In this video Roman Ceccardi reviews the market outlook for the day, emphasizing a bullish daily and weekly bias for Bitcoin and outlining a high‑conviction trade that could deliver 4R‑8R. He explains how to enter the Bitcoin trade using a 1‑hour order block, with tighter entries on the 5‑minute chart around the New York news window (8:30 AM and 10:00 AM). He then shifts to forex and other assets, presenting bearish setups for USD/CAD and crude oil, a half‑risk bullish trade on gold, and a bullish order‑flow setup on the NASDAQ. Throughout, he references technical concepts such as CSD (Change of Structure Direction), PD arrays, fair‑value gaps, and order blocks, and stresses the importance of timing trades around the hour before and after major news releases. The video also promotes his community products (Blueprint, Bootcamp) and invites viewers to follow live entries on X. The overarching message is that today is an “A+” trading day where a single full‑risk trade could meet the weekly profit target.
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What's good guys, welcome back to another video. I really hope you took the USD/CAD trade yesterday because that was like, that trade alone did 8R and like I could stop making videos, I could stop trading for the rest of the week and like we'd be good, right? 8R, that's kind of all we need for the week. But of course, being a trader, of course I'm gonna try to get more out of the markets this week. And so that's why I'm here making another video on Bitcoin and I'm gonna get into a couple of forex setups that I'm seeing that have a lot of potential. Anyways, let's dive right into it. So just kicking, well, this is still supposed to be a Bitcoin video, so We're going to kick things off on Bitcoin. Now, yesterday, ultimately, like, we didn't have too much of a— at the very least, like, we managed to come into that key level that I marked out, but we didn't end up getting that CSD towards the downside. And so ultimately, just as I kind of broke down in the video, it ended up being a no trade. But this is also why you have access to Forex, because when Bitcoin is chopping around, which it has been for the better part of the last, like, 4 months or so, Forex is going to save your life. It is going to give you opportunities that you otherwise wouldn't be able to get access to. But today, Bitcoin is looking a lot more clean. In fact, case in point, In about 16 minutes, we're going to confirm a 1-hourly CSD after tapping into some sort of key level, which for now I'm going to mark. I'm going to remove all of these drawings and we're going to break down that daily setup. So, so far we are looking at a bullish daily bias. Again, we are looking bullish on the week as well. So this is finally like this probably going to be a trade that is in line with the kind of like overall weekly bias as well as the daily bias, right? Compared to yesterday where we already talked about the idea where Monday tends to set up for the rest of the week and Monday is usually just an opportunity for us to buy low. Below the weekly open so that we can take advantage of a move towards the upside that is in line with the weekly bias. So, so far we are looking at a bullish daily bias, bullish weekly bias. In terms of the 1-hourly chart, this is more likely than not within the next 15 minutes going to be confirmed as a new bullish order block. And so essentially, like, the trade could be as simple as placing a limit at the 1-hourly order block and just going down and boom, right? Just targeting 2R. And in today's case, like, you could even realistically go for 4R because that is the previous weekly high. So it's the high from last Friday. And like, I want you to kind of picture this. I know it may seem a little bit far, but it truly isn't. Because if you are bullish on the week, it means that you are targeting the previous weekly high. All right. That is a natural target for whenever you have a bullish trade. So like, yeah, could we potentially hit the weekly target today? I don't know, but we're definitely going to try. And like, this is, yeah, like, I don't know. This is as simple as it gets. Now, obviously you can further refine this entry down if you go into the 5-minute chart. Obviously, you know, When you start getting into the New York session and price taps into that PD array and you start getting a 5-minute CISD, you could potentially start taking a trade that is, you know, a lot shorter in terms of, which is a lot better in terms of risk to reward, which is a benefit that you get when you refine your entries down into the 5-minute chart. And the ideal time window for you to be doing this is going to be at around 8:30 AM New York, basically like the hour before 8:30 to the hour after 8:30. Then the best times for you to be doing this today is going to be like starting from 7:30 AM all the way up till, you know, 11:00 AM because you've got 2 pieces of news today, one at 8:30 and the other one at 10 AM. Now, the reason why I specify 7:30 to 11 is because the ideal trading windows for, you know, any trading day, to be honest, especially on a trading day that has news, is the hour before news to the hour after news. So more likely than not, we're going to be looking at a potential A+ day today. If there is one day where you take a trade and you go full risk and you try to maximize the amount of money that you make on this singular trade, it's going to be today. Because this is the only piece of USD news that we're going to be getting for the rest of the week. Rest of the week, we're going to be focusing on EUR/GBP And we're going to talk about forex. It doesn't also mean that you know there's going to be no setup on Bitcoin. I'm just saying, like chances are you're going to get like today is the A plus day. So definitely take advantage of it. And if you want to refine your entry, feel free. But if not, like this is