In this informal, post‑bike‑fall video, the presenter delivers a concise crypto market analysis focusing on short‑term trade ideas for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. He notes a bullish daily bias for Bitcoin but an overall bearish order flow, highlighting a filled fair‑value gap, a confirmed bearish Change‑of‑State‑Delivery (CSD), and an entry target around $86,600. He advises watching the New York “kill zone” (7‑10 AM) for short entries, while warning that a close above $87,000 could flip the daily bias bullishly, potentially turning resistance into support. For Ethereum, he describes a choppy, range‑bound market with no clear setup, suggesting traders focus on Bitcoin instead. Solana, after a bullish daily close and a filled fair‑value gap, now shows a clearer bearish CSD and a short‑trade opportunity on the 5‑minute chart. The video ends with the host noting his injury and plans to seek stitches, while reiterating the day’s trading window.
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Hey, welcome to the video. Bit of a different setup today. Um, we kind of, uh, kind of had a moment where I fell off the bike. Honestly didn't think that I would be able to record this video. That's the situation I'm in at the moment. Um, but like, yeah, didn't think I would be able to record a video, but after the initial shock kind of passed, feeling a little bit better now. So I'll just make a quick one for you guys. Obviously there's no fancy camera setup, there's In fact, this is the state of the camera at the moment. Pretty sure I have to get this fixed. So yeah, probably some minimal editing. I'm just going to be recording on Loom today. And yeah, pardon the, pardon the video quality, but let me just get right into Bitcoin. So, so far you're still having a daily— sorry, a bullish daily bias, but in overall bearish order flow. You haven't closed below this level yet, but you don't need to because even here right now it's already like bearish CSD. So if I had to lean towards one direction, I think I'm going to be leaning towards the bearish direction, even though you have a bullish daily bias, just because of the overall kind of like order flow. Now if you go lower, uh, you'll also see that this fair value gap finally got filled. If you guys remember from Monday, I talked about how, um, the PO3 for the day is going to head towards the downside. So anyways, fair value gap is filled, and right now, uh, hourly is forming change of state of delivery to the downside. So with this confirmed, especially on this candle right here, that is your confirmation of a CSD. After that, I think you're just going to be looking for shorts, price to either return back into this area here or just for price to just continue going lower and you just momentum trade that to the downside. So situation as it stands today, we, if I'm not mistaken, we don't have news. So what you're gonna want to look for is just for price to return back into that hourly order block around the hours of 7:00 AM to 10:00 AM New York, which is the New York kill zone. Once you have that, I think you're going to be good to go for a trade. Now, my exact level is going to be $86,600. And yeah, that's about it for Bitcoin, really. Can't guarantee that I'll be on Twitter today posting a live setup, but like, this is the scenario that you want to go for, essentially. Also, this is just a caveat real quick. Even though the hourly order flow seems to be pretty bearish, in the event that you close above $87,000, that is going to lead to a bullish change in state of delivery. And mind you, today the daily bias is bullish. So there's a potential that if you close above here, it's going to flip that potential resistance into support and you're just going to keep going higher from that point onwards. So if that happens and you don't get that 5-minute change of state delivery on the lower timeframe, guess what? You're probably just going to be going long for the day. The reason that brought— that came into my mind is because you had the Asia low that was swept during London. And after sweeping the London, you could potentially get some sort of accumulation manipulation followed by distribution. So just keep that in mind. That is going to be the setup for Bitcoin. Going down to Ethereum, let's take a look at if there are any setups. So Ethereum is definitely bearish, and let's go to the 1-hourly chart. Oh damn, this is so choppy. Um, I think the ideal setup is going to be for close below this level before we go into any shorts, and or potentially a sweep above this level before we go into any longs. So I think Ethereum is just kind of ranging around at the moment, which means that like at least the system that we're trading right now here in AOC, it's not necessarily the best when it comes to range trading. So I think just take it easy and focus on Bitcoin compared to Ethereum. I think there's a clearer setup over there. In terms of Solana, you had a bullish daily candle close and you had, well, yesterday you filled in the fair value gap and just chopped around for the most part. So nothing really happened. But then right now price seems to be breaking towards the downside. I'm so sorry, just feeling a little bit tired. Don't know why. Probably from the shock of that. Probably from the shock of everything. You have a bearish CSD here that's already confirmed on the 1-hourly chart. So Solana is looking much more cleared compared to Ethereum. So if you want to take a trade, I think you go for Solana compared to Ethereum. And right now, this seems to be the order block that you can retrace back into during the 5-minute chart. Of course, the ideal trading window for today is just 7:00 AM to 10:00 AM, purely because you don't really have news today. So guys, quick video today just to, just to get it out to you guys. I'm probably going to head to the clinic to get some stitches. Don't know why I didn't get it when I was doing the first aid, but yeah, cheers.
