In this solo market commentary, the presenter walks through intraday trade setups for Bitcoin and crude oil, emphasizing technical analysis concepts such as fair value gaps, order blocks, liquidity levels, and timeframe alignment. He begins with Bitcoin, noting a bearish daily bias despite a bullish weekly bias, and explains how a daily fair value gap and recent price action suggest a short opportunity. He outlines the criteria for entry—specifically a candle close below $76,600 on the 1‑hour chart confirming a CSD—and discusses potential targets based on hourly liquidity zones, while acknowledging uncertainty and the role of educated guesses. The presenter stresses his trading methodology of aligning daily, hourly, and 5‑minute timeframes before taking a position, citing a 75% win rate over 18 months. He briefly promotes a paid coaching program for those seeking guided mentorship. Shifting to crude oil, he identifies a bullish daily bias, a recent hourly CISD, and a fresh 5‑minute order block as the primary setup, noting he missed an earlier move due to a break. He also scans AUD/USD and EUR/USD, concluding those setups have been invalidated and will not be traded. Throughout, he mentions real‑time updates via Twitter and encourages viewers to follow for live trade alerts.
Chapters
What's good, guys? I really hope you watched the video from yesterday and you ended up taking that Bitcoin trade because that was fantastic, if I do say so myself. Now today, the setup on Bitcoin is looking a little bit more clear compared to yesterday. If you guys recall, I was mentioning that Bitcoin was kind of like 70/30, and today it's looking slightly cleaner. Now besides that, I'm also going to share like 2 or 3 different forex setups and just something that I've already identified that is going to be good for today. And so without any further ado, let's dive right into it. Well, anyways, let's kick things off first with Bitcoin because ultimately we are still a crypto channel. We should start things off on Bitcoin. So right here you have that daily fair value gap that obviously I was already mentioning yesterday that price would come in and potentially get rejected. And in terms of the weekly chart, obviously that fair value gap extends a little bit bigger. So even though we have a bullish weekly bias, this can be a little bit misleading because you're coming straight into higher high frame resistance. In this case here, the more likely outcome is probably that price gets rejected off of the fair value gap and this week we actually end up going down instead. And that is the case so far to start the week off. Now Monday, yesterday we already predicted this, like, price was going to dump. That's why even though we had a bullish bias technically yesterday, we were looking for a short because, well, yeah, for the reasons that I've already mentioned. Now, in terms of the daily chart today, we are dealing with a bearish daily bias. So far we've got a couple of liquidity levels over there. Now, one of the key lessons that I want to share in regards to why I am immediately just looking for this liquidity level, it has a lot to do with, um, understanding how liquidity works in the first place. The thing is Like markets always move between, you know, buy side objectives and sell side objectives. And once you've taken the buy side objective, you tend to go for the sell side. So if you take a look here, right, we've already swept out the previous weekly high. We've already filled in that higher time frame fair value gap, higher time frame, you know, order block or whatever. We've already filled in that higher time frame fair value gap. So all that remains to do is to go down, right? And that's, you know, that's currently what's happening. But there are only two ways that this can play out. One is that you kind of find support at this bullish order block over here and you start to pump. Now. That could be the case, right? We do not know until at the very least 2 or 3 more days. But right now, because we have a bearish daily bias, immediately we're looking for shorts and there is no way, like we're already in the order block, you know, if we're going to look for a short, like I don't want to just set some arbitrary target. I'm just going to make the assumption. Like when I say assumption, people usually think that, you know, you don't want to make assumptions about the market because, you know, that's bad, right? Shouldn't you be able to have an accurate prediction of the markets? The truth is no. At the end of the day, almost everything that we do inside the market is an educated guess. Because the only thing certain about the financial markets is that everything is always like there is always going to be some element of uncertainty right here. This is just an educated guess, right? It's the same thing that I did yesterday where I was like, okay, even though we are dealing with a bullish weekly bias and a bullish daily bias, based on my educated guess because of this, this, and that, I think the market is going to go down, right? Does it mean that I'm going to have 100% success rate? Absolutely not. This is a similar case right here where we have bearish daily bias. Now I could be wrong today where you know we might just find support and did it. You know this daily order block and be popping this one onwards. But based on what I'm seeing in the markets at the moment and how I am painting the narrative on the higher time frame, for example, okay, step one you can fill this in. Step two you're gonna fail to retrace, and step three you know you're gonna take this out. And like you know just based on the story