this week we are going to look for a bullish trade. And when we are looking for a bullish week, Any amount of price action that dips underneath the weekly open is going to give you an opportunity to basically buy low and then sell high once you get that true expansion. So far on Wednesday, that is exactly what's happening. Monday, you were going down. Tuesday, halfway through the day, you started going up. And boom, right now we're on Wednesday and we have had all of the changes since delivery. Right now we're looking fully bullish, which means one thing: the Power of 3 has worked out once again. This was the exact same concept that I used to call the top and basically every other top over the last, you know, However many months that I've been making these daily videos. Now, if you guys also remember what I told you guys on Monday, which is that even though we are not looking bullish yet, based on statistical probability, we are currently inside a weekly bullish fair value gap and price does not seem to be breaking below it. So I did mention that if you want to take a swing trade, this would be a good place to do it where the risk to reward would make sense. If you guys remember my videos from like a couple of months ago, or actually like 3 months ago, I was talking about like, okay, if we get into this fair value gap, then we could potentially look for price to hold at this fair value gap and that will be like the new bottom. Now, so far, this is still just an opinion from our side. So until the market actually gives you confirmation, you are not good to go yet. But if you understand what you're doing on a risk management perspective, and if you are diligent with your stop loss, just putting a stop under here, this is actually statistically speaking not a bad place to get into a swing trade because the risk reward is going to be in your favor. And well, if you catch the bottom here, then the next time like Bitcoin makes a run to like $150,000 or whatever, you're going to be able to take advantage of that and If you did, congratulations, because you would be up like $5,000 on Bitcoin basically overnight or within the last 2 days. Now, is this going to hold? I don't know. But in terms of the lower timeframe, it is looking pretty good. So speaking about the lower timeframe, it's time to get into the lower timeframe. So starting things off on the daily chart, we currently have an insanely bullish candle close, which means that if today's candle closes above $91,260, this is going to make this into a new bullish order block. What that's going to do is when price returns back into this area and potentially even leaves behind this fair value gap right here, then we are going to look for a long at either one of these 2 levels. But so far, even if we're just talking about today, it's already enough for us to jump into a bullish trade. This is going to be more for tomorrow, where in the event that, for example, today's candle closes bullish, well, weekly— the daily open is going to start here. You're going to look for a retracement down underneath the daily open to fill in some sort of daily, you know, PD array. before you get a true expansion towards the upside, and that is going to be based on the daily candle. This, by the way, is known as a Power of 3. And to those of you that are confused about Power of 3, hopefully this clears it up. So, so far we have a bullish daily bias. On the 1-hour chart, it's looking amazing because, well, bang, right? You got an undeniable CSD right there. And so, so far today, we're just going to be straight up looking for bullish trades. Now, for those of you who are following my Twitter, I've already posted about this like a couple of hours ago. So if you want to just get access to like my live trades, by the way, which I share every entry and I share all of my thoughts on Twitter for free, not behind some signals group, feel free to just follow me there. But otherwise, this is the first order block that we're going to be looking for. Secondly, we have this fair value gap right here. And before you ask me which of these levels are going to be the one that is going to be the bottom, the truth is I don't know. And it's not my job as a trader to figure this out either. Trading is not about predicting which level is going to be like the bottom. Trading is about marking out The high probability levels. And when price gets into there, you have a clear game plan on what to do to take advantage of the trade. And that is trading. So it's more about a game of reading and reacting rather than predicting. So all of these levels are valid. What's important though is timing, because today is a news day. And if you take a look at the news today, we have news at 10 AM. So the ideal trading window for today is going to be between 9 AM to 11 AM. Why do I say that? Because on news days, the ideal trading window is going to be 1 hour before news to an hour after news. So ideally, the entry will even come between 9 AM to 10 AM. So that's what you're going to want to look for. You're going to want to look for price to enter into either one of these key levels. And in between the hours of 9 AM to 10 AM, you're going to want to look for a 5-minute change in state of delivery to the upside. If you— if that happens, then you know that is when you will dive fully into the trade. But otherwise, all of these are valid key levels. Okay. And CSD has already happened. So right now, we're just really just waiting for price to get into either one of these levels and go up. Now, one of the other scenarios that might happen, because right now we're already in some sort of bullish order block. we are fast approaching another 1-hourly fair value gap. What may happen is that we could just, you know, start trading towards the upside right now. And depending on what time you watch this video, if you are trading above this level— or actually, let me go down into the 5-minute chart to further refine this. So if you are trading above, let's say, $93,400, which is going to be an undeniable 5-minute change in state delivery, then you're simply just going to continue to momentum trade this higher, which means as you get newly formed bullish order blocks and bullish fair value gaps, you're just going to trade this higher. And most importantly, Patience is going to be key today. Like, because there is a news day, you know that most of the volatility is going to be concentrated within the hour before news to the hour after news. So ideally, you're not jumping into a trade too early during the New York morning today and waiting for the news. But just understand that today is more of an A+ day, and the setup is going to be super clean. And now that that's out of the way, let's take a real quick look at Ethereum. Ethereum, you also have the exact same setup on Bitcoin where, well, you're just basically going to draw the same You're basically just going to draw this chart the same way. On the daily chart, this is where you're going to look for price to retrace into. On the hourly chart, this is going to be the bullish order block that you're going to want to watch for. And in the event that you retrace back into it, it's going to be a high probability level. Besides that, you also have a fair value gap right now that price is currently inside. So if price just starts pumping from this point onwards, and by the time you watch this video, price has already pumped, feel free to just momentum trade this to the upside. If not, wait for the retracement into here. Same time, Like between the hours of 9 to 10 AM, that is probably when you're going to get the entry. And in terms of the lower timeframe, not too much to talk about right now though. The fact that you've swept below all of these relatively equal lows, plus fill in the PD array, may lead me to believe that you may start having something like this happen. If it happens, then yeah, feel free to get into it. And next up, let's move into Solana. Now Solana is in a bit of a weird spot right now because even though you have a bullish daily bias, you haven't quite hit this level. So comparatively speaking, compared to Ethereum and Bitcoin, you are looking slightly weaker on Solana. Doesn't mean that you cannot trade it though. Now just going down to the 1-hourly chart, you can see that the change in state of delivery, at least the undeniable change in state of delivery, hasn't quite happened. Now you have a very solid CSD that happened here already, so you're going to be all good to go long on Solana. Right here you have a fair value gap, and over there you have a bullish order block. And again, the setup is going to be exactly the same as Bitcoin, so just trade that accordingly. By the way, if my videos have helped you make money in any sort of fashion, you're going to make Quite literally 10 times more if you are in Blueprint. This offer is going to last only until the 15th of December. After that, you are not gonna be able to join. This will be the lowest price that it's ever going to be. And if you value your time in terms that, you know, you wanna get results fast and not waste months or years like just trying to figure this out yourself, Blueprint's gonna be the solution. If that sounds interesting, click the link below. But otherwise, I'll see you guys on Twitter later. Ciao ciao.