going to be the setup. And in the event that price literally just pumps from this point onwards, like for example, if we confirm this as a CSD instead, which if we manage to close above 76,400, then this entire block here is going to become you know just support. So anytime you tap into this block and you start showing a five minute CSD, especially At the timing windows that I tell you about, then yeah, like that's just going to be a straightforward trade. So no guarantees that it's going to retrace all the way down here, but if it does, then this is already going to be a good enough entry. And yeah, like just take advantage of this. It's pretty rare that I am, you know, that I hold such conviction when it comes to a trade idea that I'm making on for, you know, one of these videos. But the fact of the matter is we have one news day this week, and so far price action looks absolutely fantastic. So like yeah, you know, take advantage of this. This is A+ day. Like if you go full risk on this and you manage to get 4R, like that's the week complete, right? You do not need any more trades. Like, we did 8R yesterday alone in a single trade. And if you guys watched the video, then you would have taken advantage of it. But like, that's already done, right? The week is done. But again, we have an A+ day today. So let's make it happen. And now let's get into a couple of forex setups. So, so far on oil, we have a bearish daily bias. And obviously we have a couple of PD arrays that we can take advantage of. Now, CSD is already bearish. And so far, like, I already posted this one to Blueprint earlier, but just understand, like, you're looking for price to tap into the PD array and to get a CSD. That has in fact happened. So literally a trade right here, placing a stop above would already be good enough. But obviously we're reaching the end of the London kill zone at the moment. So I'm going to be waiting for the New York session. Basically, you're just going to look for a continuation towards the downside. By the time you watch this video, actually, like chances are you're going to need to, you know, take advantage of any new momentum trades and basically take advantage of any new fair value gaps slash order blocks that, you know, kind of form. But oil definitely looking solid. In terms of gold, I'm already in a trade on gold actually. So like what you're going to be looking for is you have a bullish daily bias. on gold. And like, so far you have not yet gotten— like, so far you're kind of technically in bearish CICD, which is why I'm only half risk on this trade. Do not follow this. Like, this is definitely not the highest quality one, but it's definitely good enough to talk about. You're tapping back into this hourly PD array. And so like, yeah, you know, it's just targeting the previous daily highs basically at 4833. It's going to be the setup for gold. Now, the other A+ trade that I kind of wanted to bring up was, I think, NASDAQ, if I'm not mistaken. Yes, NASDAQ. Oh, what a beautiful, beautiful chart. Very bullish. Your daily bias is bullish as well, and you have a very clear PD array that price has returned back into and right now is pumping from. So like yeah, you know this setup here is going to be super simple. Like order flow is already bullish. Like just take advantage of the rest of these. Obviously, I will be posting any entries on my X, so feel free to follow me there if you would like to see some live trading setups. But lastly, it's going to be USD Canadian. Last but not least, I may add. So in terms of USD Canadian, you are bearish. Like this has been the money maker for. Us for the rest, like basically the entirety of the last week. If you guys followed along with my trading, especially if you are in Blueprint or Bootcamp, like literally just yesterday, somebody who had been, you know, breakeven for 4 months, like he had a funding account for 4 months, he was trading it actively but did not, you know, manage to pass it. He passed it yesterday and he passed it in 10 days since joining Blueprint, mostly thanks to USD/CAD, right? Just clean setups. This is what you get. Like when you see clean charts and clean setups, like, oh, just make the most out of it. And so far, Bitcoin today is looking like decently clean. And but in terms of USD/CAD, we're looking for further continuation towards the downside. Right now, you're already in this fair value gap. Now you have another fair value gap slightly higher above. Either way, once you get closer to the news, if you see that CSD towards the downside, like, yeah, just take a trade towards the downside. This is as straightforward as it gets. And in terms of daily targets, sorry, as far as like intraday targets go, like, just understand that with USD/CAD, it's pretty normal to get like, you know, 50 pips worth of movement, assuming that, you know, you open the day at 1364. Right now, Now you're at 136, you know, kind of 6, about 20 pips above the daily open. Chances are you could go 30 pips above and you're looking for an expansion basically about, you know, 30, 40 pips down below towards the downside. This kind of adds up to that target. But either way, like we've had an— like we've had a stellar trading week last week and I made a video breaking that down as well. Like it should be out to you guys soon once the editor is done with that. But like, yeah, this week today is also looking pretty good. Like just make sure you take advantage of it. NASDAQ especially, I think is going to be the moneymaker today, but Bitcoin is Well, like don't sleep on this. Anyways, if you appreciate me talking about forex a little bit more, drop it down in the comment section below. If you made money from the USD Canadian trade yesterday, leave it down in the comment section below. I would love to check it out. But otherwise, I will see you guys later on X and as well as tomorrow for another video. Ciao ciao.