that I'm building right now, I think it's plausible, right? It's reasonable. So anyways, we have a very steady bias. Once we go down into the one hour chart, this is going to get confirmed like a lot more. So yeah, let's. Actually confirm this on a 1-hourly chart. So in about 40 minutes or so— now I don't know if this is actually going to happen in the next 40 minutes, but in the event that we get a candle close beneath $76,600, that is going to be a confirmed hourly CSD, and this entire block here is going to become a bearish resistance level for you to take advantage of. Like, price does this and then you're heading lower. Now don't get me wrong, in terms of the hourly chart, you are already very much bearish. Like, just the fact that you've closed beneath this level that I marked out from yesterday already means that you are bearish. And look what we have here. Like, in the event that you took a trade yesterday, this would have been the absolute perfect target. I already mentioned it yesterday, any one of these liquidity levels would have been good. And like, yeah, this was just, you know, kind of textbook. Now today we're probably looking at something similar here, right? During the New York session, you're going to wait for the price to get into these PD arrays. Now again, there's 40 minutes left until this candle closes, so we cannot say for certain yet, as of the time that I'm recording this video, that The CSD is already in, but the moment that it's in, you're just going to look for it to go down, and that is going to be the setup for Bitcoin. And in terms of, you know, kind of like daily targets, again, like we're already in this kind of like bearish order block. Feel free to just use these hourly liquidity levels as targets, but overall you've already swept out the range high using this move here. And like as soon as you break lower, then yeah, there's going to be basically like a range breakdown. Now there's still a chance where, you know, taking out the range low means that, you know, you'll still head back to the range high, but that will not— like that will not be the case for today, right? Because one of the core things that, you know, we understand about the system that we're trading is that we trade only when there's timeframe alignment. Basically, we go long when the daily, hourly, and 5-minute are all pointing in the same direction, and we go short when all 3 timeframes are pointing in the same direction. And there is a chance that price could actually pump. Because we have a very steady bias today, we're just gonna focus on shorts. It's a methodology that has served me really well. Case in point, I have about a 75% win rate across a year and a half of, you know, kind of documenting my trades so far. And, you know, it doesn't happen by coincidence, right? It's because we're following a proven framework. Now, if you'd like to learn this proven framework and work basically one-on-one with me as well as my team, where we handhold you through every process of trading, feel free to click the first link in the description box below. If you're not interested, like, feel free to not check it out. And if you've been trading for a while and you still haven't made it work, chances are you've just never received direct, you know, kind of like guidance or coaching. If that sounds like you, then it's probably gonna be helpful. Check it out. But if not, like, no pressure. Feel free to just completely skip this. Anyways, now that we're done with Bitcoin, again, We are only going to look for a trade in the event that that condition over there is met. Without it, like, we're not going to be looking for a trade. And secondly, obviously, if price starts to just kind of like pump straight on up, I will make an update considering it's only 3 AM during the New York sub— like, considering it's only 3 AM New York time, more than happy to make another update later as we get through the New York session. So make sure you follow me on Twitter. And speaking about Twitter, I've already posted— if you guys are already following me, You will have seen that I've already posted a few trades. Now, this is something that I post to Blueprint every single day, but just for today, I'm posting it onto Twitter. So let's talk about them. These are basically the clearest setups that I see after doing an initial scan before the London session began. So in terms of oil, you're looking at a bullish daily bias. In terms of that 1-hourly, you have gotten a 1-hourly CISD. So right now, you're literally just looking for price to come back here, which it has. Oh, I just realized I probably missed the setup then. Yeah, okay. Price literally comes back, and then now it's starting to pump. So yeah, I definitely missed the setup. I was like making coffee, drinking tea, taking a shower. So yeah, I definitely missed this. But hey, right here, right now, this is a new five-minute order block. This I'm probably not going to miss. But yeah, oil looking super clean. There is reason to believe that you know oil is going to continue to go up. Now, in terms of Australian dollar and euro USD, you're looking at a very similar setup. Australian dollar actually in this case has already kind of invalidated this, so we're not going to look at this anymore. Euro has also in fact invalidated this already. So yeah, no trade. So oil remains the, you know, kind of like the breadwinner for today. I think it's gonna be the moneymaker alongside Bitcoin, which I don't usually say because Bitcoin has been really, really choppy recently. Otherwise, yeah, for any updates, I'm gonna post it onto Twitter. And guys, take care. I'll see you later.
