Why Confirmation is Non-negotiable

5 Jul 2025 · 1 min

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In this instructional monologue, the speaker explains that when multiple potential key price levels are identified on a chart, it is impossible to know in advance which level the price will react to. The price may hit any of the identified levels, and only the actual market reaction—specifically a change in order‑flow—provides the necessary confirmation to act. The speaker advocates treating each level as a scenario: monitor the price as it approaches a key area, wait for a clear order‑flow signal, and only then enter a trade. If the expected order‑flow change does not occur, the trader should stay out of the market. This approach emphasizes patience, risk avoidance, and reliance on real‑time market data rather than speculative predictions.

Chapters

So for example, yesterday we talked about how there was a key level right here, and there was also a key level right here, and potentially even one right here. How do you know which one's going to get hit? Truth be told, I don't know. There is a chance that price will react in either one of these 3 levels. It ended up reacting at the lowest one. Like, sure, you can make like predictions and you can make hypotheses, but until price actually gives you that confirmation signal in the sense of order flow, you don't know. And that's why like Now, just treat this as a scenario, which is basically once price hits into this area, you want to see a change in order flow. If that happens, you jump in. If not, stay off your hands, basically.