Don't trade your opinion

15 Sept 2026 · 1 min

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0:35

In this short commentary, the speaker explains that having a market opinion is essential, but one must not act on that opinion until the market provides concrete confirmation. The specific scenario discussed is a potential bullish trade on Bitcoin (or a similar asset) that would only be taken if the 1‑hour chart closes above $81,000, confirming a bullish order block. The speaker stresses the distinction between a "trade idea"—an opinion about market direction—and a "trade setup"—a validated entry condition. Without the hourly candle close confirming the idea, the speaker advises against entering any trade.

Chapters

on the fact that we're gonna get a candle close on a 1-hourly chart above $81,000. If we do not get this at the very minimum, there is no trade to be had here. It's just an idea that I have about the markets. But you gotta remember, a trade idea doesn't mean a trade setup. A trade idea is what you think about the markets, which is very important. You need to have an opinion about the markets. You do not wanna trade your opinions. You wanna trade what the market tells you. So once you have your opinion, you need to wait for the market to also give you signs that, hey, it maybe agrees with your idea. This sign is gonna be an hourly candle close above this level, which confirms this as a bullish order block. At which point we can jump into it. Without this, no bueno.